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Virtually everywhere? Digitalisation and the euro area and EU economies

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  • Anderton, Robert
  • Jarvis, Valerie
  • Labhard, Vincent
  • Morgan, Julian
  • Petroulakis, Filippos
  • Vivian, Lara

Abstract

Digitalisation can be viewed as a major supply/technology shock affecting macroeconomic aggregates that are important for monetary policy, such as output, productivity, investment, employment and prices. This paper takes stock of developments in the digital economy and their possible impacts across the euro area and European Union (EU) economies. It also compares how these economies fare relative to other major economies such as that of the United States. The paper concludes that: (i) there is significant country heterogeneity across the EU in terms of the adoption of digital technologies, and most EU countries are falling behind competitors, particularly the United States; (ii) digitalisation is affecting the economy through a number of channels, including productivity, employment, competition and prices; (iii) digitalisation raises productivity and lowers prices, similarly to other supply/technology shocks; (iv) this has implications for monetary policy and its transmission; and (v) structural and other policies may need to be adapted for the euro area and EU countries to fully reap the potential gains from digitalisation, while maintaining inclusiveness. JEL Classification: E22, E24, E31, E32, O33, O52

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  • Anderton, Robert & Jarvis, Valerie & Labhard, Vincent & Morgan, Julian & Petroulakis, Filippos & Vivian, Lara, 2020. "Virtually everywhere? Digitalisation and the euro area and EU economies," Occasional Paper Series 244, European Central Bank.
  • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbops:2020244
    Note: 339014
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    2. Björn Döhring & Atanas Hristov & Christoph Maier & Werner Roeger & Anna Thum-Thysen, 2021. "COVID-19 acceleration in digitalisation, aggregate productivity growth and the functional income distribution," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 18(3), pages 571-604, July.
    3. Georgeta Soava & Anca Mehedintu & Mihaela Sterpu, 2022. "Analysis and Forecast of the Use of E-Commerce in Enterprises of the European Union States," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-29, July.
    4. Gilbert Cette & Sandra Nevoux & Loriane Py, 2022. "The impact of ICTs and digitalization on productivity and labor share: evidence from French firms," Economics of Innovation and New Technology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(8), pages 669-692, November.
    5. Olga Francová & Ermal Hitaj & John Goossen & Robert Kraemer & Andreja Lenarčič & Georgios Palaiodimos, 2021. "EU fiscal rules: reform considerations," Discussion Papers 17, European Stability Mechanism, revised 25 Oct 2021.
    6. Anatolijs Prohorovs, 2023. "Re-Export: Assessing the Impact of Re-Export Companies on Sectors and the Economy," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-25, January.
    7. Christian Friedrich & Peter Selcuk, 2022. "The Impact of Globalization and Digitalization on the Phillips Curve," Staff Working Papers 22-7, Bank of Canada.
    8. Simon Bruhn & Johanna Deperi, 2022. "The Contribution of Digital Firms to Productivity Growth in the Manufacturing Sector: A Decomposition Approach," GREDEG Working Papers 2022-42, Groupe de REcherche en Droit, Economie, Gestion (GREDEG CNRS), Université Côte d'Azur, France.
    9. Götz Marta, 2019. "Unpacking the provision of the industrial commons in Industry 4.0 cluster," Economics and Business Review, Sciendo, vol. 5(4), pages 23-48, December.
    10. Anatolijs Prohorovs & Julija Bistrova, 2022. "Labour Share Convergence in the European Union," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-21, August.
    11. Modery, Wolfgang & Valderrama, Maria Teresa & Lopez-Garcia, Paloma & Albani, Maria & Anyfantaki, Sofia & Baccianti, Claudio & Barrela, Rodrigo & Bodnár, Katalin & Bun, Maurice & De Mulder, Jan & Falck, 2021. "Key factors behind productivity trends in EU countries," Occasional Paper Series 268, European Central Bank.
    12. Consolo, Agostino & Cette, Gilbert & Bergeaud, Antonin & Labhard, Vincent & Osbat, Chiara & Kosekova, Stanimira & Anyfantaki, Sofia & Basso, Gaetano & Basso, Henrique & Bobeica, Elena & Ciapanna, Eman, 2021. "Digitalisation: channels, impacts and implications for monetary policy in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 266, European Central Bank.
    13. Koester, Gerrit & Lis, Eliza & Nickel, Christiane & Osbat, Chiara & Smets, Frank, 2021. "Understanding low inflation in the euro area from 2013 to 2019: cyclical and structural drivers," Occasional Paper Series 280, European Central Bank.
    14. Elfsbacka Schmöller, Michaela & Spitzer, Martin, 2021. "Deep recessions, slowing productivity and missing (dis-)inflation in the euro area," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    15. Sebastian Hauptmeier & Nadine Leiner-Killinger, 2020. "Reflections on the Stability and Growth Pact’s Preventive Arm in Light of the COVID-19 Crisis," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 55(5), pages 296-300, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    digital technology; euro area and EU economies; human/intangible capital; inflation; labour market; potential growth; productivity; technology shocks/adoption/diffusion;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • O33 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes
    • O52 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Europe

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