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The Fiscal Multiplier And Economic Policy Analysis In The United States

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  • Charles J. Whalen
  • Felix Reichling

Abstract

type="main" xml:id="coep12104-abs-0001"> The Great Recession sparked wide interest in the economic effects of fiscal policy. That interest is reflected in an ongoing debate over the size of the fiscal multiplier. This survey article addresses three questions: What models do economists use to estimate that multiplier? Why do estimates of it vary widely? How can economists use those estimates to judiciously analyze U.S. economic policy? ( JEL E62, H30, H50)

Suggested Citation

  • Charles J. Whalen & Felix Reichling, 2015. "The Fiscal Multiplier And Economic Policy Analysis In The United States," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 33(4), pages 735-746, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:coecpo:v:33:y:2015:i:4:p:735-746
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    Cited by:

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    2. Ursel Baumann & David Lodge & Mirela S. Miescu, 2024. "Global growth on life support? The contributions of fiscal and monetary policy since the global financial crisis," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 76-90, January.
    3. Stiglitz, Joseph, 2021. "Lessons from COVID-19 and Trump for Theory and Policy (Paper)," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 43(4), pages 749-760.
    4. Dime, Roselle & Ginting, Edimon & Zhuang, Juzhong, 2021. "Estimating Fiscal Multipliers in Selected Asian Economies," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 638, Asian Development Bank.
    5. Paul Carrillo & Anthony Yezer & Jozefina Kalaj, 2017. "Could Austerity Collapse the Economy of Puerto Rico?," Working Papers 2017-17, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy.
    6. Şen, Hüseyin & Kaya, Ayşe, 2017. "How large are fiscal multipliers in Turkey?," EconStor Preprints 162763, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    7. Cem Çebi & K.Azim Özdemir, 2021. "Cyclical variation of the fiscal multiplier in Turkey," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(2), pages 495-509, January.
    8. Dean Baker & Nick Buffie, 2015. "Pension Funding and the Economy: Would “Proper” Funding Cost Jobs?," CEPR Reports and Issue Briefs 2015-22, Center for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR).
    9. Allan Gloe Dizioli & Ursel Baumann & Alistair Dieppe & Allan Gloe Dizioli, 2017. "Tremendous global spillovers. Analysis and mechanisms of the destination based border adjustment tax," EcoMod2017 10520, EcoMod.
    10. Jiménez, Alvaro & Rodríguez, Gabriel & Ataurima Arellano, Miguel, 2023. "Time-varying impact of fiscal shocks over GDP growth in Peru: An empirical application using hybrid TVP-VAR-SV models," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 314-332.
    11. D. J. Penzin & E. T. Adamgbe, 2019. "Estimation of Fiscal Multipliers and Its Macroeconomic Impact: The Case of Nigeria," Economic and Financial Review, Central Bank of Nigeria, vol. 57(2), June.
    12. Syed Sadaqat Ali Shah & Muhammad Asim Afridi, 2023. "Cyclical variation of fiscal multipliers in Caucasus and Central Asia economies: an empirical evidence," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(6), pages 4531-4563, December.
    13. Fernando, Roshen & McKibbin, Warwick J., 2021. "Macroeconomic Policy Adjustments due to COVID-19: Scenarios to 2025 with a Focus on Asia," ADBI Working Papers 1219, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    14. Etienne Farvaque & Florence Huart, 2017. "A policymaker’s guide to a Euro area stabilization fund," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 34(1), pages 11-30, April.
    15. Shigeaki Ogibayashi & Kosei Takashima, 2017. "Influence of Inefficiency in Government Expenditure on the Multiplier of Public Investment," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 50(4), pages 549-577, December.
    16. Posgay, István & Regős, Gábor & Horváth, Diána & Molnár, Dániel, 2019. "Chapters from Economic Theories on Hysteresis," Public Finance Quarterly, Corvinus University of Budapest, vol. 64(3), pages 414-432.
    17. Baumann, Ursel & Lodge, David & Miescu, Mirela S., 2019. "Global growth on life support? The contributions of fiscal and monetary policy since the global financial crisis," Working Paper Series 2248, European Central Bank.
    18. Eduardo de Sá Fortes Leitão Rodrigues, 2020. "Uncertainty And The Effectiveness Of Fiscal Policy In The United States And Brazil: Svar Approach," Working Papers REM 2020/0150, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    19. Harald Uhlig, 2016. "Comment on "Jump-Starting the Euro Area Recovery: Would a Rise in Core Fiscal Spending Help the Periphery?"," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2016, Volume 31, pages 183-197, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    20. Deborah Lucas, 2016. "Credit Policy as Fiscal Policy," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 47(1 (Spring), pages 1-57.
    21. Baumann, Ursel & Dieppe, Alistair & Dizioli, Allan Gloe, 2017. "Why should the world care? Analysis, mechanisms and spillovers of the destination based border adjusted tax," Working Paper Series 2093, European Central Bank.
    22. Eduardo de Sa Fortes Leitao Rodrigues, 2023. "Uncertainty and the effectiveness of fiscal policy in the United States and Brasil: SVAR Approach," Working Papers 2023.03, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H30 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - General
    • H50 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - General

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