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The Dynamics of Conflict in Southern Thailand

Author

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  • Engvall, Anders

    (Stockholm China Economic Research Institute)

  • Andersson, Magnus

    (Malmö University)

Abstract

The prolonged insurgency in Southern Thailand has claimed thousands of victims since the outbreak of major violence in 2004. Drawing on a unique data-set covering all violent incidents since 2004, a hot spot analysis shows that the bulk of the violence is concentrated in clusters of sub-districts forming hotbeds of conflict. Drivers of conflict are identified through a comparative analysis of the hotspots of violence with less violent areas. The analysis shows that identity manifested in language use and religious practices influence the prevalence and patterns of violence instead of international borders, infrastructure, and physical geography.

Suggested Citation

  • Engvall, Anders & Andersson, Magnus, 2014. "The Dynamics of Conflict in Southern Thailand," Stockholm School of Economics Asia Working Paper Series 2014-33, Stockholm School of Economics, Stockholm China Economic Research Institute.
    • Handle: RePEc:hhs:hascer:2014-033
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Patricia Justino, 2009. "Poverty and Violent Conflict: A Micro-Level Perspective on the Causes and Duration of Warfare," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 46(3), pages 315-333, May.
    2. Timothy Besley & Robin Burgess, 2002. "The Political Economy of Government Responsiveness: Theory and Evidence from India," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 117(4), pages 1415-1451.
    3. Barron, Patrick & Kaiser, Kai & Pradhan, Menno, 2009. "Understanding Variations in Local Conflict: Evidence and Implications from Indonesia," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 698-713, March.
    4. Halvard Buhaug & Kristian Skrede Gleditsch & Helge Holtermann & Gudrun Østby' & Andreas Forø Tollefsen, 2011. "It's the Local Economy, Stupid! Geographic Wealth Dispersion and Conflict Outbreak Location," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 55(5), pages 814-840, October.
    5. Patricia Justino, 2009. "Poverty and Violent Conflict: A Micro-Level Perspective on the Causes and Duration of Warfare," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 46(3), pages 315-333, May.
    6. Bardhan, Pranab, 1997. "Method in the madness? a political-economy analysis of the ethnic conflicts in less developed countries," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 25(9), pages 1381-1398, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Aree Jampaklay & Kathleen Ford & Aphichat Chamratrithirong, 2017. "How does unrest affect migration? Evidence from the three southernmost provinces of Thailand," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 37(3), pages 25-52.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economics of conflict; Thailand; Southeast Asia; Spatial analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models
    • D74 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions

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