IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jotrge/v26y2013icp108-116.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Estimating potential long-haul air passenger traffic in national networks containing two or more dominant cities

Author

Listed:
  • Sismanidou, Athina
  • Tarradellas, Joan
  • Bel, Germà
  • Fageda, Xavier

Abstract

In this paper, we build an analytical framework to estimate potential passenger traffic for new long-haul routes originating in secondary airports within national airport systems where a main hub concentrates most of the transcontinental traffic. The results are particularly important in the context of air space liberalization, which is generating opportunities for new city-pair traffic. If airport and airline managers can correctly value route alternatives, they can make better decisions concerning alliances, expansion plans, or the development of their hub-and-spoke networks.

Suggested Citation

  • Sismanidou, Athina & Tarradellas, Joan & Bel, Germà & Fageda, Xavier, 2013. "Estimating potential long-haul air passenger traffic in national networks containing two or more dominant cities," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 108-116.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jotrge:v:26:y:2013:i:c:p:108-116
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2012.07.010
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0966692312001822
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2012.07.010?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Daniele Condorelli, 2007. "Efficient and Equitable Airport Slot Allocation," Rivista di Politica Economica, SIPI Spa, vol. 97(1), pages 81-104, January-F.
    2. Strauss-Kahn, Vanessa & Vives, Xavier, 2009. "Why and where do headquarters move?," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 168-186, March.
    3. Fuhr Johannes & Beckers Thorsten, 2006. "Vertical Governance between Airlines and Airports - A Transaction Cost Analysis," Review of Network Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 5(4), pages 1-27, December.
    4. Veldhuis, Jan, 1997. "The competitive position of airline networks," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 3(4), pages 181-188.
    5. Starkie, David, 1998. "Allocating airport slots: a role for the market?," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 4(2), pages 111-116.
    6. Germà Bel & Xavier Fageda, 2008. "Getting there fast: globalization, intercontinental flights and location of headquarters," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 8(4), pages 471-495, July.
    7. Tae H. Oum & Xiaowen Fu, 2008. "Impacts of Airports on Airline Competition: Focus on Airport Performance and Airport-Airline Vertical Relations," OECD/ITF Joint Transport Research Centre Discussion Papers 2008/17, OECD Publishing.
    8. Paolo Malighetti & Gianmaria Martini & Stefano Paleari & Renato Redondi, 2007. "An Empirical Investigation on the Efficiency, Capacity and Ownership of Italian Airports," Working Papers 0703, Department of Management, Information and Production Engineering, University of Bergamo.
    9. Hangjun Yang & Anming Zhang, 2011. "Price-cap regulation of congested airports," Journal of Regulatory Economics, Springer, vol. 39(3), pages 293-312, June.
    10. Germa Bel & Xavier Fageda, 2010. "Intercontinental Flights From European Airports: Towards Hub Concentration Or Not?," Articles, International Journal of Transport Economics, vol. 37(2).
    11. Adler, Nicole & Berechman, Joseph, 2001. "Evaluating optimal multi-hub networks in a deregulated aviation market with an application to Western Europe," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 35(5), pages 373-390, June.
    12. Ishii, Jun & Jun, Sunyoung & Van Dender, Kurt, 2009. "Air travel choices in multi-airport markets," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(2), pages 216-227, March.
    13. Kyoung-Ho Shin & Michael Timberlake, 2000. "World Cities in Asia: Cliques, Centrality and Connectedness," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 37(12), pages 2257-2285, November.
    14. Derudder, Ben & Witlox, Frank, 2009. "The impact of progressive liberalization on the spatiality of airline networks: a measurement framework based on the assessment of hierarchical differentiation," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 17(4), pages 276-284.
    15. Heike Alberts & John Bowen & Julie Cidell, 2009. "Missed Opportunities: The Restructuring of Berlin's Airport System and the City's Position in International Airline Networks," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(5), pages 739-758.
    16. Oum, Tae H. & Yan, Jia & Yu, Chunyan, 2008. "Ownership forms matter for airport efficiency: A stochastic frontier investigation of worldwide airports," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(2), pages 422-435, September.
    17. Xiaowen Fu & Mark Lijesen & Tae H. Oum, 2006. "An Analysis of Airport Pricing and Regulation in the Presence of Competition Between Full Service Airlines and Low Cost Carriers," Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, University of Bath, vol. 40(3), pages 425-447, September.
    18. Xavier fageda, 2009. "Infrastructure dominance in short-haul air transport markets," Revista de Economia Aplicada, Universidad de Zaragoza, Departamento de Estructura Economica y Economia Publica, vol. 17(1), pages 135-156, Spring.
    19. Tae Hoon Oum & Anming Zhang & Yimin Zhang, 1995. "Airline Network Rivalry," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 28(4a), pages 836-857, November.
    20. Aisling Reynolds-Feighan, 2000. "The US Airport Hierarchy and Implications for Small Communities," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 37(3), pages 557-577, March.
    21. Suzuki, Yoshinori, 2007. "Modeling and testing the "two-step" decision process of travelers in airport and airline choices," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 1-20, January.
    22. Kevin Currier, 2008. "Price Cap Regulation of Airports: A New Approach," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 12(8), pages 1-7.
    23. Malighetti, Paolo & Meoli, Michele & Paleari, Stefano & Redondi, Renato, 2011. "Value determinants in the aviation industry," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 47(3), pages 359-370, May.
    24. Silke J. Forbes & Mara Lederman, 2010. "Does vertical integration affect firm performance? Evidence from the airline industry," RAND Journal of Economics, RAND Corporation, vol. 41(4), pages 765-790, December.
    25. Pels, Eric & Njegovan, Nenad & Behrens, Christiaan, 2009. "Low-cost airlines and airport competition," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 45(2), pages 335-344, March.
    26. Burghouwt, Guillaume & de Wit, Jaap, 2005. "Temporal configurations of European airline networks," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 185-198.
    27. Barbot, Cristina, 2009. "Airport and airlines competition: Incentives for vertical collusion," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 43(10), pages 952-965, December.
    28. Maertens, Sven, 2010. "Drivers of long haul flight supply at secondary airports in Europe," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 16(5), pages 239-243.
    29. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:12:y:2008:i:8:p:1-7 is not listed on IDEAS
    30. Devriendt, Lomme & Derudder, Ben & Witlox, Frank, 2010. "Conceptualizing digital and physical connectivity: The position of European cities in Internet backbone and air traffic flows," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 34(8), pages 417-429, September.
    31. Devriendt, Lomme & Burghouwt, Guillaume & Derudder, Ben & de Wit, Jaap & Witlox, Frank, 2009. "Calculating load factors for the transatlantic airline market using supply and demand data – A note on the identification of gaps in the available airline statistics," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 15(6), pages 337-343.
    32. Reynolds-Feighan, Aisling, 2001. "Traffic distribution in low-cost and full-service carrier networks in the US air transportation market," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 7(5), pages 265-275.
    33. Derudder, Ben & Devriendt, Lomme & Witlox, Frank, 2010. "A spatial analysis of multiple airport cities," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 345-353.
    34. Li, Zhi-Chun & Lam, William H.K. & Wong, S.C. & Fu, Xiaowen, 2010. "Optimal route allocation in a liberalizing airline market," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 44(7), pages 886-902, August.
    35. Joseph Berechman & Oz Shy, 1996. "The Structure of Airline Equilibrium Networks," Advances in Spatial Science, in: Jeroen C. J. M. Bergh & Peter Nijkamp & Piet Rietveld (ed.), Recent Advances in Spatial Equilibrium Modelling, chapter 7, pages 138-155, Springer.
    36. Pels, Eric & Nijkamp, Peter & Rietveld, Piet, 2003. "Inefficiencies and scale economies of European airport operations," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 39(5), pages 341-361, September.
    37. Paolo Malighetti & Gianmaria Martini & Stefano Paleari & Renato Redondi, 2007. "An Empirical Investigation on the Efficiency, Capacity Ownership of Italian Airports," Rivista di Politica Economica, SIPI Spa, vol. 97(1), pages 157-188, January-F.
    38. Basso, Leonardo J., 2008. "Airport deregulation: Effects on pricing and capacity," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 26(4), pages 1015-1031, July.
    39. Hess, Stephane & Polak, John W., 2005. "Mixed logit modelling of airport choice in multi-airport regions," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 11(2), pages 59-68.
    40. Button, Kenneth, 2002. "Debunking some common myths about airport hubs," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 177-188.
    41. O’Connor, Kevin & Fuellhart, Kurt, 2012. "Cities and air services: the influence of the airline industry," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 46-52.
    42. Halpern, Nigel & Bråthen, Svein, 2011. "Impact of airports on regional accessibility and social development," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 19(6), pages 1145-1154.
    43. Erwin Blackstone & Andrew Buck & Simon Hakim, 2006. "Determinants of Airport Choice in a Multi-Airport Region," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 34(3), pages 313-326, September.
    44. Suau-Sanchez, Pere & Burghouwt, Guillaume, 2011. "The geography of the Spanish airport system: spatial concentration and deconcentration patterns in seat capacity distribution, 2001–2008," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 244-254.
    45. John Bowen, 2002. "Network Change, Deregulation, and Access in the Global Airline Industry," Economic Geography, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 78(4), pages 425-439, October.
    46. Pels, Eric & Nijkamp, Peter & Rietveld, Piet, 2000. "Airport and Airline Competition for Passengers Departing from a Large Metropolitan Area," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(1), pages 29-45, July.
    47. Wei, Wenbin & Hansen, Mark, 2006. "An aggregate demand model for air passenger traffic in the hub-and-spoke network," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 40(10), pages 841-851, December.
    48. B. Derudder & F. Witlox, 2005. "An Appraisal of the Use of Airline Data in Assessing the World City Network: A Research Note on Data," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 42(13), pages 2371-2388, December.
    49. Derudder, Ben & Witlox, Frank, 2008. "Mapping world city networks through airline flows: context, relevance, and problems," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 16(5), pages 305-312.
    50. Redondi, Renato & Malighetti, Paolo & Paleari, Stefano, 2012. "De-hubbing of airports and their recovery patterns," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 1-4.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Curl, Angela & Davison, Lisa, 2014. "Transport Geography: perspectives upon entering an accomplished research sub-discipline," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 100-105.
    2. Castillo-Manzano, José I. & Pozo-Barajas, Rafael & Trapero, Juan R., 2015. "Measuring the substitution effects between High Speed Rail and air transport in Spain," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 59-65.
    3. Boonekamp, Thijs & Zuidberg, Joost & Burghouwt, Guillaume, 2018. "Determinants of air travel demand: The role of low-cost carriers, ethnic links and aviation-dependent employment," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 18-28.
    4. Liu, Anyu & Kim, Yoo Ri & O'Connell, John Frankie, 2021. "COVID-19 and the aviation industry: The interrelationship between the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic and the frequency of flights on the EU market," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    5. Matsumoto, Hidenobu & Domae, Koji & O'Connor, Kevin, 2016. "Business connectivity, air transport and the urban hierarchy: A case study in East Asia," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 132-139.
    6. Wong, Collin WH & Cheung, Tommy King Yin & Zhang, Anming, 2023. "A connectivity-based methodology for new air route identification," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    7. Ryazanov Vlas, 2013. "Air mobility of people and airport growth potential in regions of Russia," Bulletin of Geography. Socio-economic Series, Sciendo, vol. 22(22), pages 97-110, December.
    8. Sismanidou, Athina & Tarradellas, Joan & Suau-Sanchez, Pere, 2022. "The uneven geography of US air traffic delays: Quantifying the impact of connecting passengers on delay propagation," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    9. Gudmundsson, Sveinn & Paleari, Stefano & Redondi, Renato, 2014. "Spillover effects of the development constraints in London Heathrow Airport," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 64-74.
    10. Abdelghany, Ahmed & Guzhva, Vitaly S., 2022. "Exploratory analysis of air travel demand stimulation in first-time served markets," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    11. Matsumoto, Hidenobu & Domae, Koji, 2018. "The effects of new international airports and air-freight integrator's hubs on the mobility of cities in urban hierarchies: A case study in East and Southeast Asia," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 160-166.
    12. Burghouwt, Guillaume, 2014. "Long-haul specialization patterns in European multihub airline networks – An exploratory analysis," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 30-41.
    13. Zhang, Shengrun & Derudder, Ben & Fuellhart, Kurt & Witlox, Frank, 2018. "Carriers’ entry patterns under EU-US open skies agreement," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 101-112.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wong, W.H. & Cheung, Tommy & Zhang, Anming & Wang, Yue, 2019. "Is spatial dispersal the dominant trend in air transport development? A global analysis for 2006–2015," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 1-12.
    2. Suau-Sanchez, Pere & Burghouwt, Guillaume, 2011. "The geography of the Spanish airport system: spatial concentration and deconcentration patterns in seat capacity distribution, 2001–2008," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 244-254.
    3. Lieshout, Rogier & Matsumoto, Hidenobu, 2012. "New international services and the competitiveness of Tokyo International Airport," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 53-64.
    4. Pere Suau-Sanchez & Guillaume Burghouwt & Xavier Fageda, 2016. "Reinterpreting EU Air Transport Deregulation: A Disaggregated Analysis of the Spatial Distribution of Traffic in Europe, 1990–2009," Tijdschrift voor Economische en Sociale Geografie, Royal Dutch Geographical Society KNAG, vol. 107(1), pages 48-65, February.
    5. Dixit, Aasheesh & Jakhar, Suresh Kumar, 2021. "Airport capacity management: A review and bibliometric analysis," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    6. Suau-Sanchez, Pere & Voltes-Dorta, Augusto & Rodríguez-Déniz, Héctor, 2016. "The role of London airports in providing connectivity for the UK: regional dependence on foreign hubs," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 94-104.
    7. Zeigler, Patrick & Pagliari, Romano & Suau-Sanchez, Pere & Malighetti, Paolo & Redondi, Renato, 2017. "Low-cost carrier entry at small European airports: Low-cost carrier effects on network connectivity and self-transfer potential," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 68-79.
    8. Choi, Jong Hae & Wang, Kun & Xia, Wenyi & Zhang, Anming, 2019. "Determining factors of air passengers’ transfer airport choice in the Southeast Asia – North America market: Managerial and policy implications," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 203-216.
    9. Allroggen, Florian & Wittman, Michael D. & Malina, Robert, 2015. "How air transport connects the world – A new metric of air connectivity and its evolution between 1990 and 2012," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 184-201.
    10. Wong, Wai-Hung & Zhang, Anming & Cheung, Tommy King-Yin & Chu, Jeremy, 2019. "Examination of low-cost carriers' development at secondary airports using a comprehensive world airport classification," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 96-105.
    11. Derudder, Ben & Devriendt, Lomme & Witlox, Frank, 2010. "A spatial analysis of multiple airport cities," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 345-353.
    12. Derudder, Ben & Witlox, Frank, 2009. "The impact of progressive liberalization on the spatiality of airline networks: a measurement framework based on the assessment of hierarchical differentiation," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 17(4), pages 276-284.
    13. Teixeira, Filipe Marques & Derudder, Ben, 2021. "Spatio-temporal dynamics in airport catchment areas: The case of the New York Multi Airport Region," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    14. Fabio Carlucci & Andrea Cirà & Paolo Coccorese, 2018. "Measuring and Explaining Airport Efficiency and Sustainability: Evidence from Italy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-17, February.
    15. Nathalie Van Nuffel & Ben Derudder & Frank Witlox, 2010. "Even Important Connections Are Not Always Meaningful: On The Use Of A Polarisation Measure In A Typology Of European Cities In Air Transport Networks," Tijdschrift voor Economische en Sociale Geografie, Royal Dutch Geographical Society KNAG, vol. 101(3), pages 333-348, July.
    16. Paliska, Dejan & Drobne, Samo & Borruso, Giuseppe & Gardina, Massimo & Fabjan, Daša, 2016. "Passengers' airport choice and airports' catchment area analysis in cross-border Upper Adriatic multi-airport region," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 143-154.
    17. Castillo-Manzano, José I. & López-Valpuesta, Lourdes & Pedregal, Diego J., 2012. "What role will hubs play in the LCC point-to-point connections era? The Spanish experience," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 262-270.
    18. de Luca, Stefano, 2012. "Modelling airport choice behaviour for direct flights, connecting flights and different travel plans," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 148-163.
    19. Escobari, Diego, 2017. "Airport, airline and departure time choice and substitution patterns: An empirical analysis," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 198-210.
    20. Burghouwt, Guillaume & de Wit, Jaap, 2005. "Temporal configurations of European airline networks," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 185-198.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:jotrge:v:26:y:2013:i:c:p:108-116. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/journal-of-transport-geography .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.