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Causality in EU macroeconomic variables

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  • Christos Agiakloglou
  • Michalis Gkouvakis
  • Aggelos Kanas

Abstract

This article investigates the interdependence of macroeconomics, financial and other variables for European Union countries using a multivariate vector autoregressive (VAR) approach for quarterly data. The VAR analysis is applied to all bivariate cases, and the best fitted models are selected in order to conduct Granger causality testing and impulse response functions. Contrary to the existing literature, this study reveals evidence of a unilateral direction between several cases and ambiguous results regarding Impulse response functions analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Christos Agiakloglou & Michalis Gkouvakis & Aggelos Kanas, 2016. "Causality in EU macroeconomic variables," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(4), pages 264-277, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:23:y:2016:i:4:p:264-277
    DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1068919
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