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The dynamics of short- and long-term CDS-spreads of banks

Author

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  • Almer, Thomas
  • Heidorn, Thomas
  • Schmaltz, Christian

Abstract

This paper studies 'Stylised Facts' and 'Determinants' of short-and long-term CDS-spreads of banks. As short-term spreads we choose 6M-, as long-term spreads we choose 5Y-spreads. In the section 'Stylised Facts' we found that the correlation between short-and long-term spreads for the total period is high (97%). However, the correlation in sub-periods varies across all possible correlations. Particularly, spreads can have negative correlation. In contrast to [Covitz and Downing, 2007], we find high positive (Covitz/Downing: high negative) correlation for turbulent market circumstances. In the section 'Deteminants' we confirm the Merton-factors (stock price, stock price volatility, interest rate level) for the 5Y-segment, but not for the 6M-segment. Furthermore, we do not find any empirical support that short-term spreads are particularly sensitive to illiquidity factors. In that sense, we also contrast [Covitz and Downing, 2007].

Suggested Citation

  • Almer, Thomas & Heidorn, Thomas & Schmaltz, Christian, 2008. "The dynamics of short- and long-term CDS-spreads of banks," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 95, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:fsfmwp:95
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Herrmann-Pillath, Carsten, 2011. "The evolutionary approach to entropy: Reconciling Georgescu-Roegen's natural philosophy with the maximum entropy framework," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(4), pages 606-616, February.
    2. Christina E. Bannier, 2010. "Is there a Holdup Benefit in Heterogeneous Multiple Bank Financing?," Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics (JITE), Mohr Siebeck, Tübingen, vol. 166(4), pages 641-661, December.
    3. Herrmann-Pillath, Carsten, 2010. "Rethinking evolution, entropy and economics: A triadic conceptual framework for the maximum entropy principle as applied to the growth of knowledge," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 146, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.
    4. Heidorn, Thomas & Kaiser, Dieter G. & Voinea, Andre, 2010. "The value-added of investable hedge fund indices," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 141, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.
    5. Beyna, Ingo & Wystup, Uwe, 2010. "On the calibration of the Cheyette interest rate model," CPQF Working Paper Series 25, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management, Centre for Practical Quantitative Finance (CPQF).
    6. Heidorn, Thomas & Winker, Michael & Löw, Christian, 2010. "Funktionsweise und Replikationstil europäischer Exchange Traded Funds auf Aktienindices," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 139, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Liquidity; insolvency; banks;

    JEL classification:

    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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