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Combining Micro and Macro Unemployment Duration Data

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Author Info
van den Berg, Gerard J
van der Klaauw, Bas

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Abstract

We combine micro and macro unemployment duration data to study the effects of the business cycle on the outflow from unemployment. We allow the cycle to affect individual exit probabilities of unemployed workers as well as the composition of the total inflow into unemployment. We estimate the model using (micro) survey data and (macro) administrative data from France. The distribution of the inflow composition is estimated along with the other parameters. The estimation method deals with differences between the micro and macro unemployment definitions. The results also show to what extent the unemployment duration distributions corresponding to the two definitions can be described by the same model.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number 2494.

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Date of creation: Jul 2000
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Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:2494

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Related research
Keywords: Business Cycle; Duration Dependence; Heterogeneity; Seasons; Unemployment Composition; Unemployment Definition;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C41 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Duration Analysis
C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution
J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, and Vacancies - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:

  1. Dynarski, Mark & Sheffrin, Steven M, 1990. "The Behavior of Unemployment Durations over the Cycle," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 72(2), pages 350-56, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Michael R. Darby & John C. Haltiwanger & Mark W. Plant, 1985. "Unemployment-Rate Dynamics and Persistent Unemployment Under Rational Expectations," NBER Working Papers 1558, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. Gabler, Siegfried & Laisney, Francois & Lechner, Michael, . "Semi-Nonparametric Maximum Likelihood Estimation of the Binary Choice Model with an Application to Labour Force Participation," IVS discussion paper series 430, Institut für Volkswirtschaft und Statistik (IVS), University of Mannheim.
  4. Honore, Bo E, 1993. "Identification Results for Duration Models with Multiple Spells," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 60(1), pages 241-46, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Van den Berg, Gerard J., 2000. "Duration Models: Specification, Identification, and Multiple Durations," MPRA Paper 9446, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  6. Gallant, A Ronald & Nychka, Douglas W, 1987. "Semi-nonparametric Maximum Likelihood Estimation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(2), pages 363-90, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. van den Berg, Gerard J, 1990. "Search Behaviour, Transitions to Nonparticipation and the Duration of Unemployment," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 100(402), pages 842-65, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Thierry Magnac & Michael Visser, 1999. "Transition Models With Measurement Errors," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 81(3), pages 466-474, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  9. Imbens, G W, 1994. "Transition Models in a Non-stationary Environment," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 76(4), pages 703-20, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Thierry Magnac, . "State Dependence and Heterogeity in youth Employment Histories," Working Papers 97-47, Centre de Recherche en Economie et Statistique. [Downloadable!]
  11. Imbens, Guido W & Lancaster, Tony, 1994. "Combining Micro and Macro Data in Microeconometric Models," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 61(4), pages 655-80, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  12. Steven J. Davis & John C. Haltiwanger & Scott Schuh, 1998. "Job Creation and Destruction," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262540932.
Full references

Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Guido W. Imbens & Lisa M. Lynch, 2006. "Re-Employment Probabilities over the Business Cycle," IZA Discussion Papers 2167, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Güell, Maia & Hu, Luojia, 2003. "Estimating the Probability of Leaving Unemployment Using Uncompleted Spells from Repeated Cross-Section Data," CEPR Discussion Papers 3957, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. Gerard Berg & A. Lomwel & Jan Ours, 2008. "Nonparametric estimation of a dependent competing risks model for unemployment durations," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 34(3), pages 477-491, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  4. Güell, Maia, 2002. "Fixed-Term Contracts and the Duration Distribution of Unemployment," CEPR Discussion Papers 3264, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  5. Michal Franta, 2008. "Time Aggregation Bias in Discrete Time Models of Aggregate Duration Data," Working Papers 2008/10, Czech National Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
  6. Berg, Gerard J. van den & Lomwel, A. Gijsbert C. van & Ours, Jan C. van, 1998. "Unemployment dynamics and age," Serie Research Memoranda 0048, VU University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Econometrics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  7. Gautier, Pieter A & Moraga-González, José-Luis & Wolthoff, Ronald, 2007. "Structural Estimation of Search Intensity: Do Non-Employed Workers Search Enough?," CEPR Discussion Papers 6440, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  8. Frank Gerhard & Nikolaus Hautsch, 2006. "A Dynamic Semiparametric Proportional Hazard Model," FRU Working Papers 2006/05, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. Finance Research Unit. [Downloadable!]
  9. Gautier, P.A. & Berg, G.J. van den & Ours, J.C. van & .Ridder, G., 1999. "Separations at the firm level," Discussion Paper 17, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  10. Carsten Ochsen, 2008. "How the Distribution of Unemployment by Duration Affects the Unemployment Rate," Thuenen-Series of Applied Economic Theory 88, University of Rostock, Institute of Economics, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  11. Bontemps, Christian & Robin, Jean-Marc & Berg, Gerard J. van den, 1998. "An empirical equilibrium job search model with continuously distributed heterogeneity of workers' opportunity costs of employment and firms productivities, and search on the job," Serie Research Memoranda 0002, VU University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Econometrics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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