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How Much Should We Trust the Dictator’s GDP Growth Estimates?

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Takahiro Yamada & Christian S. Otchia, 2025. "Industrial Development, Poverty Reduction, and Inequality: A Robustness Test Using Nighttime Lights in Vietnam," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(4), pages 5820-5833, August.
  2. Cipullo, Davide & Reslow, André, 2022. "Electoral cycles in macroeconomic forecasts," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 307-340.
  3. Irakli Barbakadze & Jan Fidrmuc & Martin Hulényi & Ketevani Kapanadze, 2026. "Russia’s Wartime Economy: Measuring Regional Inequalities from Outer Space," CESifo Working Paper Series 12869, CESifo.
  4. Cabra-Ruiz, Nicolás & Rozo, Sandra V. & Sviatschi, Maria Micaela, 2025. "Forced Displacement, the Perpetuation of Autocratic Leadership, and Development in Origin Countries," IZA Discussion Papers 17671, IZA Network @ LISER.
  5. Parrendah Adwoa Kpeli & Günther G. Schulze & Nikita Zakharov, 2024. "Elections and (mis)reporting of COVID-19 mortality," Discussion Paper Series 48 JEL Classification: D7, Department of International Economic Policy, University of Freiburg, revised Apr 2024.
  6. Liu, Honglin & Liu, Qiao & Liu, Yufei, 2023. "The world price of macro opacity: Through the lens of nighttime satellites," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
  7. Giorgio Chiovelli & Stelios Michalopoulus & Elias Papaioannou & Tanner Regan, 2025. "Illuminating the Global South," Working Papers 2025-009, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research.
  8. Deniz, Pinar & Stengos, Thanasis, 2025. "Heterogeneity of institutions and model uncertainty in the income inequality nexus," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
  9. Cabra-Ruiz, Nicolás & Rozo, Sandra & Sviatschi, María Micaela, 2025. "Forced Displacement, the Perpetuation of Autocratic Leadership, and Development in Origin Countries," Policy Research Working Paper Series 11049, The World Bank.
  10. Geloso, Vincent & Hyde, Kelly & Murtazashvili, Ilia, 2026. "Diseases of commerce: Unbundling economic freedom and public health," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
  11. Arpita Chatterjee & Richa Saraf, 2024. "Impact of China on commodity exporters," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(3), pages 1462-1491, August.
  12. Chuantao Cui & Leona Shao-Zhi Li, 2024. "More but not better: Career incentives of local leaders and entrepreneurial entry in China," Working Papers 202417, University of Macau, Faculty of Business Administration.
  13. Diep Hoang Phan, 2023. "Lights and GDP relationship: What does the computer tell us?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(3), pages 1215-1252, September.
  14. Zhang, Jingyu & Wang, Zhongyu & Tang, Xiao, 2025. "How can governments mitigate statistical data manipulation? Evidence from China's enterprises’ direct report reform," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 250(C).
  15. Sundar Ponnusamy & Marco Faravelli, 2023. "Terrorism and Local Economic Development," Discussion Papers Series 664, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
  16. Mahler, Daniel Gerszon & Schoch, Marta & Lakner, Christoph & Nguyen, Minh Cong, 2025. "Predicting Income Distributions from Almost Nothing," Policy Research Working Paper Series 11034, The World Bank.
  17. Anton Yang & Jianwei Ai & Costas Arkolakis, 2025. "A Geospatial Approach to Measuring Economic Activity," NBER Working Papers 33619, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  18. Yit Wey Liew & Muhammad Habibur Rahman & Audrey Kim Lan Siah, 2023. "Rail Stations To Development: Evidence From Colonial Malaya," Department of Economics Working Papers 2023_01, Durham University, Department of Economics.
  19. Elena V McLean & Jeheung Ryu & Taehee Whang, 2024. "The effect of economic coercion on companies’ foreign direct investment decisions: Evidence from sanctions against Russia," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 41(4), pages 438-462, July.
  20. Imam, Patrick A. & Temple, Jonathan R.W., 2024. "Political institutions and output collapses," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
  21. Kathleen J. Brown, 2025. "Why hide? Africa’s unreported debt to China," The Review of International Organizations, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 1-32, March.
  22. Daniel Freund & Samuel B. Hopkins, 2023. "Towards Practical Robustness Auditing for Linear Regression," Papers 2307.16315, arXiv.org.
  23. Easterly, William & Pennings, Steven, 2025. "Leader value added: Assessing the growth contribution of individual national leaders," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
  24. Briviba, Andre & Frey, Bruno & Moser, Louis & Bieri, Sandro, 2024. "Governments manipulate official Statistics: Institutions matter," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
  25. Sundar Ponnusamy & Mohammad Abbas Hakeem, 2024. "Ethnic inequality and public health," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(1), pages 41-58, January.
  26. Mengjiao Wang & Xiaofang Xu & Liyuan Zheng & Xiaolu Xu & Yukuo Zhang, 2023. "Analysis of the Relationship between Economic Development and Water Resources–Ecological Management Capacity in China Based on Nighttime Lighting Data," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(3), pages 1-19, January.
  27. Haggard, Stephan & Kim, Kyoochul & Lee, Munseob, 2026. "Studying economic black holes: Lessons from North Korea," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
  28. Fetzer, Thiemo & Yotzov, Ivan, 2023. "(How) Do electoral surprises drive business cycles? Evidence from a new dataset," CAGE Online Working Paper Series 672, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE).
  29. Yit Wey Liew & Muhammad Habibur Rahman & Audrey Kim Lan Siah, 2026. "Colonial origins of agglomeration: Evidence from Malayan rail stations," Economic History Review, Economic History Society, vol. 79(1), pages 221-246, February.
  30. Neil Fargher & Lijuan Zhang, 2024. "Investor protection, aggregate changes in profit margins and forecasts of growth in GDP: international evidence," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 29(4), pages 3497-3533, December.
  31. He, Canfei & Li, Jing & Wang, Wenyu & Zhang, Peng, 2024. "Regional resilience during a trade war: The role of global connections and local networks," Journal of World Business, Elsevier, vol. 59(5).
  32. Dang, Hai-Anh H. & Pullinger,John & Serajuddin, Umar & Stacy, Brian William, 2024. "Reviewing Assessment Tools for Measuring Country Statistical Capacity," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10717, The World Bank.
  33. Shapiro, Daniel & Oh, Chang Hoon & Zhang, Peng, 2023. "Nighttime lights data and their implications for IB research," Journal of International Management, Elsevier, vol. 29(5).
  34. Gong, Da & Shang, Zhuocheng & Su, Yaqin & Yan, Andong & Zhang, Qi, 2024. "Economic impacts of China's zero-COVID policies," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
  35. van der Weide, Roy & Blankespoor, Brian & Elbers, Chris & Lanjouw, Peter, 2024. "How accurate is a poverty map based on remote sensing data? An application to Malawi," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
  36. David Wuepper & Wyclife Agumba Oluoch & Hadi Hadi, 2025. "Satellite Data in Agricultural and Environmental Economics: Theory and Practice," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 56(3), pages 493-511, May.
  37. Mahler, Daniel Gerszon & Schoch, Marta & Lakner, Christoph & Nguyen, Minh Cong, 2026. "A parsimonious approach to predicting income distributions," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
  38. Alvarez, Sean P. & Geloso, Vincent & Scheck, Macy, 2024. "Revisiting the relationship between economic freedom and development to account for statistical deception by autocratic regimes," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
  39. Grossman, Gene M. & Helpman, Elhanan, 2023. "Electoral competition with fake news," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
  40. Stefaniia Parubets & Hisahiro Naito, 2025. "Predicting Economic Activity Using Atmospheric NO2 Satellite Data: Evidence from Local Economic Indicators in Japan," Tsukuba Economics Working Papers 2025-002, Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences, University of Tsukuba.
  41. Tanner Regan & Giorgio Chiovelli & Stelios Michalopoulos & Elias Papaioannou, 2023. "Illuminating Africa?," Working Papers 2023-11, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy.
  42. Barriga Cabanillas, Oscar Eduardo & Kosmidou-Bradley, Walker & Redaelli, Silvia & Tateishi, Eigo & Teruggi, Ivo, 2024. "Afghanistan’s New Economic Landscape : Using Nighttime Lights to Understand the Civilian Economy after 2021," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10969, The World Bank.
  43. Jose Morales-Arilla, 2025. "Autocrats in crisis mode: Strategic favoritism during economic shocks," Working Paper Series of the School of Government and Public Transformation 15, School of Governement and Public Transformation.
  44. Sibo Liu & Alexey Makarin & Jinfeng Wu & Dong Zhang, 2026. "The War of Ideas: Institutions and Global Media Bias," CESifo Working Paper Series 12459, CESifo.
  45. Dang, Hai-Anh H & Jolliffe, Dean & Serajuddin, Umar & Stacy, Brian, 2024. "Country Statistical Capacity: A Recent Assessment Tool and Further Reflections on the Way Forward," IZA Discussion Papers 16892, IZA Network @ LISER.
  46. Bonggeun Kim & John Gibson & Geua Boe‐Gibson, 2024. "Measurement errors in popular night lights data may bias estimated impacts of economic sanctions: Evidence from closing the Kaesong Industrial Zone," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 62(1), pages 375-389, January.
  47. Werner Hernani Limarino & Ahmed Eid, 2026. "Smog, not lights. Tracking Bolivia’s 2024–2026 recession from space," Development Research Working Paper Series 06/2026, Institute for Advanced Development Studies.
  48. Rogoff, Kenneth S. & Yang, Yuanchen, 2024. "A tale of tier 3 cities," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
  49. Li, Shihan & Li, Si & Liu, Qingfu & Wei, Xiao, 2025. "Still water runs deep: Soft power in chinese prefectures and municipalities," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
  50. Horn, Sebastian & Mihalyi, David & Nickol, Philipp & Sosa Padilla, César, 2024. "Hidden debt revelations," Ruhr Economic Papers 1101, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
  51. Ye, Yongwei & Kong, Dongmin & Li, Renzhi & Li, Xiaofan & Tao, Yunqing, 2024. "Online judicial auction, loan availability, and corporate investment in China," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 56(6).
  52. Li, Xiaoxia & Cai, Guilong & Lin, Bingxuan & Luo, Danglun, 2024. "Macroeconomic data manipulation and corporate investment efficiency: Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
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