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Exact and computationally efficient likelihood‐based estimation for discretely observed diffusion processes (with discussion)

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Kevin W. Lu & Phillip J. Paine & Simon P. Preston & Andrew T. A. Wood, 2022. "Approximate maximum likelihood estimation for one‐dimensional diffusions observed on a fine grid," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 49(3), pages 1085-1114, September.
  2. Osnat Stramer & Jun Yan, 2007. "Asymptotics of an Efficient Monte Carlo Estimation for the Transition Density of Diffusion Processes," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 9(4), pages 483-496, December.
  3. Isambi Mbalawata & Simo Särkkä & Heikki Haario, 2013. "Parameter estimation in stochastic differential equations with Markov chain Monte Carlo and non-linear Kalman filtering," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 28(3), pages 1195-1223, June.
  4. Umberto Picchini & Andrea De Gaetano & Susanne Ditlevsen, 2010. "Stochastic Differential Mixed‐Effects Models," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 37(1), pages 67-90, March.
  5. Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos & Gareth O. Roberts & Petros Dellaportas, 2007. "Inference for stochastic volatility models using time change transformations," Papers 0711.1594, arXiv.org.
  6. Nina Munkholt Jakobsen & Michael Sørensen, 2015. "Efficient Estimation for Diffusions Sampled at High Frequency Over a Fixed Time Interval," CREATES Research Papers 2015-33, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  7. Håvard Rue & Sara Martino & Nicolas Chopin, 2009. "Approximate Bayesian inference for latent Gaussian models by using integrated nested Laplace approximations," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 71(2), pages 319-392, April.
  8. Comte, F. & Genon-Catalot, V. & Rozenholc, Y., 2009. "Nonparametric adaptive estimation for integrated diffusions," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 119(3), pages 811-834, March.
  9. Kyoung-Kuk Kim & Sojung Kim, 2016. "Simulation of Tempered Stable Lévy Bridges and Its Applications," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 64(2), pages 495-509, April.
  10. Qihong Duan & Junrong Liu, 2015. "A first step to implement Gillespie’s algorithm with rejection sampling," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 24(1), pages 85-95, March.
  11. Shoji, Isao, 2013. "Filtering for partially observed diffusion and its applications," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(20), pages 4966-4976.
  12. Paul Fearnhead & Omiros Papaspiliopoulos & Gareth O. Roberts & Andrew Stuart, 2010. "Random‐weight particle filtering of continuous time processes," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 72(4), pages 497-512, September.
  13. Frank G. Ball & Ian L. Dryden & Mousa Golalizadeh, 2008. "Brownian Motion and Ornstein–Uhlenbeck Processes in Planar Shape Space," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 10(1), pages 1-22, March.
  14. van der Meulen, Frank & Schauer, Moritz & van Zanten, Harry, 2014. "Reversible jump MCMC for nonparametric drift estimation for diffusion processes," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 615-632.
  15. Yvo Pokern & Andrew M. Stuart & Petter Wiberg, 2009. "Parameter estimation for partially observed hypoelliptic diffusions," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 71(1), pages 49-73, January.
  16. Hermann Singer, 2014. "Importance sampling for Kolmogorov backward equations," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 98(4), pages 345-369, October.
  17. Eva María Ramos-Ábalos & Ramón Gutiérrez-Sánchez & Ahmed Nafidi, 2020. "Powers of the Stochastic Gompertz and Lognormal Diffusion Processes, Statistical Inference and Simulation," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-13, April.
  18. Chang, Jinyuan & Chen, Songxi, 2011. "On the Approximate Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Diffusion Processes," MPRA Paper 46279, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  19. Paul Fearnhead & Omiros Papaspiliopoulos & Gareth O. Roberts, 2008. "Particle filters for partially observed diffusions," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 70(4), pages 755-777, September.
  20. Markussen, Bo, 2009. "Laplace approximation of transition densities posed as Brownian expectations," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 119(1), pages 208-231, January.
  21. Gareth W. Peters & Rodrigo S. Targino & Mario V. Wüthrich, 2017. "Bayesian Modelling, Monte Carlo Sampling and Capital Allocation of Insurance Risks," Risks, MDPI, vol. 5(4), pages 1-51, September.
  22. Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos & Petros Dellaportas & Gareth O. Roberts, 2007. "Likelihood-based inference for correlated diffusions," Papers 0711.1595, arXiv.org.
  23. Peter J. Diggle & Raquel Menezes & Ting‐li Su, 2010. "Geostatistical inference under preferential sampling," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 59(2), pages 191-232, March.
  24. Michael Sørensen, 2008. "Parametric inference for discretely sampled stochastic differential equations," CREATES Research Papers 2008-18, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  25. Vinícius Diniz Mayrink & Flávio Bambirra Gonçalves, 2017. "A Bayesian hidden Markov mixture model to detect overexpressed chromosome regions," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 66(2), pages 387-412, February.
  26. Salima El Kolei & Fabien Navarro, 2022. "Contrast estimation for noisy observations of diffusion processes via closed-form density expansions," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 25(2), pages 303-336, July.
  27. Julie Lyng Forman & Michael Sørensen, 2008. "The Pearson Diffusions: A Class of Statistically Tractable Diffusion Processes," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 35(3), pages 438-465, September.
  28. Kalogeropoulos, Konstantinos, 2007. "Likelihood-based inference for a class of multivariate diffusions with unobserved paths," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 31423, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  29. Isadora Antoniano-Villalobos & Stephen G. Walker, 2016. "A Nonparametric Model for Stationary Time Series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1), pages 126-142, January.
  30. Mogens Bladt & Samuel Finch & Michael Sørensen, 2016. "Simulation of multivariate diffusion bridges," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 78(2), pages 343-369, March.
  31. Murray Pollock & Paul Fearnhead & Adam M. Johansen & Gareth O. Roberts, 2020. "Quasi‐stationary Monte Carlo and the ScaLE algorithm," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 82(5), pages 1167-1221, December.
  32. Picchini, Umberto & Anderson, Rachele, 2017. "Approximate maximum likelihood estimation using data-cloning ABC," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 166-183.
  33. Paul Fearnhead & Vasilieos Giagos & Chris Sherlock, 2014. "Inference for reaction networks using the linear noise approximation," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 70(2), pages 457-466, June.
  34. Czellar, Veronika & Karolyi, G. Andrew & Ronchetti, Elvezio, 2007. "Indirect robust estimation of the short-term interest rate process," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 14(4), pages 546-563, September.
  35. Sy-Miin Chow & Zhaohua Lu & Andrew Sherwood & Hongtu Zhu, 2016. "Fitting Nonlinear Ordinary Differential Equation Models with Random Effects and Unknown Initial Conditions Using the Stochastic Approximation Expectation–Maximization (SAEM) Algorithm," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 81(1), pages 102-134, March.
  36. Yuan Shen & Dan Cornford & Manfred Opper & Cedric Archambeau, 2012. "Variational Markov chain Monte Carlo for Bayesian smoothing of non-linear diffusions," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 27(1), pages 149-176, March.
  37. Matti Vihola & Jouni Helske & Jordan Franks, 2020. "Importance sampling type estimators based on approximate marginal Markov chain Monte Carlo," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 47(4), pages 1339-1376, December.
  38. J. O. Ramsay & G. Hooker & D. Campbell & J. Cao, 2007. "Parameter estimation for differential equations: a generalized smoothing approach," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 69(5), pages 741-796, November.
  39. Varughese, Melvin M., 2013. "Parameter estimation for multivariate diffusion systems," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 57(1), pages 417-428.
  40. Zhao-Hua Lu & Sy-Miin Chow & Nilam Ram & Pamela M. Cole, 2019. "Zero-Inflated Regime-Switching Stochastic Differential Equation Models for Highly Unbalanced Multivariate, Multi-Subject Time-Series Data," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 84(2), pages 611-645, June.
  41. Beskos, Alexandros & Kalogeropoulos, Konstantinos & Pazos, Erik, 2013. "Advanced MCMC methods for sampling on diffusion pathspace," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 123(4), pages 1415-1453.
  42. Theodore Simos & Mike Tsionas, 2018. "Bayesian inference of the fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process under a flow sampling scheme," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 33(4), pages 1687-1713, December.
  43. Christian P. Robert & Gareth Roberts, 2021. "Rao–Blackwellisation in the Markov Chain Monte Carlo Era," International Statistical Review, International Statistical Institute, vol. 89(2), pages 237-249, August.
  44. S. C. Kou & Benjamin P. Olding & Martin Lysy & Jun S. Liu, 2012. "A Multiresolution Method for Parameter Estimation of Diffusion Processes," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 107(500), pages 1558-1574, December.
  45. Masayuki Uchida, 2010. "Contrast-based information criterion for ergodic diffusion processes from discrete observations," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 62(1), pages 161-187, February.
  46. Giorgos Sermaidis & Omiros Papaspiliopoulos & Gareth O. Roberts & Alexandros Beskos & Paul Fearnhead, 2013. "Markov Chain Monte Carlo for Exact Inference for Diffusions," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 40(2), pages 294-321, June.
  47. Wanmo Kang & Jong Mun Lee, 2019. "Unbiased Sensitivity Estimation of One-Dimensional Diffusion Processes," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 44(1), pages 334-353, February.
  48. Nafidi, A. & Gutiérrez, R. & Gutiérrez-Sánchez, R. & Ramos-Ábalos, E. & El Hachimi, S., 2016. "Modelling and predicting electricity consumption in Spain using the stochastic Gamma diffusion process with exogenous factors," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 309-318.
  49. Karl Friston, 2008. "Hierarchical Models in the Brain," PLOS Computational Biology, Public Library of Science, vol. 4(11), pages 1-24, November.
  50. DiCesare, Joe & Mcleish, Don, 2008. "Simulation of jump diffusions and the pricing of options," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(3), pages 316-326, December.
  51. Golightly, A. & Wilkinson, D.J., 2008. "Bayesian inference for nonlinear multivariate diffusion models observed with error," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(3), pages 1674-1693, January.
  52. Hermann Singer, 2011. "Continuous-discrete state-space modeling of panel data with nonlinear filter algorithms," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 95(4), pages 375-413, December.
  53. Christian P. Robert, 2013. "Bayesian Computational Tools," Working Papers 2013-45, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
  54. Lee, Yoon Dong & Song, Seongjoo & Lee, Eun-Kyung, 2014. "The delta expansion for the transition density of diffusion models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P3), pages 694-705.
  55. Bin Zhu & Peter X.-K. Song & Jeremy M.G. Taylor, 2011. "Stochastic Functional Data Analysis: A Diffusion Model-Based Approach," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 67(4), pages 1295-1304, December.
  56. Murray, Lawrence M., 2015. "Bayesian State-Space Modelling on High-Performance Hardware Using LibBi," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 67(i10).
  57. Quentin Clairon & Adeline Samson, 2020. "Optimal control for estimation in partially observed elliptic and hypoelliptic linear stochastic differential equations," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 23(1), pages 105-127, April.
  58. Rosen, Ori & Thompson, Wesley K., 2009. "A Bayesian regression model for multivariate functional data," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(11), pages 3773-3786, September.
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