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Structural reforms, animal spirits, and monetary policies

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  • De Grauwe, Paul
  • Ji, Yuemei

Abstract

We use a New Keynesian behavioral macroeconomic model to analyze how structural reforms affect the economy. There are two types of structural reforms. The first one increases price flexibility; the second one increases competition in the labor market and raises potential output. We find that in a rigid economy business cycle movements are dominated by movements of animal spirits. Increasing price flexibility reduces the power of animal spirits and the boom bust nature of the business cycle. We study the trade-offs between output and inflation volatility faced by the central bank. We find that flexibility improves these trade-offs making it easier for the central bank to stabilize output and inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • De Grauwe, Paul & Ji, Yuemei, 2020. "Structural reforms, animal spirits, and monetary policies," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:eecrev:v:124:y:2020:i:c:s0014292120300271
    DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2020.103395
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    2. Annicciarico, Barbara & Di Dio, Fabio & Dilusio, Francesca, 2022. "Climate Actions, Market Beliefs, and Monetary Policy," Working Papers 2022-14, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
    3. Zhang, Jinyu & Zhang, Qiaosen & Li, Yong & Wang, Qianchao, 2023. "Sequential Bayesian inference for agent-based models with application to the Chinese business cycle," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    4. Lin Liu, 2022. "Economic Uncertainty and Exchange Market Pressure: Evidence From China," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(1), pages 21582440211, January.
    5. Yuemei Ji, 2023. "Shock Therapy in Transition Countries: A Behavioral Macroeconomic Approach," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 65(3), pages 483-510, September.
    6. Kukacka, Jiri & Sacht, Stephen, 2023. "Estimation of heuristic switching in behavioral macroeconomic models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    7. De Grauwe, Paul & Ji, Yuemei, 2023. "On the use of current and forward-looking data in monetary policy: a behavioural macroeconomic approach," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 115547, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    8. De Grauwe, Paul & Ji, Yuemei, 2024. "Trust and monetary policy," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 120871, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    9. Comisión Nacional de los Mercados y la Competencia (CNMC), 2023. "Guide. Competition against inflation: How competition and efficient regulation help protect the purchasing power of consumers," Colección Estudios de Mercado G-2022-02_ENG, Comisión Nacional de los Mercados y la Competencia (CNMC).
    10. Paul De Grauwe & Yuemei Ji, 2021. "On the Use of Current or Forward-Looking Data in Monetary Policy: A Behavioural Macroeconomic Approach," CESifo Working Paper Series 8853, CESifo.
    11. Campos, Nauro F. & De Grauwe, Paul & Ji, Yuemei, 2023. "Structural reforms and economic performance: the experience of advanced economies," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 120870, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    12. Jonas Rapsikevicius & Jurgita Bruneckiene & Mantas Lukauskas & Sarunas Mikalonis, 2021. "The Impact of Economic Freedom on Economic and Environmental Performance: Evidence from European Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-20, February.
    13. Gardini, Laura & Radi, Davide & Schmitt, Noemi & Sushko, Iryna & Westerhoff, Frank, 2023. "Sentiment-driven business cycle dynamics: An elementary macroeconomic model with animal spirits," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 210(C), pages 342-359.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Animal spirits; Behavioral macroeconomics; Business cycles; Structural reforms; Price flexibility; Labor market; Product market;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E1 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models
    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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