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Are random trading strategies more successful than technical ones?

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  • A. E. Biondo
  • A. Pluchino
  • A. Rapisarda
  • D. Helbing
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    Abstract

    In this paper we explore the specific role of randomness in financial markets, inspired by the beneficial role of noise in many physical systems and in previous applications to complex socio- economic systems. After a short introduction, we study the performance of some of the most used trading strategies in predicting the dynamics of financial markets for different international stock exchange indexes, with the goal of comparing them with the performance of a completely random strategy. In this respect, historical data for FTSE-UK, FTSE-MIB, DAX, and S&P500 indexes are taken into account for a period of about 15-20 years (since their creation until today).

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    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/1303.4351
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by arXiv.org in its series Papers with number 1303.4351.

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    Date of creation: Mar 2013
    Date of revision: Jul 2013
    Publication status: Published in PLoS ONE 8(7): e68344 (2013)
    Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1303.4351

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