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A Two-Pillar DSGE Monetary Policy Model for the Euro Area

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Author Info
Barthélemy, J.
Clerc L.
Marx, M.

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Abstract

Whereas the bulk of the literature on DSGE models provides a rationale for inflation targeting strategies, there is no model doing such a job for the strategy implemented for almost ten years now by the Eurosystem and known as the "two-pillar monetary policy strategy". We try to address this issue by developing a small "two-pillar" DSGE model for the euro area. In this paper: 1) we allow real balances to appear both in the IS and Phillips curves; 2) we find some evidence that money plays a non-trivial role in explaining the euro area business cycle; 3) this provides a rationale for the central bank (the European Central Bank) to factor in monetary developments, by exploiting the long-run relationship between money growth and inflation, eventually accounting for structural shifts in velocity; 4) we found some evidence that the ECB has reacted systematically to a filtered measure of money growth and weaker evidence it has reacted more aggressively during high money growth periods ("excess liquidity").

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Banque de France in its series Documents de Travail with number 219.

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Length: 37 pages
Date of creation: 2008
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:bfr:banfra:219

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Related research
Keywords: Monetary policy ; Monetary aggregates ; Monetary Policy Rules ; Non-linearity; ECB;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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  1. Dieter Gerdesmeier & Francesco Paolo Mongelli & Barbara Roffia, 2007. "The Eurosystem, the U.S. Federal Reserve, and the Bank of Japan: Similarities and Differences," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 39(7), pages 1785-1819, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. John Geweke, 1998. "Using simulation methods for Bayesian econometric models: inference, development, and communication," Staff Report 249, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Javier Andrés & J. David López-Salido & Javier Vallés, 2006. "Money in an Estimated Business Cycle Model of the Euro Area," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 116(511), pages 457-477, 04. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Céline Poilly, 2007. "Does Money Matter for the Identification of Monetary Policy Shocks: A DSGE Perspective," THEMA Working Papers 2007-23, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise. [Downloadable!]
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  5. Christian Bordes & Laurent Clerc, 2007. "Price Stability And The Ecb'S Monetary Policy Strategy," Journal of Economic Surveys, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 21(2), pages 268-326, 04. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Ireland, Peter N, 2004. "Money's Role in the Monetary Business Cycle," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 36(6), pages 969-83, December.
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  7. Beck, Günter & Wieland, Volker, 2007. "Money in Monetary Policy Design under Uncertainty: The Two-Pillar Phillips Curve versus ECB-Style Cross-Checking," CEPR Discussion Papers 6098, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Stefan Gerlach, 2007. "Interest Rate Setting by the ECB, 1999-2006: Words and Deeds," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 3(3), pages 1-46, September. [Downloadable!]
  9. Stefan Gerlach, 2004. "The two pillars of the European Central Bank," Economic Policy, CEPR, CES, MSH, vol. 19(40), pages 389-439, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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