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Finance–growth nexus in a changing political region: How important was the Arab Spring?

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  • Arayssi, Mahmoud
  • Fakih, Ali

Abstract

In the context of the Arab Spring, which started in 2011 and overcame the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries, this paper examines the growth effects of financial development, controlling for distinct macroeconomic environments, governance levels, and authoritarian regimes across MENA by using the Arellano–Bond dynamic panel estimation for 2005–2014. The results identify mitigating factors in MENA’s finance–growth relationships. Moreover, they show that the impact of finance on growth was positive pre-Arab Spring, but lost some of its significance post the Arab Spring, as some macroeconomic indicators improved, while others worsened. However, governance variables show significant improvement post-Arab Spring. These findings suggest that the financial development–growth nexus is contingent on socio-political reforms that shift the paradigm of institutional quality. Finally, this paper also discusses certain policies that may improve the efficiency of financial institutions and the government in generating inclusive economic growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Arayssi, Mahmoud & Fakih, Ali, 2017. "Finance–growth nexus in a changing political region: How important was the Arab Spring?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 106-123.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecanpo:v:55:y:2017:i:c:p:106-123
    DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2017.05.001
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    4. Ali Fakih & Nathir Haimoun & Mohamad Kassem, 2020. "Youth Unemployment, Gender and Institutions During Transition: Evidence from the Arab Spring," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 150(1), pages 311-336, July.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Finance–growth nexus; Public governance; Arab Spring; Panel data;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G2 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance
    • P48 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Other Economic Systems - - - Legal Institutions; Property Rights; Natural Resources; Energy; Environment; Regional Studies
    • N25 - Economic History - - Financial Markets and Institutions - - - Asia including Middle East

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