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How to foresee banking crises? A survey of the empirical literature

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Tölö, Eero, 2019. "Predicting systemic financial crises with recurrent neural networks," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 14/2019, Bank of Finland.
  2. Kalatie, Simo & Laakkonen, Helinä & Tölö, Eero, 2015. "Indicators used in setting the countercyclical capital buffer," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 8/2015, Bank of Finland.
  3. Massimiliano Caporin & Mikhail Stolbov & Maria Shchepeleva, 2022. "What drives the expansion of research on banking crises? Cross-country evidence," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(52), pages 6054-6064, November.
  4. Guarin, Alexander & Lozano, Ignacio, 2017. "Credit funding and banking fragility: A forecasting model for emerging economies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 168-189.
  5. Antunes, António & Bonfim, Diana & Monteiro, Nuno & Rodrigues, Paulo M.M., 2018. "Forecasting banking crises with dynamic panel probit models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 249-275.
  6. Sarah Vella, 2025. "Constructing a country-specific indicator for cyclical systemic risk," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1-63, June.
  7. Ragna Alstadheim & Ørjan Robstad & Nikka Husom Vonen, 2017. "Financial imbalances, crisis probability and monetary policy in Norway," Working Paper 2017/21, Norges Bank.
  8. Alexander Guar�n-L�pez & Ignacio Lozano-Espitia, 2016. "Credit Funding and Banking Fragility: An Empirical Analysis for Emerging Economies," Borradores de Economia 14306, Banco de la Republica.
  9. Nicoletta Batini, 2019. "Macroeconomic Gains from Reforming the Agri-Food Sector: The Case of France," IMF Working Papers 2019/041, International Monetary Fund.
  10. Hunjra, Ahmed Imran & Jebabli, Ikram & Thrikawala, Sujani Sudhara & Alawi, Suha Mahmoud & Mehmood, Rashid, 2024. "How do corporate governance and corporate social responsibility affect credit risk?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PA).
  11. Puspa D. Amri & Thomas D. Willett, 2017. "Policy Inconsistencies and the Political Economy of Currency Crises," Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy (JICEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 8(01), pages 1-24, February.
  12. Belkhir, Mohamed & Naceur, Sami Ben & Candelon, Bertrand & Wijnandts, Jean-Charles, 2022. "Macroprudential policies, economic growth and banking crises," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
  13. Berglund, Tom & Mäkinen, Mikko, 2016. "Learning from financial crisis: the experience of Nordic banks," Research Discussion Papers 30/2016, Bank of Finland.
  14. Mathonnat, Clément & Minea, Alexandru, 2018. "Financial development and the occurrence of banking crises," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 344-354.
  15. Nikolaos Giannakis & Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou & Jamel Saadaoui & Emmanouil Sofianos, 2025. "Do International Reserve Holdings Still Predict Economic Crises? Insights from Recent Machine Learning Techniques," Working Papers 2025.6, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.
  16. Luca Papi & Andrea F Presbitero & Alberto Zazzaro, 2015. "IMF Lending and Banking Crises," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 63(3), pages 644-691, November.
  17. Zhang, Xun & He, Zongyue & Zhu, Jiali & Li, Jing, 2018. "Quantity of finance and financial crisis: A non-monotonic investigation☆," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 129-139.
  18. Maria Siranova & Karol Zelenak, 2023. "Every crisis does matter: Comparing the databases of financial crisis events," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(2), pages 652-686, May.
  19. Joseph P. Joyce, 2018. "External balance sheets as countercyclical crisis buffers," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 15(2), pages 305-329, April.
  20. Kalatie, Simo & Laakkonen, Helinä & Tölö, Eero, 2015. "Indicators used in setting the countercyclical capital buffer," Research Discussion Papers 8/2015, Bank of Finland.
  21. Rhee, Dong-Eun & Kim, Hyoungjong, 2018. "Does income inequality lead to banking crises in developing countries? Empirical evidence from cross-country panel data," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 206-218.
  22. Shiwangi Sethi & Mohinder Singh & Amit Kumar Basantaray, 2025. "A macro–micro framework for predicting bank distress: empirical insights," Indian Economic Review, Springer, vol. 60(1), pages 163-183, June.
  23. Guangdong Xu, 2022. "From financial structure to economic growth: Theory, evidence and challenges," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 51(1), February.
  24. Caggiano, Giovanni & Calice, Pietro & Leonida, Leone & Kapetanios, George, 2016. "Comparing logit-based early warning systems: Does the duration of systemic banking crises matter?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 104-116.
  25. Papanikolaou, Nikolaos I., 2018. "To be bailed out or to be left to fail? A dynamic competing risks hazard analysis," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 61-85.
  26. Robert Vermeulen & Marco Hoeberichts & Bořek Vašíček & Diana Žigraiová & Kateřina Šmídková & Jakob Haan, 2015. "Financial Stress Indices and Financial Crises," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 26(3), pages 383-406, July.
  27. Guangdong Xu, 2022. "Is Rajan’s Hypothesis Confirmed by Empirical Evidence? A Critical Review," Review of Radical Political Economics, Union for Radical Political Economics, vol. 54(3), pages 334-350, September.
  28. Huynh, Tran & Uebelmesser, Silke, 2024. "Early warning models for systemic banking crises: Can political indicators improve prediction?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
  29. Ponomarenko, Alexey & Tatarintsev, Stas, 2023. "Incorporating financial development indicators into early warning systems," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
  30. Berglund, Tom & Mäkinen, Mikko, 2016. "Learning from financial crisis: the experience of Nordic banks," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 30/2016, Bank of Finland.
  31. Tölö, Eero, 2020. "Predicting systemic financial crises with recurrent neural networks," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
  32. CIMPOERU Smaranda, 2016. "European Economies Facing The Global Financial Crisis: Are Emerging Economies More Vulnerable Than Advanced Ones?," Revista Economica, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 68(2), pages 69-85, September.
  33. Berglund, Tom & Mäkinen, Mikko, 2019. "Do banks learn from financial crisis? The experience of Nordic banks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 428-440.
  34. Fendel Ralf & Stremmel Hanno, 2016. "Characteristics of Banking Crises: A Comparative Study with Geographical Contagion," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 236(3), pages 349-388, May.
  35. Bošnjak Mile, 2019. "Determinants of Current Account in Cases of Serbia and Romania: Time-Varying Parameters Approach," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 14(1), pages 21-33, June.
  36. Alessi, Lucia & Antunes, Antonio & Babecky, Jan & Baltussen, Simon & Behn, Markus & Bonfim, Diana & Bush, Oliver & Detken, Carsten & Frost, Jon & Guimaraes, Rodrigo & Havranek, Tomas & Joy, Mark & Kau, 2015. "Comparing different early warning systems: Results from a horse race competition among members of the Macro-prudential Research Network," MPRA Paper 62194, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  37. Eberhardt, Markus & Presbitero, Andrea F., 2021. "Commodity prices and banking crises," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
  38. Jacob M. Meyer, 2020. "Checks and Imbalances: Exploring the Links between Political Constraints and Banking Crises using Econometric Mediation," Journal of Economics and Econometrics, Economics and Econometrics Society, vol. 63(1), pages 71-96.
  39. Mäkinen, Mikko & Solanko, Laura, 2017. "Determinants of bank closures : Do changes of CAMEL variables matter?," BOFIT Discussion Papers 16/2017, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
  40. Dieckelmann, Daniel, 2020. "Cross-border lending and the international transmission of banking crises," Discussion Papers 2020/13, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
  41. Fabrizio Ferriani & Wanda Cornacchia & Paolo Farroni & Eliana Ferrara & Francesco Guarino & Francesco Pisanti, 2019. "An early warning system for less significant Italian banks," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 480, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  42. Smaranda CIMPOERU, 2015. "Models for evaluating financial crisis – what went wrong for developed and emerging economies?," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(1(602), S), pages 291-300, Spring.
  43. Tölö, Eero, 2019. "Predicting systemic financial crises with recurrent neural networks," Research Discussion Papers 14/2019, Bank of Finland.
  44. Wee Chian Koh & M. Ayhan Kose & Peter S. Nagle & Franziska L. Ohnsorge & Naotaka Sugawara, 2020. "Debt and Financial Crises," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2001, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
  45. Virtanen, Timo & Tölö, Eero & Virén, Matti & Taipalus, Katja, 2018. "Can bubble theory foresee banking crises?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 66-81.
  46. Guangdong Xu & Binwei Gui & Shudan Xu, 2024. "Does Financial Structure Matter for Economic Growth? New Evidence from China," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 57(4), pages 351-383, December.
  47. Mathonnat, Clément & Williams, Benjamin, 2020. "Does more finance mean more inequality in times of crisis?," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 44(4).
  48. Joseph Attila, 2025. "Political Environment, Banking Liquidity, and Banking Crises: A Mediation Analysis From Panel Data," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(4), pages 3569-3599, October.
  49. Shabir, Mohsin & Jiang, Ping & Bakhsh, Satar & Zhao, Zhongxiu, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and bank stability: Threshold effect of institutional quality and competition," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
  50. Ashraf, Badar Nadeem, 2018. "Do trade and financial openness matter for financial development? Bank-level evidence from emerging market economies," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 434-458.
  51. Naceur, Sami Ben & Candelon, Bertrand & Lajaunie, Quentin, 2019. "Taming financial development to reduce crises," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 1-1.
  52. Mikko Makinen & Laura Solanko, 2018. "Determinants of Bank Closures: Do Levels or Changes of CAMEL Variables Matter?," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 77(2), pages 3-21, June.
  53. Mäkinen, Mikko & Solanko, Laura, 2017. "Determinants of bank closures: Do changes of CAMEL variables matter?," BOFIT Discussion Papers 16/2017, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
  54. Truong, Chi & Sheen, Jeffrey & Trück, Stefan & Villafuerte, James, 2022. "Early warning systems using dynamic factor models: An application to Asian economies," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
  55. Wang, Shengquan, 2023. "Income inequality and systemic banking crises: A nonlinear nexus," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 47(4).
  56. Robert Vermeulen & Marco Hoeberichts & Bořek Vašíček & Diana Žigraiová & Kateřina Šmídková & Jakob Haan, 2015. "Financial Stress Indices and Financial Crises," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 26(3), pages 383-406, July.
  57. Tihana Skrinjaric, 2023. "Leading indicators of financial stress in Croatia: a regime switching approach," Public Sector Economics, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 47(2), pages 205-232.
  58. Mr. Markus Eberhardt & Mr. Andrea F Presbitero, 2018. "Commodity Price Movements and Banking Crises," IMF Working Papers 2018/153, International Monetary Fund.
  59. Sreenivasulu Puli & Nagaraju Thota & A. C. V. Subrahmanyam, 2024. "Assessing Machine Learning Techniques for Predicting Banking Crises in India," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 17(4), pages 1-16, March.
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