Joint Bayesian Inference about Impulse Responses in VAR Models
Citations
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Cited by:
- Finck, David & Tillmann, Peter, 2022. "The macroeconomic effects of global supply chain disruptions," BOFIT Discussion Papers 14/2022, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
- Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2022.
"The impact of rising oil prices on U.S. inflation and inflation expectations in 2020–23,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2021. "The Impact of Rising Oil Prices on U.S. Inflation and Inflation Expectations in 2020-23," Working Papers 2116, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2021. "The impact of rising oil prices on U.S. inflation and inflation expectations in 2020-23," CFS Working Paper Series 670, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2021. "The Impact of Rising Oil Prices on U.S. Inflation and Inflation Expectations in 2020-23," CESifo Working Paper Series 9455, CESifo.
- Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2021. "The Impact of Rising Oil Prices on U.S. Inflation and Inflation Expectations in 2020-23," CEPR Discussion Papers 16776, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Atsushi Inoue & Lutz Kilian, 2020.
"The Role of the Prior in Estimating VAR Models with Sign Restrictions,"
Working Papers
2030, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Inoue, Atsushi & Kilian, Lutz, 2021. "The role of the prior in estimating VAR models with sign restrictions," CFS Working Paper Series 660, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Kilian, Lutz & Inoue, Atsushi, 2020. "The Role of the Prior in Estimating VAR Models with Sign Restrictions," CEPR Discussion Papers 15545, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Gao, Jiti & Peng, Bin & Wu, Wei Biao & Yan, Yayi, 2024.
"Time-varying multivariate causal processes,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 240(1).
- Jiti Gao & Bin Peng & Wei Biao Wu & Yayi Yan, 2022. "Time-Varying Multivariate Causal Processes," Papers 2206.00409, arXiv.org.
- Jiti Gao & Bin Peng & Wei Biao Wu & Yayi Yan, 2022. "Time-Varying Multivariate Causal Processes," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 8/22, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2023.
"A broader perspective on the inflationary effects of energy price shocks,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
- Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2022. "A Broader Perspective on the Inflationary Effects of Energy Price Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers 17763, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2023. "A broader perspective on the inflationary effects of energy price shocks," CFS Working Paper Series 686, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2022. "A Broader Perspective on the Inflationary Effects of Energy Price Shocks," Working Papers 2224, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Lutz Kilian & Nikos Nomikos & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2023.
"A Quantitative Model of the Oil Tanker Market in the Arabian Gulf,"
The Energy Journal, , vol. 44(5), pages 95-114, September.
- Kilian, Lutz & Nikos, Nomikos & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2020. "A Quantitative Model of the Oil Tanker Market in the Arabian Gulf," CEPR Discussion Papers 14798, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Kilian, Lutz & Nomikos, Nikos K. & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2020. "A quantitative model of the oil tanker market in the Arabian Gulf," CFS Working Paper Series 648, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Lutz Kilian & Nikos Nomikos & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2020. "A Quantitative Model of the Oil Tanker Market in the Arabian Gulf," Working Papers 2015, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Lutz Kilian & Nikos Nomikos & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2020. "A Quantitative Model of the Oil Tanker Market in the Arabian Gulf," CESifo Working Paper Series 8332, CESifo.
- Stefano Neri, 2025. "Energy prices, inflation and the ECB's monetary policy during the 2021-22 energy crisis," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1481, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Chen, Zhengyang & Valcarcel, Victor J., 2025.
"Modeling inflation expectations in forward-looking interest rate and money growth rules,"
EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 170, pages 1-21.
- Chen, Zhengyang & Valcarcel, Victor J., 2025. "Modeling inflation expectations in forward-looking interest rate and money growth rules," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
- Yambolov, Andrian, 2025. "How to conduct joint Bayesian inference in VAR models?," Working Paper Series 3100, European Central Bank.
- Berger, Tino & Richter, Julia & Wong, Benjamin, 2022.
"A unified approach for jointly estimating the business and financial cycle, and the role of financial factors,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
- Tino Berger & Julia Richter & Benjamin Wong, 2020. "Financial Factors and the Business Cycle," CAMA Working Papers 2020-44, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Berger, Tino & Richter, Julia & Wong, Benjamin, 2021. "A unified approach for jointly estimating the business and financial cycle, and the role of financial factors," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics 415, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
- Tino Berger & Julia Richter & Benjamin Wong, 2021. "A Unified Approach for Jointly Estimating the Business and Financial Cycle, and the Role of Financial Factors," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 4/21, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Berger, Tino & Richter, Julia & Wong, Benjamin, 2021. "A unified approach for jointly estimating the business and financial cycle, and the role of financial factors," Working Papers 02/2021, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung.
- Jochen Güntner & Magnus Reif & Maik Wolters, 2024.
"Sudden stop: Supply and demand shocks in the German natural gas market,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(7), pages 1282-1300, November.
- Güntner, Jochen & Reif, Magnus & Wolters, Maik H., 2024. "Sudden stop: Supply and demand shocks in the German natural gas market," Discussion Papers 22/2024, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Jochen Güntner & Magnus Reif & Maik Wolters & Maik H. Wolters, 2024. "Sudden Stop: Supply and Demand Shocks in the German Natural Gas Market," CESifo Working Paper Series 11191, CESifo.
- Güntner, Jochen & Reif, Magnus & Wolters, Maik H., 2024. "Sudden stop: Supply and demand shocks in the German natural gas market," IMFS Working Paper Series 206, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2022.
"Oil prices, exchange rates and interest rates,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2019. "Oil prices, exchange rates, and interest rates," 2019 Meeting Papers 592, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2020. "Oil prices, exchange rates and interest rates," CFS Working Paper Series 646, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Lutz Kilian & Zhou Xiaoqing, 2019. "Oil Prices, Exchange Rates and Interest Rates," CESifo Working Paper Series 7484, CESifo.
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2019. "Oil Prices, Exchange Rates and Interest Rates," Working Papers 1914, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2019. "Oil Prices, Exchange Rates and Interest Rates," CEPR Discussion Papers 13478, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2023.
"Oil Price Shocks and Inflation,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
18416, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2023. "Oil Price Shocks and Inflation," Working Papers 2312, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Szafranek, Karol & Szafrański, Grzegorz & Leszczyńska-Paczesna, Agnieszka, 2024.
"Inflation returns. Revisiting the role of external and domestic shocks with Bayesian structural VAR,"
International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 789-810.
- Karol Szafranek & Grzegorz Szafrański & Agnieszka Leszczyńska-Paczesna, 2023. "Inflation returns. Revisiting the role of external and domestic shocks with Bayesian structural VAR," NBP Working Papers 357, Narodowy Bank Polski.
- Robin Braun, 2023. "The importance of supply and demand for oil prices: Evidence from non‐Gaussianity," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 14(4), pages 1163-1198, November.
- Gründler, Daniel, 2024. "Does the inflation pass-through of gasoline price shocks depend on the level of inflation?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
- Paul Carrillo‐Maldonado, 2023. "Partial identification for growth regimes: The case of Latin American countries," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 74(3), pages 557-583, July.
- Kilian, Lutz, 2024. "How to construct monthly VAR proxies based on daily surprises in futures markets," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
- Mohamad B. Karaki & Andrios Neaimeh, 2024. "Do higher global oil and wheat prices matter for the wheat flour price in Lebanon?," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 55(4), pages 559-571, July.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Ricco, Giovanni & Tarbé, Matthieu, 2023.
"Monetary–fiscal crosswinds in the European Monetary Union,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Ricco, Giovanni & Tarbé, Matthieu, 2021. "Monetary-Fiscal Crosswinds in the European Monetary Union," CEPR Discussion Papers 16138, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco & Matthieu Tarbé, 2021. "Monetary-Fiscal Crosswinds in the European Monetary Union," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main) hal-03474950, HAL.
- Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco & Matthieu Tarbé, 2021. "Monetary-Fiscal Crosswinds in the European Monetary Union," Working Papers hal-03474950, HAL.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Ricco, Giovanni & Matthieu Tarbe, 2022. "Monetary-Fiscal Crosswinds in the European Monetary Union," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1432, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco & Matthieu Tarbé, 2021. "Monetary-Fiscal Crosswinds in the European Monetary Union," BIS Working Papers 940, Bank for International Settlements.
- Lukas Berend & Jan Pruser, 2025. "Large structural VARs with multiple linear shock and impact inequality restrictions," Papers 2505.19244, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2025.
- Raffaella Giacomini & Toru Kitagawa & Matthew Read, 2021.
"Identification and Inference Under Narrative Restrictions,"
Papers
2102.06456, arXiv.org.
- Raffaella Giacomini & Toru Kitagawa & Matthew Read, 2023. "Identification and Inference under Narrative Restrictions," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2023-07, Reserve Bank of Australia.
- Benk, Szilard & Gillman, Max, 2023.
"Identifying money and inflation expectation shocks to real oil prices,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
- Benk, Szilárd & Gillman, Max, 2023. "Identifying money and inflation expectation shocks on real oil prices," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 10/2023, Bank of Finland.
- Diab, Sara & Karaki, Mohamad B., 2023. "Do increases in gasoline prices cause higher food prices?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
- Kilian, Lutz, 2025.
"Impulse response diagnostics for priors on parameters in structural vector autoregressions,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 253(C).
- Lutz Kilian, 2025. "Impulse Response Diagnostics for Priors on Parameters in Structural Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers 2507, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Bingchun Liu & Xia Zhang & Yuan Gao & Minghui Xu & Xiaobo Wang, 2025. "China’s Energy Stock Price Index Prediction Based on VECM–BiLSTM Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 18(5), pages 1-21, March.
- Vatsa, Puneet & Pino, Gabriel, 2024. "Do petrol prices affect inflation and inflation expectations? Evidence from New Zealand," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
- Diegel, Max & Nautz, Dieter, 2021. "Long-term inflation expectations and the transmission of monetary policy shocks: Evidence from a SVAR analysis," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
- Ding, Shusheng & Wang, Anqi & Cui, Tianxiang & Du, Anna Min & Zhou, Xinmiao, 2024. "Commodity market stability and sustainable development: The effect of public health policies," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PB).
- Finck, David & Tillmann, Peter, 2023. "The macroeconomic effects of global supply chain disruptions," IMFS Working Paper Series 178, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- Bruns, Martin, 2021. "Proxy Vector Autoregressions in a Data-rich Environment," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
- Zitha, N.B. & Kau, J.S. & Mazwane, S. & Senyolo, G.M., 2023. "The resilience of South African maize industry, in a world of market disruptions: ECM application," 2023 Seventh AAAE/60th AEASA Conference, September 18-21, 2023, Durban, South Africa 364837, African Association of Agricultural Economists (AAAE).
- Kilian, Lutz, 2023.
"How to Construct Monthly VAR Proxies Based on Daily Futures Market Surprises,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
18348, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Lutz Kilian, 2023. "How to Construct Monthly VAR Proxies Based on Daily Futures Market Surprises," Working Papers 2310, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Lukas Berend & Jan Pruser, 2024. "The Transmission of Monetary Policy via Common Cycles in the Euro Area," Papers 2410.05741, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2024.
- Vatsa, Puneet & Pino, Gabriel & Clements, Adam, 2025. "Gasoline prices, gasoline price expectations, and inflation expectations in the United States," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
- Max Breitenlechner & Martin Geiger & Daniel Gründler & Johann Scharler, 2024. "Sequencing the COVID‐19 Recession in the USA: What Were the Macroeconomic Drivers?," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 86(1), pages 119-136, February.
- Gründler, Daniel & Scharler, Johann, 2025. "Does uncertainty amplify the inflation pass-through of gasoline price shocks?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
- Rubaszek, Michał & Szafranek, Karol, 2025. "Modelling oil consumption in Baumeister and Hamilton’s (2019) model of the global oil market," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
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