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The dynamics of short- and long-term CDS-spreads of banks

  • Almer, Thomas
  • Heidorn, Thomas
  • Schmaltz, Christian

This paper studies 'Stylised Facts' and 'Determinants' of short-and long-term CDS-spreads of banks. As short-term spreads we choose 6M-, as long-term spreads we choose 5Y-spreads. In the section 'Stylised Facts' we found that the correlation between short-and long-term spreads for the total period is high (97%). However, the correlation in sub-periods varies across all possible correlations. Particularly, spreads can have negative correlation. In contrast to [Covitz and Downing, 2007], we find high positive (Covitz/Downing: high negative) correlation for turbulent market circumstances. In the section 'Deteminants' we confirm the Merton-factors (stock price, stock price volatility, interest rate level) for the 5Y-segment, but not for the 6M-segment. Furthermore, we do not find any empirical support that short-term spreads are particularly sensitive to illiquidity factors. In that sense, we also contrast [Covitz and Downing, 2007].

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Paper provided by Frankfurt School of Finance and Management in its series Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series with number 95.

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Date of creation: 2008
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Handle: RePEc:zbw:fsfmwp:95
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  1. Gerdesmeier, Dieter & Roffia, Barbara, 2004. "The relevance of real-time data in estimating reaction functions for the Euro area," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 56, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.
  2. Merton, Robert C., 1973. "On the pricing of corporate debt: the risk structure of interest rates," Working papers 684-73., Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Sloan School of Management.
  3. Hirsch, Christian & Bannier, Christina E., 2007. "The economics of rating watchlists: Evidence from rating changes," CFS Working Paper Series 2008/02, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
  4. Heidorn, Thomas & Trautmann, Alexandra, 2005. "Niederschlagsderivate," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 69, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.
  5. Anil Kashyap & Raghuram Rajan & Jeremy S. Stein, 1998. "Banks as liquidity providers: an explanation for the co-existence of lending and deposit-taking," Proceedings 582, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
  6. Schalast, Christoph & Stralkowski, Ingo, 2008. "10 Jahre deutsche Buyouts," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 89, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.
  7. Heidorn, Thomas & Hoppe, Christian & Kaiser, Dieter G., 2005. "Möglichkeiten der Strukturierung von Hedgefondsportfolios," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 68, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.
  8. Ansgar Belke & Thorsten Polleit, 2006. "How the ECB and the US Fed Set Interest Rates," Diskussionspapiere aus dem Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre der Universität Hohenheim 269/2006, Department of Economics, University of Hohenheim, Germany.
  9. Anders, Dietmar & Binder, Andreas & Hesdahl, Ralf & Schalast, Christoph & Thöne, Thomas, 2004. "Aktuelle Fragen des Bank- und Kapitalmarktrechts I: Non-Performing-Loans/Faule Kredite - Handel, Work-Out, Outsourcing und Securitisation," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 54, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.
  10. Dickler, Robert A. & Schalast, Christoph, 2006. "Distressed debt in Germany: What's next? Possible innovative exit strategies," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 73, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.
  11. Heidorn, Thomas & Kaiser, Dieter G. & Muschiol, Andrea, 2007. "Portfoliooptimierung mit Hedgefonds unter Berücksichtigung höherer Momente der Verteilung," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 77, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.
  12. Gerdesmeier, Dieter & Roffia, Barbara, 2007. "Monetary analysis: a VAR perspective," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 78, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.
  13. Hölscher, Luise & Harding, Perham & Becker, Gernot M., 2005. "Financing the embedded value of life insurance portfolios," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 64, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.
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