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The microstructure of exchange rate management: FX intervention and capital controls in Brazil

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  • de Roure, Calebe
  • Furniagiev, Steven
  • Reitz, Stefan

Abstract

This paper uses a microstructure approach to analyze the effectiveness of capital controls introduced in Brazil to counter an appreciation of the Real. Based on a rich data set from the Brazilian foreign exchange market, we estimate a reduced-form VAR to characterize the interaction of the central bank, financial and commercial customers in times of regulatory policy measures. Controlling for regular FX interventions we find that capital controls change market participants' behavior. Referring to thesource of order flow, we find no evidence that the appreciation of the Real is driven by financial customers' activity. Instead, commercial customers seem to be a primary driver of the Real within our model. To the extent that capital controls influence commercial customers' order flow, this is the likely channel policy makers use to respond to a perceived loss of international competitiveness.

Suggested Citation

  • de Roure, Calebe & Furniagiev, Steven & Reitz, Stefan, 2013. "The microstructure of exchange rate management: FX intervention and capital controls in Brazil," Kiel Working Papers 1865, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwkwp:1865
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    Cited by:

    1. Smita Roy Trivedi, 2020. "The Moses effect: can central banks really guide foreign exchange markets?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(6), pages 2837-2865, June.
    2. Broos, Menno & Ghalanos, Michalis & Kennedy, Bernard & Landbeck, Alexander & Lerner, Christina & Menezes, Paula & Schiavone, Alessandro & Tilley, Thomas & Viani, Francesca & Reinhardt, Dennis & Metzem, 2016. "Dealing with large and volatile capital flows and the role of the IMF," Occasional Paper Series 180, European Central Bank.
    3. Aguirre, Pablo & Alonso, José Antonio & Jerez, Miguel, 2019. "Effectiveness of capital account regulation: Lessons from Brazil and Peru," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 176-194.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Foreign Exchange; Sterilized Intervention; Macroprudential Policies; Market Microstructure;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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