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The Price Impact of Institutional Herding

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  • Amil Dasgupta
  • Andrea Prat
  • Michela Verardo

Abstract

We develop a simple model of the price impact of institutional herding. The empirical literature indicates that institutional herding positively predicts short-term returns but negatively predicts long-term returns. We offer a theoretical resolution to this dichotomy. In our model, career-concerned money managers trade with security dealers endowed with market power and exhibit an endogenous tendency to imitate past trades. This tendency is exploited by dealers and thus affects prices. In equilibrium, institutional herding positively predicts short-term returns but negatively predicts long-term returns. Our article also generates several new, testable predictions that link institutional herding with the time-series properties of returns and volume. The Author 2011. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The Society for Financial Studies. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com., Oxford University Press.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Society for Financial Studies in its journal Review of Financial Studies.

Volume (Year): 24 (2011)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Pages: 892-925

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Handle: RePEc:oup:rfinst:v:24:y:2011:i:3:p:892-925

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Cited by:
  1. Christopher Boortz & Simon Jurkatis & Stephanie Kremer & Dieter Nautz, 2013. "Institutional Herding in Financial Markets: New Evidence through the Lens of a Simulated Model," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1336, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
  2. Lubos Pastor & Robert F. Stambaugh, 2010. "On the Size of the Active Management Industry," Working Papers 2010-001, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics.
  3. Guerrieri, Veronica & Kondor, Péter, 2011. "Fund Managers, Career Concerns, and Asset Price Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 8454, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  4. Dimitri Vayanos & Paul Woolley, 2008. "An Institutional Theory of Momentum and Reversal," NBER Working Papers 14523, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  5. Michael G Papaioannou & Joonkyu Park & Jukka Pihlman & Han van der Hoorn, 2013. "Procyclical Behavior of Institutional Investors During the Recent Financial Crisis," IMF Working Papers 13/193, International Monetary Fund.
  6. Gabriel Desgranges & Céline Rochon, 2013. "Conformism and public news," Economic Theory, Springer, vol. 52(3), pages 1061-1090, April.
  7. Dalia El-Shiaty & Ahmed Abdelmotelib Badawi, 2014. "Herding Behavior in the Stock Market: An Empirical Analysis of the Egyptian Exchange," Working Papers 37, The German University in Cairo, Faculty of Management Technology.
  8. Moatemri Ouarda & Abdelfatteh El Bouri & Olivero Bernard, 2013. "Herding Behavior under Markets Condition: Empirical Evidence on the European Financial Markets," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 3(1), pages 214-228.
  9. Gupta-Mukherjee, Swasti, 2013. "When active fund managers deviate from their peers: Implications for fund performance," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1286-1305.
  10. Christopher Boortz & Stephanie Kremer & Simon Jurkatis & Dieter Nautz, 2014. "Information Risk, Market Stress and Institutional Herding in Financial Markets: New Evidence Through the Lens of a Simulated Model," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2014-029, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
  11. Rudiger, Jesper & Vigier, Adrien, 2013. "Financial Experts, Asset Prices and Reputation," MPRA Paper 51784, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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