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Volatility forecasting with smooth transition exponential smoothing

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Kejin Wu & Sayar Karmakar, 2023. "A model-free approach to do long-term volatility forecasting and its variants," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-38, December.
  2. Liu, Min & Taylor, James W. & Choo, Wei-Chong, 2020. "Further empirical evidence on the forecasting of volatility with smooth transition exponential smoothing," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 651-659.
  3. Sarah Gelper & Roland Fried & Christophe Croux, 2010. "Robust forecasting with exponential and Holt-Winters smoothing," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(3), pages 285-300.
  4. Trapero, Juan R., 2016. "Calculation of solar irradiation prediction intervals combining volatility and kernel density estimates," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 266-274.
  5. Joseph Paul Chunga & Ping YU, 2024. "The impact of external shocks on volatility persistence and market efficiency of the foreign exchange rate regime: evidence from Malawi," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-14, December.
  6. Clements, Michael P. & Franses, Philip Hans & Swanson, Norman R., 2004. "Forecasting economic and financial time-series with non-linear models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 169-183.
  7. Mircea ASANDULUI, 2012. "A Multi-Horizon Comparison Of Volatility Forecasts: An Application To Stock Options Traded At Euronext Exchange Amsterdam," Review of Economic and Business Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 10, pages 179-190, December.
  8. Francesco Audrino & Yujia Hu, 2016. "Volatility Forecasting: Downside Risk, Jumps and Leverage Effect," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 4(1), pages 1-24, February.
  9. Liu, Min, 2022. "The driving forces of green bond market volatility and the response of the market to the COVID-19 pandemic," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 288-309.
  10. Chiang, Min-Hsien & Huang, Hsin-Yi, 2011. "Stock market momentum, business conditions, and GARCH option pricing models," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 488-505, June.
  11. Guidolin, Massimo & Hyde, Stuart & McMillan, David & Ono, Sadayuki, 2009. "Non-linear predictability in stock and bond returns: When and where is it exploitable?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(2), pages 373-399.
  12. Prateek Sharma & Vipul _, 2015. "Forecasting stock index volatility with GARCH models: international evidence," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 32(4), pages 445-463, October.
  13. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana & Nieves Carmona-González, 2025. "Trends and Persistence in the Number of Hot Days: Some Multi-Country Evidence," CESifo Working Paper Series 11925, CESifo.
  14. Gardner, Everette Jr., 2006. "Exponential smoothing: The state of the art--Part II," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(4), pages 637-666.
  15. Zhiang Qiu & Clemens Kownatzki & Fabien Scalzo & Eun Sang Cha, 2025. "Historical Perspectives in Volatility Forecasting Methods with Machine Learning," Risks, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-24, May.
  16. Liu, Hung-Chun & Chiang, Shu-Mei & Cheng, Nick Ying-Pin, 2012. "Forecasting the volatility of S&P depositary receipts using GARCH-type models under intraday range-based and return-based proxy measures," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 78-91.
  17. Debabrata Mukhopadhyay & Nityananda Sarkar, 2013. "Stock Returns Under Alternative Volatility and Distributional Assumptions: The Case for India," International Econometric Review (IER), Econometric Research Association, vol. 5(1), pages 1-19, April.
  18. Chai, Jian & Zhang, Zhong-Yu & Wang, Shou-Yang & Lai, Kin Keung & Liu, John, 2014. "Aviation fuel demand development in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 224-235.
  19. Imlak Shaikh, 2022. "Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on the energy markets," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(1), pages 433-484, February.
  20. Kanungo, Rama Prasad, 2021. "Uncertainty of M&As under asymmetric estimation," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 774-793.
  21. Roberto Ferulano, 2009. "A Mixed Historical Formula to forecast volatility," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(2), pages 124-136, June.
  22. George-Jason Siouris & Alex Karagrigoriou, 2017. "A Low Price Correction for Improved Volatility Estimation and Forecasting," Risks, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-14, August.
  23. Ding, Yi & Kambouroudis, Dimos & McMillan, David G., 2025. "Forecasting realised volatility using regime-switching models," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
  24. Alexey Litvinenko & Anna Litvinenko & Samuli Saarinen, 2025. "Applying Forecasting Methods to Accrual-Based and Cash-Based Ratio Analysis," Journal of Accounting and Management Information Systems, Faculty of Accounting and Management Information Systems, The Bucharest University of Economic Studies, vol. 24(2), pages 328-360, June.
  25. Асатуров К.Г. & Теплова Т.В., 2014. "Построение Коэффициентов Хеджирования Для Высоколиквидных Акций Российского Рынка На Основе Моделей Класса Garch," Журнал Экономика и математические методы (ЭММ), Центральный Экономико-Математический Институт (ЦЭМИ), vol. 50(1), pages 37-54, январь.
  26. Muhammad Sheraz & Imran Nasir, 2021. "Information-Theoretic Measures and Modeling Stock Market Volatility: A Comparative Approach," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-20, May.
  27. Chin-Yin Huang & Philip K.P. Lin, 2014. "Application of integrated data mining techniques in stock market forecasting," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2(1), pages 1-18, December.
  28. Leandro Maciel, 2013. "A Hybrid Fuzzy GJR-GARCH Modeling Approach for Stock Market Volatility Forecasting," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Jonathan A. Batten & Peter MacKay & Niklas Wagner (ed.), Advances in Financial Risk Management, chapter 11, pages 253-283, Palgrave Macmillan.
  29. Wang, Weichen & An, Ran & Zhu, Ziwei, 2024. "Volatility prediction comparison via robust volatility proxies: An empirical deviation perspective," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 239(2).
  30. Edson Vengesai & Farai Kwenda, 2018. "Cash Flow Volatility and Firm Investment Behaviour: Evidence from African Listed Firms," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 10(6), pages 129-149.
  31. Lauret, Philippe & Alonso-Suárez, Rodrigo & Amaro e Silva, Rodrigo & Boland, John & David, Mathieu & Herzberg, Wiebke & Le Gall La Salle, Josselin & Lorenz, Elke & Visser, Lennard & van Sark, Wilfried, 2024. "The added value of combining solar irradiance data and forecasts: A probabilistic benchmarking exercise," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(PB).
  32. James W. Taylor, 2004. "Smooth transition exponential smoothing," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(6), pages 385-404.
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