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The New Economics of Equilibrium Sorting and Policy Evaluation Using Housing Markets

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  • Nicolai V. Kuminoff
  • V. Kerry Smith
  • Christopher Timmins

Abstract

Households "sort" across neighborhoods according to their wealth and their preferences for public goods, social characteristics, and commuting opportunities. The aggregation of these individual choices in markets and in other institutions influences the supply of amenities and local public goods. Pollution, congestion, and the quality of public education are examples. Over the past decade, advances in economic models of this sorting process have led to a new framework that promises to alter the ways we conceptualize the policy evaluation process in the future. These "equilibrium sorting" models use the properties of market equilibria, together with information on household behavior, to infer structural parameters that characterize preference heterogeneity. The results can be used to develop theoretically consistent predictions for the welfare implications of future policy changes. Analysis is not confined to marginal effects or a partial equilibrium setting. Nor is it limited to prices and quantities. Sorting models can integrate descriptions of how nonmarket goods are generated, estimate how they affect decision making, and, in turn, predict how they will be affected by future policies targeting prices or quantities. Conversely, sorting models can predict how equilibrium prices and quantities will be affected by policies that target product quality, information, or amenities generated by the sorting process. These capabilities are just beginning to be understood and used in applied research. This survey article aims to synthesize the state of knowledge on equilibrium sorting, the new possibilities for policy analysis, and the conceptual and empirical challenges that define the frontiers of the literature.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by American Economic Association in its journal Journal of Economic Literature.

Volume (Year): 51 (2013)
Issue (Month): 4 (December)
Pages: 1007-62

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Handle: RePEc:aea:jeclit:v:51:y:2013:i:4:p:1007-62

Note: DOI: 10.1257/jel.51.4.1007
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  1. David Albouy & Bert Lue, 2014. "Driving to Opportunity: Local Rents, Wages, Commuting Costs and Sub-Metropolitan Quality of Life," NBER Working Papers 19922, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. Kevin Haninger & Lala Ma & Christopher Timmins, 2014. "The Value of Brownfield Remediation," NBER Working Papers 20296, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  3. Gabriel M. Ahfeldt & Pantelis Koutroumpis & Tommaso Valletti, 2014. "Speed 2.0. Evaluating Access to Universal Digital Highways," SERC Discussion Papers, Spatial Economics Research Centre, LSE 0161, Spatial Economics Research Centre, LSE.
  4. Devin Bunten & Matthew E. Kahn, 2014. "The Impact of Emerging Climate Risks on Urban Real Estate Price Dynamics," NBER Working Papers 20018, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  5. Heinz Welsch & Susana Ferreira, 2014. "Environment, Well-Being, and Experienced Preference," Working Papers, University of Oldenburg, Department of Economics V-367-14, University of Oldenburg, Department of Economics, revised May 2014.
  6. Marius Brülhart & Sam Bucovetsky & Kurt Schmidheiny, 2014. "Taxes in Cities," CESifo Working Paper Series 4951, CESifo Group Munich.

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