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TU Delft expert judgment data base

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Cited by:

  1. Gayan Dharmarathne & Gabriela F. Nane & Andrew Robinson & Anca M. Hanea, 2023. "Shrinking the Variance in Experts’ “Classical” Weights Used in Expert Judgment Aggregation," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-14, August.
  2. James K. Hammitt & Yifan Zhang, 2013. "Combining Experts’ Judgments: Comparison of Algorithmic Methods Using Synthetic Data," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 33(1), pages 109-120, January.
  3. Karner, Alex & Niemeier, Deb, 2013. "Civil rights guidance and equity analysis methods for regional transportation plans: a critical review of literature and practice," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 126-134.
  4. Geovanna Hinojoza-Castro & Montserrat Gómez-Delgado & Wenseslao Plata-Rocha, 2022. "Real Estate Developers as Agents in the Simulation of Urban Sprawl," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-12, July.
  5. Werner, Christoph & Bedford, Tim & Cooke, Roger M. & Hanea, Anca M. & Morales-Nápoles, Oswaldo, 2017. "Expert judgement for dependence in probabilistic modelling: A systematic literature review and future research directions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 258(3), pages 801-819.
  6. Flandoli, F. & Giorgi, E. & Aspinall, W.P. & Neri, A., 2011. "Comparison of a new expert elicitation model with the Classical Model, equal weights and single experts, using a cross-validation technique," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 96(10), pages 1292-1310.
  7. David V. Budescu & Eva Chen, 2015. "Identifying Expertise to Extract the Wisdom of Crowds," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 61(2), pages 267-280, February.
  8. Johnston, Reuben & Sarkani, Shahryar & Mazzuchi, Thomas & Holzer, Thomas & Eveleigh, Timothy, 2019. "Bayesian-model averaging using MCMCBayes for web-browser vulnerability discovery," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 341-359.
  9. Elena Verdolini & Laura Díaz Anadón & Erin Baker & Valentina Bosetti & Lara Aleluia Reis, 2018. "Future Prospects for Energy Technologies: Insights from Expert Elicitations," Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 12(1), pages 133-153.
  10. Allaire, Douglas & Noel, George & Willcox, Karen & Cointin, Rebecca, 2014. "Uncertainty quantification of an Aviation Environmental Toolsuite," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 14-24.
  11. Henry A. Roman & James K. Hammitt & Tyra L. Walsh & David M. Stieb, 2012. "Expert Elicitation of the Value per Statistical Life in an Air Pollution Context," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(12), pages 2133-2151, December.
  12. Peter Harrison Howard & Derek Sylvan, 2020. "Wisdom of the experts: Using survey responses to address positive and normative uncertainties in climate-economic models," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 162(2), pages 213-232, September.
  13. Patrick Afflerbach & Christopher Dun & Henner Gimpel & Dominik Parak & Johannes Seyfried, 2021. "A Simulation-Based Approach to Understanding the Wisdom of Crowds Phenomenon in Aggregating Expert Judgment," Business & Information Systems Engineering: The International Journal of WIRTSCHAFTSINFORMATIK, Springer;Gesellschaft für Informatik e.V. (GI), vol. 63(4), pages 329-348, August.
  14. Christopher W. Karvetski & David R. Mandel & Daniel Irwin, 2020. "Improving Probability Judgment in Intelligence Analysis: From Structured Analysis to Statistical Aggregation," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(5), pages 1040-1057, May.
  15. Martine J. Barons & Lael E. Walsh & Edward E. Salakpi & Linda Nichols, 2024. "A Decision Support System for Sustainable Agriculture and Food Loss Reduction under Uncertain Agricultural Policy Frameworks," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-21, March.
  16. Erin Baker & Olaitan Olaleye, 2013. "Combining Experts: Decomposition and Aggregation Order," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 33(6), pages 1116-1127, June.
  17. Stef Janssen & Alexei Sharpanskykh & Richard Curran, 2019. "AbSRiM: An Agent‐Based Security Risk Management Approach for Airport Operations," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(7), pages 1582-1596, July.
  18. Anca M. Hanea & Marissa F. McBride & Mark A. Burgman & Bonnie C. Wintle, 2018. "The Value of Performance Weights and Discussion in Aggregated Expert Judgments," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(9), pages 1781-1794, September.
  19. Roger Cooke, 2013. "Uncertainty analysis comes to integrated assessment models for climate change…and conversely," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 117(3), pages 467-479, April.
  20. Alexander M. R. Bakker & Domitille Louchard & Klaus Keller, 2017. "Sources and implications of deep uncertainties surrounding sea-level projections," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 140(3), pages 339-347, February.
  21. Forys, Monika B. & Kurowicka, Dorota & Peppelman, Bas, 2013. "A probabilistic model for a gas explosion due to leakages in the grey cast iron gas mains," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 270-279.
  22. Misuri, Alessio & Landucci, Gabriele & Cozzani, Valerio, 2020. "Assessment of safety barrier performance in Natech scenarios," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
  23. Jeremy Rohmer & Eric Chojnacki, 2021. "Forecast of environment systems using expert judgements: performance comparison between the possibilistic and the classical model," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 41(1), pages 131-146, March.
  24. Guo, Jian & (Steven) Li, Zhaojun & (Judy) Jin, Jionghua, 2018. "System reliability assessment with multilevel information using the Bayesian melding method," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 146-158.
  25. JL Bamber & WP Aspinall & RM Cooke, 2016. "A commentary on “how to interpret expert judgment assessments of twenty-first century sea-level rise” by Hylke de Vries and Roderik SW van de Wal," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 137(3), pages 321-328, August.
  26. Mohammad Yazdi, 2019. "A review paper to examine the validity of Bayesian network to build rational consensus in subjective probabilistic failure analysis," International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management, Springer;The Society for Reliability, Engineering Quality and Operations Management (SREQOM),India, and Division of Operation and Maintenance, Lulea University of Technology, Sweden, vol. 10(1), pages 1-18, February.
  27. Fergus Bolger & Gene Rowe, 2015. "There is Data, and then there is Data: Only Experimental Evidence will Determine the Utility of Differential Weighting of Expert Judgment," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 35(1), pages 21-26, January.
  28. Lisa A. Robinson & James K. Hammitt, 2015. "Introduction to the Special Series on Research Synthesis: A Cross‐Disciplinary Approach," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 35(6), pages 963-970, June.
  29. Hanea, A.M. & McBride, M.F. & Burgman, M.A. & Wintle, B.C. & Fidler, F. & Flander, L. & Twardy, C.R. & Manning, B. & Mascaro, S., 2017. "I nvestigate D iscuss E stimate A ggregate for structured expert judgement," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 267-279.
  30. Anil Gaba & Ilia Tsetlin & Robert L. Winkler, 2017. "Combining Interval Forecasts," Decision Analysis, INFORMS, vol. 14(1), pages 1-20, March.
  31. Colson, Abigail R. & Cooke, Roger M., 2017. "Cross validation for the classical model of structured expert judgment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 109-120.
  32. Cooke, Roger M., 2014. "Deep and Shallow Uncertainty in Messaging Climate Change," RFF Working Paper Series dp-14-11, Resources for the Future.
  33. Stroeve, Sybert H. & Som, Pradip & van Doorn, Bas A. & (Bert) Bakker, G.J., 2016. "Strengthening air traffic safety management by moving from outcome-based towards risk-based evaluation of runway incursions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 93-108.
  34. Justin W. Eggstaff & Thomas A. Mazzuchi & Shahram Sarkani, 2014. "The Development of Progress Plans Using a Performance‐Based Expert Judgment Model to Assess Technical Performance and Risk," Systems Engineering, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 17(4), pages 375-391, December.
  35. Fei Xiong & Yun Liu & Zhenjiang Zhang, 2011. "Dynamics With Co-Evolution Of Individual Inclination And Opinion," International Journal of Modern Physics C (IJMPC), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(01), pages 51-62.
  36. Cao, Quoc Dung & Miles, Scott B. & Choe, Youngjun, 2022. "Infrastructure recovery curve estimation using Gaussian process regression on expert elicited data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
  37. Despoina Makariou & Pauline Barrieu & George Tzougas, 2021. "A Finite Mixture Modelling Perspective for Combining Experts’ Opinions with an Application to Quantile-Based Risk Measures," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(6), pages 1-25, June.
  38. Sykes, Pete & Bell, Margaret & Dissanayake, Dilum, 2018. "Combined use of a backcast scenario and cross-impact matrix analysis to identify causes of uncertainty in a nascent transport infrastructure project," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 124-140.
  39. Wei Li & Ming J. Zuo & Ramin Moghaddass, 2011. "Optimal Design Of A Multi-State Weighted Series-Parallel System Using Physical Programming And Genetic Algorithms," Asia-Pacific Journal of Operational Research (APJOR), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 28(04), pages 543-562.
  40. Makariou, Despoina & Barrieu, Pauline & Tzougas, George, 2021. "A finite mixture modelling perspective for combining experts’ opinions with an application to quantile-based risk measures," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 110763, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  41. Marcelo Ramos Martins & Marco Aurélio Pestana & Enrique Andrés López Droguett, 2020. "A Methodology for Assessing the Probability of Occurrence of Undesired Events in the Tietê–Paraná Inland Waterway Based on Expert Opinion," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(6), pages 1279-1301, June.
  42. Anqiang Huang & Han Qiao & Shouyang Wang & John Liu, 2016. "Improving Forecasting Performance by Exploiting Expert Knowledge: Evidence from Guangzhou Port," International Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making (IJITDM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 15(02), pages 387-401, March.
  43. Laura Diaz Anadon & Erin Baker & Valentina Bosetti & Lara Aleluia Reis, 2016. "Expert views - and disagreements - about the potential of energy technology R&D," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 136(3), pages 677-691, June.
  44. Rongen, G. & Morales-Nápoles, O. & Kok, M., 2022. "Expert judgment-based reliability analysis of the Dutch flood defense system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
  45. Ignacio González López & Belén Quintero Ordóñez & Garikoitz Mendigutxia-Sorabilla & Eloísa Reche Urbano & Juan Antonio Fuentes Esparrell, 2020. "Construction of an Instrument for the Evaluation of the Effects of Information and Communication Technologies among Young People," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-21, May.
  46. Josie McCulloch & Jiaqi Ge & Jonathan A. Ward & Alison Heppenstall & J. Gareth Polhill & Nick Malleson, 2022. "Calibrating Agent-Based Models Using Uncertainty Quantification Methods," Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, vol. 25(2), pages 1-1.
  47. Robinson, Allen C. & Drake, Richard R. & Swan, M. Scot & Bennett, Nichelle L. & Smith, Thomas M. & Hooper, Russell & Laity, George R., 2021. "A software environment for effective reliability management for pulsed power design," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
  48. Roger M. Cooke, 2015. "The Aggregation of Expert Judgment: Do Good Things Come to Those Who Weight?," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 35(1), pages 12-15, January.
  49. Hanea, D.M. & Jagtman, H.M. & van Alphen, L.L.M.M. & Ale, B.J.M., 2010. "Quantitative and qualitative analysis of the expert and non-expert opinion in fire risk in buildings," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 95(7), pages 729-741.
  50. Zhou, Fan & Page, Lionel & Perrons, Robert K. & Zheng, Zuduo & Washington, Simon, 2019. "Long-term forecasts for energy commodities price: What the experts think," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
  51. Eggstaff, Justin W. & Mazzuchi, Thomas A. & Sarkani, Shahram, 2014. "The effect of the number of seed variables on the performance of Cooke′s classical model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 72-82.
  52. Howard, Peter H. & Derek, Sylvan, 2016. "The Wisdom of the Economic Crowd: Calibrating Integrated Assessment Models Using Consensus," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235639, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  53. Ioannou, I. & Aspinall, W. & Rush, D. & Bisby, L. & Rossetto, T., 2017. "Expert judgment-based fragility assessment of reinforced concrete buildings exposed to fire," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 105-127.
  54. Nogal, Maria & Morales Nápoles, Oswaldo & O’Connor, Alan, 2019. "Structured expert judgement to understand the intrinsic vulnerability of traffic networks," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 136-152.
  55. Florian Pallas & Florian Böckermann & Oliver Goetz & Kirstin Tecklenburg, 2013. "Investigating Organisational Innovativeness: Developing A Multidimensional Formative Measure," International Journal of Innovation Management (ijim), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 17(04), pages 1-41.
  56. Hathout, Michel & Vuillet, Marc & Carvajal, Claudio & Peyras, Laurent & Diab, Youssef, 2019. "Expert judgments calibration and combination for assessment of river levee failure probability," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 377-392.
  57. Abigail R Colson & Itamar Megiddo & Gerardo Alvarez-Uria & Sumanth Gandra & Tim Bedford & Alec Morton & Roger M Cooke & Ramanan Laxminarayan, 2019. "Quantifying uncertainty about future antimicrobial resistance: Comparing structured expert judgment and statistical forecasting methods," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(7), pages 1-18, July.
  58. Stroeve, Sybert H. & Blom, Henk A.P. & Bakker, G.J. (Bert), 2013. "Contrasting safety assessments of a runway incursion scenario: Event sequence analysis versus multi-agent dynamic risk modelling," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 133-149.
  59. Lisa A. Robinson & James K. Hammitt, 2015. "Research Synthesis and the Value per Statistical Life," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 35(6), pages 1086-1100, June.
  60. Fabio Boschetti & Elizabeth A. Fulton & Nicola J. Grigg, 2014. "Citizens’ Views of Australia’s Future to 2050," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-26, December.
  61. Wang, Fan & Li, Heng & Dong, Chao & Ding, Lieyun, 2019. "Knowledge representation using non-parametric Bayesian networks for tunneling risk analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
  62. Christopher W. Karvetski & Kenneth C. Olson & David R. Mandel & Charles R. Twardy, 2013. "Probabilistic Coherence Weighting for Optimizing Expert Forecasts," Decision Analysis, INFORMS, vol. 10(4), pages 305-326, December.
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