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Money and the natural rate of interest: structural estimates for the United States and the euro area

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Author Info
Javier Andrés () (Universidad de Valencia)
David López-Salido () (Federal Reserve Board)
Edward Nelson () (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis)

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Abstract

We examine the role of money in three environments: the New Keynesian model with separable utility and static money demand; a nonseparable utility variant with habit formation; and a version with adjustment costs for holding real balances. The last two variants imply forward-looking behavior of real money balances, with forecasts of future interest rates entering current portfolio decisions. We conduct a structural econometric analysis of the U.S. and euro area economies. FIML estimates confirm the forward-looking character of money demand. A consequence is that real money balances are valuable in anticipating future variations in the natural interest rate.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Banco de España in its series Banco de España Working Papers with number 0805.

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Length: 50 pages
Date of creation: Mar 2008
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Handle: RePEc:bde:wpaper:0805

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Related research
Keywords: Money; natural rate; New Keynesian models;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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References listed on IDEAS
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Full references

Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Scharnagl, Michael & Gerberding, Christina & Seitz, Franz, 2007. "Simple interest rate rules with a role for money," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2007,31, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
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