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Determinants of euro term structure of credit spreads

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  • Van Landschoot, Astrid

Abstract

In this paper, we investigate the determinants of the Euro term structure of credit spreads. More specifically, we analyze whether the sensitivity of credit spread changes to financial and macroeconomic variables depends on bond characteristics such as rating and maturity. According to the structural models and empirical evidence on credit spreads, we find that changes in the level and the slope of the default-free term structure, the market return, implied volatility, and liquidity risk significantly influence credit spread changes. The effect of these factors strongly depends on bond characteristics, especially the rating and to a lesser extent the maturity. Bonds with lower ratings are more affected by financial and macroeconomic news. Furthermore, we find that liquidity risk significantly increases credit spreads, especially on lower rated bonds. JEL Classification: C22, E4, G15

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  • Van Landschoot, Astrid, 2004. "Determinants of euro term structure of credit spreads," Working Paper Series 397, European Central Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:2004397
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    Cited by:

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    2. Kedar nath Mukherjee, 2019. "Demystifying Yield Spread on Corporate Bonds Trades in India," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 26(2), pages 253-284, June.
    3. Yap Chee Jin & Gannon Gerard, 2011. "Announcement Effect on the Credit Spreads of US Dollar Malaysian Bonds," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 14(03), pages 449-484.
    4. Almer, Thomas & Heidorn, Thomas & Schmaltz, Christian, 2008. "The dynamics of short- and long-term CDS-spreads of banks," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 95, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.
    5. Jan De Wit, 2006. "Exploring the CDS-Bond Basis," Working Paper Research 104, National Bank of Belgium.
    6. Paweł Niedziółka, 2009. "Zmienność komponentu upadłościowego marży wskutek zachwiania stabilności finansowej," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 9, pages 67-86.
    7. Geert Langenus, 2006. "Fiscal sustainability indicators and policy design in the face of ageing," Working Paper Research 102, National Bank of Belgium.
    8. Su-Lien Lu & Kuo-Jung Lee, 2021. "Investigating the Determinants of Credit Spread Using a Markov Regime-Switching Model: Evidence from Banks in Taiwan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-25, August.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    credit risk; Nelson-Siegel; Structural models;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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