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Financial development and economic growth in Mainland China: a note on testing demand-following or supply-leading hypothesis

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  • Tsangyao Chang

Abstract

In this note two competing hypotheses are empirically tested, namely those of the demand-following and supply-leading, using multivariate VAR models for Mainland China over the period 1987Q1 to 1999Q4. Johansen cointegration results indicate that there exists one cointegrating vector among GDP, financial development and the degree of openness of three variables. The results from Granger causality tests based on multivariate error-correction models (ECM) suggest independence between financial development and economic growth. This empirical result supports neither the demand-following nor the supply-leading hypothesis for Mainland China.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Taylor & Francis Journals in its journal Applied Economics Letters.

Volume (Year): 9 (2002)
Issue (Month): 13 ()
Pages: 869-873

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Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:13:p:869-873

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Cited by:
  1. Shaheen, Safana & Awan, Masood Sarwar & Waqas, Muhammad & Aslam, Muhammad Amir, 2011. "Financial Development, International Trade and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Pakistan," MPRA Paper 32876, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  2. Tronzano, Marco, 2011. "“Finance and Growth: A Reassessment of the Empirical Evidence for the Indian Economy” - Finanza e crescita: un riesame dell’evidenza empirica nel caso dell’India," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio di Genova, vol. 64(3), pages 329-364.
  3. Bassam AbuAl-Foul & Ismail Genc & Musa Darayseh, . "On the Causal Link between Financial Development and Economic Growth: Case of Jordan," Economics Working Papers 18-04/2014, School of Business Administration, American University of Sharjah.
  4. Hyoungsoo Zang & Young Chul Kim, 2007. "Does financial development precede growth? Robinson and Lucas might be right," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(1), pages 15-19.
  5. Muhammad Arshad Khan & Abdul Qayyum, 2007. "Trade Liberalisation, Financial Development and Economic Growth," PIDE-Working Papers 2007:19, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics.
  6. Xun Lu & Dietrich Fausten & Russell Smyth, 2007. "Financial Development, Capital Accumulation and Productivity Improvement: Evidence from China," Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(3), pages 227-242.
  7. Wolde-Rufael, Yemane, 2009. "Re-examining the financial development and economic growth nexus in Kenya," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(6), pages 1140-1146, November.
  8. Halkos, George, 2010. "Financial and real sector interactions:the case of Greece," MPRA Paper 24391, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  9. Wong Hock Tsen, 2006. "Granger causality tests among openness to international trade, human capital accumulation and economic growth in China: 1952-1999," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(3), pages 285-302.
  10. George E. Halkos & Marianna K. Trigoni, 2010. "Financial development and economic growth: evidence from the European Union," Managerial Finance, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 36(11), pages 949-957, November.
  11. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Shabbir, Shahbaz Muhammad & Butt, Muhammad Sabihuddin, 2011. "Effect of financial development on agricultural growth in Pakistan: new extensions from bounds test to level relationships and granger causality tests," MPRA Paper 34162, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 16 Oct 2011.
  12. George E. HALKOS & Marianna K. TRIGONI, 2010. "231 Financial And Real Sector Interactions: The Case Of Greece," Journal of Applied Economic Sciences, Spiru Haret University, Faculty of Financial Management and Accounting Craiova, vol. 5(3(13)/Fal), pages 231-246.
  13. Kyophilavong, Phouphet & Salah Uddin, Gazi & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2014. "The Nexus Between Financial Development and Economic Growth in Lao PDR," MPRA Paper 57308, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 14 Jul 2014.
  14. Hongbing HU & Meng SU & Wenhua LEE, 2013. "Insurance Activity and Economic Growth Nexus in 31 Regions of China: Bootstrap Panel Causality Test," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 182-198, October.
  15. Polat, Ali & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Ur Rehman, Ijaz & Satti, Saqlain Latif, 2013. "Revisiting Linkages between Financial Development, Trade Openness and Economic Growth in South Africa: Fresh Evidence from Combined Cointegration Test," MPRA Paper 51724, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 25 Nov 2013.

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