This file is part of IDEAS, which uses RePEc data


[ Papers | Articles | Software | Books | Chapters | Authors | Institutions | JEL Classification | NEP reports | Search | New papers by email | Author registration | Rankings | Volunteers | FAQ | Blog | Help! ]

The Long-Run Relationship between Nominal Interest Rates and Inflation: The Fisher Equation Revisited

Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics
Author Info
Crowder, William J
Hoffman, Dennis L
Abstract

The empirical literature examining the Fisher equation has produced results that are generally inconsistent with the simple textbook representation. Much of this evidence is obtained from statistical analysis that fails to recognize that the nominal interest rate and expected inflation may be modeled as distinct nonstationary series that share a common stochastic trend. Using a fully efficient estimator of the implied cointegration vector we find evidence of a postwar Fisher relation that is consistent with the standard textbook representation even when taxes on interest income are taken into account. Dynamic analysis based on this long-run relation identifies the common source of the instability (non-stationarity) in the system of nominal interest rates and inflation as the accumulation of inflation innovations. The dynamic response of the system to these shocks is examined by distinguishing the shock that leaves a permanent imprint on the system from the shock that has only a transitory effect. Copyright 1996 by Ohio State University Press.

Download Info
To download:

If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. Information about this may be contained in the File-Format links below. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help file. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.

File URL: http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0022-2879%28199602%2928%3A1%3C102%3ATLRBNI%3E2.0.CO%3B2-2&origin=bc
File Format: application/pdf
File Function: full text
Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to JSTOR subscribers. See http://www.jstor.org for details.

As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version under "Related research" (further below) or search for a different version of it.

Publisher Info
Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Journal of Money, Credit and Banking.

Volume (Year): 28 (1996)
Issue (Month): 1 (February)
Pages: 102-18
Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML, plain text, BibTeX, RIS (EndNote), ReDIF
Handle: RePEc:mcb:jmoncb:v:28:y:1996:i:1:p:102-18

Contact details of provider:
Web page: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0022-2879

For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its listing, contact: (Christopher F. Baum).

Related research
Keywords:

Other versions of this item:

Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
  1. Herwartz, Helmut & Reimers, Hans-Eggert, 2006. "Modelling the Fisher hypothesis: World wide evidence," Economics working papers 2006,04, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  2. Sandrine Lardic & Valerie Mignon, 2003. "Fractional cointegration between nominal interest rates and inflation: A re-examination of the Fisher relationship in the G7 countries," Economics Bulletin, Economics Bulletin, vol. 3(14), pages 1-10. [Downloadable!]
  3. Erik Hjalmarsson & Par Osterholm, 2007. "A residual-based cointegration test for near unit root variables," International Finance Discussion Papers 907, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
  4. Stephane Dees & Sean Holly & M. Hashem Pesaran & L. Vanessa Smith, 2007. "Long run macroeconomic relations in the global economy," Working Paper Series 750, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Sharon Kozicki & Peter A. Tinsley, . "Moving Endpoints in Macrofinance," Computing in Economics and Finance 1996 _058, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]
  6. Jens Weidmann, 1997. "New Hope for the Fisher Effect? A Re-Examination Using Threshold Cointegration," Macroeconomics 9705005, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  7. Eva Vicente Martinez, 2006. "Properties Of Two U.S. Inflation Measures (1985-2005)," Statistics and Econometrics Working Papers ws066818, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Estadística y Econometría. [Downloadable!]
  8. Johnson, Paul, 2004. "Is it Really the Fisher Effect?," Vassar College Department of Economics Working Paper Series 58, Vassar College Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  9. Zisimos Koustas & Jean-Francois Lamarche, 2005. "Policy-Induced Mean Reversion in the Real Interest Rate?," Working Papers 0503, Brock University, Department of Economics, revised Jul 2005. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  10. Brigitte Granville & Sushanta Mallick, 2004. "Fisher hypothesis: UK evidence over a century," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 11(2), pages 87-90, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. Deniz Dilan Karaman Örsal, 2007. "Comparison of Panel Cointegration Tests," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2007-029, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  12. Erik Hjalmarsson & Pär Österholm, 2007. "Testing for Cointegration Using the Johansen Methodology when Variables are Near-Integrated," IMF Working Papers 07/141, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  13. Basma Bekdache & Christopher F. Baum, 1999. "A re-evaluation of empirical tests of the Fisher hypothesis," Computing in Economics and Finance 1999 944, Society for Computational Economics, revised 18 Sep 2000. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  14. Rautureau, Nicolas, 2004. "Measuring the long-term perception of monetary policy and the term structure," Research Discussion Papers 12/2004, Bank of Finland. [Downloadable!]
  15. Helmut Herwartz & Hans-Eggert Reimers, 2006. "Panel non stationary tests of the Fisher hypothesis in a world wide context. An analysis of 114 economies during the period 1960-2004," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 6(3). [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  16. Saadet Kirbas Kasman & Adnan Kasman & Evrim Turgutlu, 2005. "Fisher Hypothesis Revisited: A Fractional Cointegration Analysis," Discussion Paper Series 05/04, Dokuz Eylül University, Faculty of Business, Department of Economics, revised 23 Nov 2005. [Downloadable!]
  17. Österholm, Pär, 2003. "The Taylor Rule: A Spurious Regression?," Working Paper Series 2003:20, Uppsala University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
Statistics
Access and download statistics

Did you know? IDEAS indexes over 600000 items of research in Economics alone.

This page was last updated on 2008-8-19.

This information is provided to you by IDEAS at the Department of Economics, College of Liberal Arts and Sciences, University of Connecticut using RePEc data on a server sponsored by the Society for Economic Dynamics.