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Sudden Spikes in Global Risk

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  • Philippe Bacchetta

    (University of Lausanne and Centre for Economic Policy Research and Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research)

  • Eric van Wincoop

    (University of Virginia and National Bureau of Economic Research and Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research)

Abstract

Recent episodes (October 2008, May 2010, August 2011) have witnessed huge spikes in equity price risk (implied volatility). Apart from their large size, several features characterize these risk panics. They are global phenomena, shared among a broad set of countries. There is substantial variation though in the extent to which individual countries are impacted, while the impact bears little relation to financial linkages with the epicenter of the crisis. In addition there is usually not a large shock to fundamentals that sets off these panics. We provide an explanation for these risk panic features in the context of a two-country model that allows for self-fulfilling shifts in risk.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research in its series Working Papers with number 062012.

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Length: 34 pages
Date of creation: Feb 2012
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:hkm:wpaper:062012

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  1. Philippe Bacchetta, Cedric Tille, Eric van Wincoop, 2010. "Self-Fulfilling Risk Panics," IHEID Working Papers 17-2010, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
  2. John Beirne & Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Marianne Schulze-Ghattas & Nicola Spagnolo, 2009. "Volatility Spillovers and Contagion from Mature to Emerging Stock Markets," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 873, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
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  16. Philippe BACCHETTA & Cédric TILLE & Eric VAN WINCOOP, 2010. "Self-Fulfilling Risk Panics," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 10-32, Swiss Finance Institute.
  17. Giovanni Lombardo & Luca Dedola, 2010. "Financial Frictions, Financial Integration and the International Propagation of Shocks," 2010 Meeting Papers 288, Society for Economic Dynamics.
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