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Modeling surveys effects in political competitions

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  • Biondo, A.E.
  • Pluchino, A.
  • Rapisarda, A.

Abstract

In this paper the impact of news media and surveys on electoral campaigns for political competitions is studied by means of an agent-based model, showing the dynamics of voters’ opinions before elections. A small community of people, connected among them as a realistic social network, is exposed to the effects of periodic surveys, in order to analyze how the electoral consensus varies time, in several scenarios of a two-parties configuration. Results of performed simulations provide support to the idea that surveys and news may play a relevant role in driving political orientation.

Suggested Citation

  • Biondo, A.E. & Pluchino, A. & Rapisarda, A., 2018. "Modeling surveys effects in political competitions," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 503(C), pages 714-726.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:503:y:2018:i:c:p:714-726
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2018.02.211
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