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A Metropolis-in-Gibbs Sampler for Estimating Equity Market Factors

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Author Info
Sarantis Tsiaplias () (Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne)

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Abstract

A model incorporating common Markovian regimes and GARCH residuals in a persistent factor environment is considered. Given the intractable and approximate nature of the likelihood function, a Metropolis-in-Gibbs sampler with Bayesian features is constructed for estimation purposes. The common factor drawing procedure is effectively an exact derivation of the Kalman filter with a Markovian regime component and GARCH innovations. To accelerate the drawing procedure, approximations to the conditional density of the common component are considered. The model is applied to equity data for 18 developed markets to derive global, European, and country specific equity market factors.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne in its series Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series with number wp2007n18.

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Length: 52 pages
Date of creation: Jun 2007
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:iae:iaewps:wp2007n18

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Related research
Keywords: Common factors; Kalman filter; Markov switching; Monte Carlo; GARCH; Equities;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions
C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation

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References listed on IDEAS
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Sarantis Tsiaplias, 2007. "The Macroeconomic Content of Equity Market Factors," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2007n23, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne. [Downloadable!]
  2. Sarantis Tsiaplias, 2007. "Co-movement and Integration among Developed Equity Markets," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2007n25, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne. [Downloadable!]
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