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The Distribution of Futures Prices: A Test of the Stable Paretian and Mixture of Normals Hypotheses

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  1. Kim, MinKyoung & Leuthold, Raymond M., 1997. "The Distributional Behavior Of Futures Price Spread Charges: Parametric And Nonparametric Tests For Gold, T-Bonds, Corn And Live Cattle," ACE OFOR Reports 14767, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
  2. Serttas, Fatma Ozgu, 2010. "Essays on infinite-variance stable errors and robust estimation procedures," ISU General Staff Papers 201001010800002742, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
  3. Kim, MinKyoung & Leuthold, Raymond M., 2000. "The Distributional Behavior Of Futures Price Spreads," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 32(1), pages 1-15, April.
  4. Jagannathan, Raj, 2008. "A class of asset pricing models governed by subordinate processes that signal economic shocks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(12), pages 3820-3846, December.
  5. Goodwin, Barry K. & Roberts, Matthew C. & Coble, Keith H., 2000. "Measurement Of Price Risk In Revenue Insurance: Implications Of Distributional Assumptions," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 25(1), pages 1-20, July.
  6. Lonnie Hamm & B. Wade Brorsen, 2000. "Trading futures markets based on signals from a neural network," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(2), pages 137-140.
  7. Lee, Yoonsuk & Brorsen, B. Wade, 2012. "Impacts of Permanent and Transitory Shocks on Optimal Length of Moving Average to Predict Wheat Basis," 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington 125001, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  8. Sherrick, Bruce J. & Irwin, Scott H. & Forster, D. Lynn, 1990. "Nonstationarity Of Soybean Futures Price Distributions: Option-Based Evidence," Illinois Agricultural Economics Staff Paper 244666, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
  9. Bielak, Łukasz & Grzesiek, Aleksandra & Janczura, Joanna & Wyłomańska, Agnieszka, 2021. "Market risk factors analysis for an international mining company. Multi-dimensional, heavy-tailed-based modelling," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  10. Dorfmann, Jeffrey & Karali, Berna, 2015. "A Nonparametric Search for Information Effects from USDA Reports," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 40(1), pages 1-20.
  11. Peter C.B. Phillips & Mico Loretan, 1990. "Testing Covariance Stationarity Under Moment Condition Failure with an Application to Common Stock Returns," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 947, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  12. Min-Kyoung Kim & Raymond M. Leuthold & ., 1997. "The Distributional Behavior of Futures Price Spread Changes: Parametric and Nonparametric Tests for Gold, T-Bonds, Corn and Live Cattle," Finance 9711001, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  13. Lux, Thomas & Alfarano, Simone, 2016. "Financial power laws: Empirical evidence, models, and mechanisms," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 3-18.
  14. Nikolaos Milonas & Thomas Henker, 2001. "Price spread and convenience yield behaviour in the international oil market," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(1), pages 23-36.
  15. Pan, Ming-Shiun & Chan, Kam C. & Fok, Chi-Wing, 1995. "The distribution of currency futures price changes: A two-piece mixture of normals approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 4(1), pages 69-78.
  16. Huang, Wen & Huang, Zhuo & Matei, Marius & Wang, Tianyi, 2012. "Price Volatility Forecast for Agricultural Commodity Futures： The Role of High Frequency Data," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 83-103, December.
  17. Koekebakker, Steen & Lien, Gudbrand D., 2002. "Term Structure of Volatility and Price Jumps in Agricultural Markets - Evidence from Option Data," 2002 International Congress, August 28-31, 2002, Zaragoza, Spain 24874, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
  18. Meenakshi Venkateswaran & B. Wade Brorsen & Joyce A. Hall, 1993. "The distribution of standardized futures price changes," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 13(3), pages 279-298, May.
  19. Bahram Pesaran & Gary Robinson, 1993. "The Statistical Distribution of Short-Term Libor Rates Under Two Monetary Regimes," Bank of England working papers 16, Bank of England.
  20. Kapsos, Michalis & Christofides, Nicos & Rustem, Berç, 2014. "Worst-case robust Omega ratio," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 234(2), pages 499-507.
  21. Zhiping Chen & Shen Peng & Jia Liu, 2018. "Data-Driven Robust Chance Constrained Problems: A Mixture Model Approach," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 179(3), pages 1065-1085, December.
  22. Sangram Keshari Jena & Ashutosh Dash, 2015. "Is call auction efficient for better price discovery?," Asian Journal of Empirical Research, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 5(8), pages 102-113, August.
  23. Jin, Hyun Joung & Frechette, Darren L., 2002. "Fractal Geometry In Agricultural Cash Price Dynamics," 2002 Annual meeting, July 28-31, Long Beach, CA 19696, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
  24. Coppes, R. C., 1995. "Are exchange rate changes normally distributed?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(2), pages 117-121, February.
  25. Hyun Jin & Darren Frechette, 2004. "A new t-test for the R/S analysis and long memory in agricultural commodity prices," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(11), pages 661-667.
  26. Lux, Thomas, 2006. "Financial power laws: Empirical evidence, models, and mechanism," Economics Working Papers 2006-12, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
  27. Cotter, John, 2001. "Margin exceedences for European stock index futures using extreme value theory," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(8), pages 1475-1502, August.
  28. Grobys, Klaus, 2023. "Correlation versus co-fractality: Evidence from foreign-exchange-rate variances," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
  29. Colling, Phil L. & Irwin, Scott H., 1989. "The Reaction Of Live Hog Futures Prices To Usda Hogs And Pigs Reports," 1989 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 2, Baton Rouge, Louisiana 270490, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
  30. Kaehler, Jürgen, 1993. "On the modelling of speculative prices by stable Paretian distributions and regularly varying tails," ZEW Discussion Papers 93-25, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
  31. Flavia BARNA & Ştefana Maria DIMA & Bogdan DIMA & Lucian PAŞCA, 2016. "Fractal Market Hypothesis: The Emergent Financial Markets Case," ECONOMIC COMPUTATION AND ECONOMIC CYBERNETICS STUDIES AND RESEARCH, Faculty of Economic Cybernetics, Statistics and Informatics, vol. 50(2), pages 137-150.
  32. D. M. Mahinda Samarakoon & Keith Knight, 2009. "A Note on Unit Root Tests with Infinite Variance Noise," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(4), pages 314-334.
  33. Mougoue, Mbodja & Noula, Armand Gilbert & Ajayi, Richard A., 2008. "Maturities, Nonlinearities, and the International Transmission of Short-Term Interest Rates," Review of Applied Economics, Lincoln University, Department of Financial and Business Systems, vol. 4(1-2), pages 1-20.
  34. Liuren Wu, 2006. "Dampened Power Law: Reconciling the Tail Behavior of Financial Security Returns," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 79(3), pages 1445-1474, May.
  35. Inci, Ahmet Can, 2005. "ERM effects on currency spot and futures markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 145-163, December.
  36. Jin, Hyun Joung, 2008. "A Long Memory Conditional Variance Model for International Grain Markets," Journal of Rural Development/Nongchon-Gyeongje, Korea Rural Economic Institute, vol. 31(2), pages 1-23, May.
  37. Shushang Zhu & Masao Fukushima, 2009. "Worst-Case Conditional Value-at-Risk with Application to Robust Portfolio Management," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 57(5), pages 1155-1168, October.
  38. Ha, Daesung & Chang, S. J., 1998. "The distribution of transaction intervals in common stock trading," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 7(1), pages 103-115.
  39. Nicolas Merener, 2016. "Concentrated Production and Conditional Heavy Tails in Commodity Returns," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(1), pages 46-65, January.
  40. Hailin Sun & Huifu Xu, 2016. "Convergence Analysis for Distributionally Robust Optimization and Equilibrium Problems," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 41(2), pages 377-401, May.
  41. Frank Fabozzi & Dashan Huang & Guofu Zhou, 2010. "Robust portfolios: contributions from operations research and finance," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 176(1), pages 191-220, April.
  42. Xinxin Jiang & Marjorie G. Hahn, 2003. "Central Limit Theorems for Exchangeable Random Variables When Limits Are Scale Mixtures of Normals," Journal of Theoretical Probability, Springer, vol. 16(3), pages 543-571, July.
  43. M. F. Omran, 1998. "An investigation of the maximal moments of exchange rates," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(10), pages 603-606.
  44. Lau, Hon-Shiang & Lau, Amy Hing Ling, 1997. "The confounding effects of distribution mixtures on some basic methods for handling stable-Paretian distributions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 100(1), pages 60-71, July.
  45. Guo, Yaoqi & Shi, Fengyuan & Yu, Zhuling & Yao, Shanshan & Zhang, Hongwei, 2022. "Asymmetric multifractality in China’s energy market based on improved asymmetric multifractal cross-correlation analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 594(C).
  46. Pan, Ming-Shiun & Chan, Kam C. & C.W. Fok, Robert, 1997. "Do currency futures prices follow random walks?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 4(1), pages 1-15, January.
  47. Christian Walter, 2001. "Searching for scaling laws in distributional properties of price variations: a review over 40 years," Post-Print hal-04567942, HAL.
  48. Dasheng Ji & B. Brorsen, 2011. "A recombining lattice option pricing model that relaxes the assumption of lognormality," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 14(3), pages 349-367, October.
  49. Epaminondas Panas & Vassilia Ninni, 2010. "The Distribution of London Metal Exchange Prices: A Test of the Fractal Market Hypothesis," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(2), pages 192-210.
  50. Gary Robinson, 1993. "The Effect of Futures Trading on Cash Market Volatility: Evidence from the London Stock Exchange," Bank of England working papers 19, Bank of England.
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