IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/fip/fedhpr/938.html

On credit spread slopes and predicting bank risk

Author

Listed:
  • C. N. V. Krishnan
  • Peter H. Ritchken
  • James B. Thomson

Abstract

We examine whether bank credit-spread curves, engendered by subordinated debt, would help predict bank risk. We extract credit-spread curves for each bank each quarter and analyze the predictive properties of credit-spread slopes. We find that credit-spread slopes are significant predictors of future credit spreads. We also find that credit-spread slopes provide significant additional information on future bank risk variables, over and above other bank-specific and market-wide information.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Suggested Citation

  • C. N. V. Krishnan & Peter H. Ritchken & James B. Thomson, 2004. "On credit spread slopes and predicting bank risk," Proceedings 938, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedhpr:938
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    To our knowledge, this item is not available for download. To find whether it is available, there are three options:
    1. Check below whether another version of this item is available online.
    2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
    3. Perform a
    for a similarly titled item that would be available.

    Other versions of this item:

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Krishnan, C.N.V. & Ritchken, Peter H. & Thomson, James B., 2010. "Predicting credit spreads," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 529-563, October.
    3. Pop, Adrian & Pop, Diana, 2025. "Is the market tougher with riskier banks? Evidence from the pricing of bank debt securities during a financial turmoil episode," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 134.
    4. Adrian Pop, 2009. "Beyond the Third Pillar of Basel Two: Taking Bond Market Signals Seriously," Working Papers hal-00419241, HAL.
    5. Parnes, Dror & Gormus, Alper, 2024. "Prescreening bank failures with K-means clustering: Pros and cons," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    6. Audzeyeva, Alena & Fuertes, Ana-Maria, 2018. "On the predictability of emerging market sovereign credit spreads," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 140-157.
    7. Nguyen, Tu, 2013. "The disciplinary effect of subordinated debt on bank risk taking," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 117-141.
    8. Evanoff, Douglas D. & Jagtiani, Julapa A. & Nakata, Taisuke, 2011. "Enhancing market discipline in banking: The role of subordinated debt in financial regulatory reform," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 63(1), pages 1-22.
    9. Almer, Thomas & Heidorn, Thomas & Schmaltz, Christian, 2008. "The dynamics of short- and long-term CDS-spreads of banks," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 95, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.
    10. C. N. V. Krishnan & Peter H. Ritchken & James B. Thomson, 2007. "On forecasting the term structure of credit spreads," Working Papers (Old Series) 0705, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    11. Krishnan, C.N.V. & Ergungor, O. Emre & Laux, Paul A. & Singh, Ajai K. & Zebedee, Allan A., 2010. "Examining bank SEOs: Are offers made by undercapitalized banks different?," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 207-234, April.
    12. Kedia, Simi & Zhou, Xing, 2014. "Informed trading around acquisitions: Evidence from corporate bonds," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 182-205.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:fip:fedhpr:938. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Lauren Wiese (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/frbchus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.