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The volatility of temperature and pricing of weather derivatives

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Lunina, Veronika, 2016. "Joint Modelling of Power Price, Temperature, and Hydrological Balance with a View towards Scenario Analysis," Working Papers 2016:30, Lund University, Department of Economics.
  2. Július Bemš & Caner Aydin, 2022. "Introduction to weather derivatives," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Energy and Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 11(3), May.
  3. Ahmet Göncü, 2013. "Comparison of temperature models using heating and cooling degree days futures," Journal of Risk Finance, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 14(2), pages 159-178, February.
  4. Rui Zhou & Johnny Siu-Hang Li & Jeffrey Pai, 2019. "Pricing temperature derivatives with a filtered historical simulation approach," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(15), pages 1462-1484, October.
  5. Andrea Barth & Fred Espen Benth & Jurgen Potthoff, 2011. "Hedging of Spatial Temperature Risk with Market-Traded Futures," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(2), pages 93-117.
  6. Zong, Lu & Ender, Manuela, 2013. "Model Comparison for Temperature-based Weather Derivatives in Mainland China," Conference papers 332293, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
  7. Bortolan, Leonardo & Dey, Atreya & Taschini, Luca, 2024. "Volatile temperatures and their effects on equity returns and firm performance," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 128521, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  8. Allou Allou Alphonse & José Carlos Trejo-García & Miguel Ángel Martínez-García, 2018. "Opción climática para la producción de café en México (Climate Option of Coffee Production in Mexico)," Ensayos Revista de Economía, Universidad Autónoma de Nuevo León, vol. 37(2), pages 135-154, November.
  9. Zhuoxin Liu & Laijun Zhao & Chenchen Wang & Yong Yang & Jian Xue & Xin Bo & Deqiang Li & Dengguo Liu, 2019. "An Actuarial Pricing Method for Air Quality Index Options," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(24), pages 1-19, December.
  10. A. Alexandridis & A. Zapranis, 2013. "Wind Derivatives: Modeling and Pricing," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 41(3), pages 299-326, March.
  11. Dupuis, Debbie J., 2011. "Forecasting temperature to price CME temperature derivatives," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 602-618, April.
  12. Mina D’Aversa & Alessandra Mainini & Enrico Moretto & Silvana Stefani & Pierpaolo Uberti, 2025. "Minimizing the impact of geographical basis risk on weather derivatives," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 347(1), pages 535-551, April.
  13. Žmuk Berislav & Kovač Matej, 2020. "Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and GARCH model for temperature forecasting in weather derivatives valuation," Croatian Review of Economic, Business and Social Statistics, Paradigm, vol. 6(1), pages 27-42, May.
  14. Samuel Asante Gyamerah & Philip Ngare & Dennis Ikpe, 2018. "Regime-Switching Temperature Dynamics Model for Weather Derivatives," International Journal of Stochastic Analysis, Hindawi, vol. 2018, pages 1-15, July.
  15. Ke Wan & Alain Kornhauser, 2023. "Market Making and Pricing of Financial Derivatives based on Road Travel Times," Papers 2305.02523, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
  16. Cui, Hairong & Zhou, Ying & Dzandu, Michael D. & Tang, Yinshan & Lu, Xunfa, 2019. "Is temperature-index derivative suitable for China?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 536(C).
  17. Dorfleitner, Gregor & Wimmer, Maximilian, 2010. "The pricing of temperature futures at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(6), pages 1360-1370, June.
  18. Matteo Gardini & Edoardo Santilli, 2023. "A Heath-Jarrow-Morton framework for energy markets: a pragmatic approach," Papers 2305.01485, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2023.
  19. A. Zapranis & A. Alexandridis, 2008. "Modelling the Temperature Time-dependent Speed of Mean Reversion in the Context of Weather Derivatives Pricing," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(4), pages 355-386.
  20. Frank Schiller & Gerold Seidler & Maximilian Wimmer, 2012. "Temperature models for pricing weather derivatives," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(3), pages 489-500, March.
  21. Evarest Emmanuel & Berntsson Fredrik & Singull Martin & Yang Xiangfeng, 2018. "Weather derivatives pricing using regime switching model," Monte Carlo Methods and Applications, De Gruyter, vol. 24(1), pages 13-27, March.
  22. Fernando Alves Silveira & Silvio Parodi de Oliveira Camilo, 2024. "A blockchain-based platform for trading weather derivatives," Digital Finance, Springer, vol. 6(1), pages 3-22, March.
  23. Yonatan Berman & Eshel Ben-Jacob & Xin Zhang & Yoash Shapira, 2016. "Analyzing the Long Term Cohesive Effect of Sector Specific Driving Forces," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(3), pages 1-16, March.
  24. Zura Kakushadze & Juan Andrés Serur, 2018. "151 Trading Strategies," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-030-02792-6.
  25. Hougaard, Jens Leth & Kronborg, Dorte & Smilgins, Aleksandrs, 2017. "Fair division of costs in green energy markets," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 220-230.
  26. Romain Biard & Christophette Blanchet-Scalliet & Anne Eyraud-Loisel & Stéphane Loisel, 2013. "Impact of Climate Change on Heat Wave Risk," Risks, MDPI, vol. 1(3), pages 1-16, December.
  27. Makkonen, Adam & Vallström, Daniel & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Rahman, Md Lutfur & Haddad, Michel Ferreira Cardia, 2021. "The effect of temperature anomaly and macroeconomic fundamentals on agricultural commodity futures returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
  28. Benth, Fred Espen & Saltyte Benth, Jurate, 2009. "Dynamic pricing of wind futures," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 16-24, January.
  29. Jr‐Wei Huang & Sharon S. Yang & Chuang‐Chang Chang, 2018. "Modeling temperature behaviors: Application to weather derivative valuation," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(9), pages 1152-1175, September.
  30. Joanna Janczura, 2012. "Pricing electricity derivatives within a Markov regime-switching model," Papers 1203.5442, arXiv.org.
  31. Wei Yuan & Ahmet Göncü & Giray Ökten, 2015. "Estimating sensitivities of temperature-based weather derivatives," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(19), pages 1942-1955, April.
  32. Markus Hess, 2016. "Modeling And Pricing Precipitation Derivatives Under Weather Forecasts," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 19(07), pages 1-29, November.
  33. Asante Gyamerah, Samuel & Ngare, Philip & Ikpe, Dennis, 2018. "A Levy Regime-Switching Temperature Dynamics Model for Weather Derivatives," MPRA Paper 89680, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 10 Jul 2018.
  34. Fred Espen Benth & Jūratė Šaltytė Benth, 2012. "Modeling and Pricing in Financial Markets for Weather Derivatives," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number 8457.
  35. repec:ere:journl:v:xxxvii:y:2018:i:2:p:135-154 is not listed on IDEAS
  36. Šaltytė Benth, Jūratė & Benth, Fred Espen, 2012. "A critical view on temperature modelling for application in weather derivatives markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 592-602.
  37. Qibin Duan & Clare A McGrory & Glenn Brown & Kerrie Mengersen & You-Gan Wang, 2022. "Spatio-temporal quantile regression analysis revealing more nuanced patterns of climate change: A study of long-term daily temperature in Australia," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(8), pages 1-16, August.
  38. Martínez, Beatriz & Torró, Hipòlit, 2015. "European natural gas seasonal effects on futures hedging," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 154-168.
  39. Leonardo Bortolan & Atreya Dey & Luca Taschini, 2024. "Volatile Temperatures and Their Effects on Equity Returns and Firm Performance," CESifo Working Paper Series 11438, CESifo.
  40. Caporin, Massimiliano & Preś, Juliusz & Torro, Hipolit, 2012. "Model based Monte Carlo pricing of energy and temperature Quanto options," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(5), pages 1700-1712.
  41. Eirini Konstantinidi & Gkaren Papazian & George Skiadopoulos, 2015. "Modeling the Dynamics of Temperature with a View to Weather Derivatives," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Anastasios G Malliaris & William T Ziemba (ed.), THE WORLD SCIENTIFIC HANDBOOK OF FUTURES MARKETS, chapter 17, pages 511-544, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
  42. Markus Hess, 2018. "Pricing Temperature Derivatives Under Weather Forecasts," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 21(05), pages 1-34, August.
  43. Nelson Christopher Dzupire & Philip Ngare & Leo Odongo, 2019. "Pricing Basket Weather Derivatives on Rainfall and Temperature Processes," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-14, June.
  44. Joanna Janczura, 2014. "Pricing electricity derivatives within a Markov regime-switching model: a risk premium approach," Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research (GOR);Nederlands Genootschap voor Besliskunde (NGB), vol. 79(1), pages 1-30, February.
  45. Fred Espen Benth & Jūratė Šaltytė Benth & Steen Koekebakker, 2008. "Stochastic Modeling of Electricity and Related Markets," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number 6811.
  46. Jing Wang, 2018. "Stability and Complexity Analysis of Temperature Index Model Considering Stochastic Perturbation," Advances in Mathematical Physics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 2018(1).
  47. Sudeesha Warunasinghe & Anatoliy Swishchuk, 2025. "A Novel Stochastic Copula Model for the Texas Energy Market," Risks, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-32, July.
  48. Elias, R.S. & Wahab, M.I.M. & Fang, L., 2014. "A comparison of regime-switching temperature modeling approaches for applications in weather derivatives," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 232(3), pages 549-560.
  49. Wong, Hoi Ying & Lo, Yu Wai, 2009. "Option pricing with mean reversion and stochastic volatility," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 197(1), pages 179-187, August.
  50. Matteo Gardini & Edoardo Santilli, 2025. "A Heath–Jarrow–Morton framework for energy markets: review and applications for practitioners," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 48(1), pages 603-642, June.
  51. Yuji Yamada & Takuji Matsumoto, 2023. "Construction of Mixed Derivatives Strategy for Wind Power Producers," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(9), pages 1-26, April.
  52. Martínez-Salgueiro, Andrea & Tarrazón-Rodón, María-Antonia, 2020. "Is diversification effective in reducing the systemic risk implied by a market for weather index-based insurance in Spain?," MPRA Paper 119924, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 19 May 2021.
  53. Dupuis, Debbie J., 2011. "Forecasting temperature to price CME temperature derivatives," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 602-618.
  54. Alexandridis, Antonis K. & Kampouridis, Michael & Cramer, Sam, 2017. "A comparison of wavelet networks and genetic programming in the context of temperature derivatives," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 21-47.
  55. Monteux, Manou & Arcuri, Maria Cristina & Gandolfi, Gino & Caselli, Stefano, 2025. "Can extreme weather forecasts lead to a risk premium? Evidence of a non-linear response in U.S. natural gas futures," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
  56. Gülpınar, Nalân & Çanakoḡlu, Ethem, 2017. "Robust portfolio selection problem under temperature uncertainty," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 256(2), pages 500-523.
  57. Beyazıt, Mehmet Fuat & Koc, Erdogan, 2010. "An analysis of snow options for ski resort establishments," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 31(5), pages 676-683.
  58. Broeders, Dirk & Dimitrov, Daniel & Verhoeven, Niek, 2025. "Climate-linked bonds," Working Paper Series 3011, European Central Bank.
  59. Dirk Broeders & Daniel Dimitrov & Niek Verhoeven, 2024. "Climate-Linked Bonds," Working Papers 817, DNB.
  60. Ritter, Matthias & Mußhoff, Oliver & Odening, Martin, 2010. "Meteorological forecasts and the pricing of weather derivatives," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2010-043, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
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