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Die Anwendbarkeit der Behavioral Finance im Devisenmarkt

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  • Heidorn, Thomas
  • Siragusano, Tindaro

Abstract

Behavioral finance theory is used for the foreign exchange market to show, that the profit of a typical trader is mainly due to the higher number of correct positions. Using behavioral finance the amount of loss trades is larger than 60%, however the individual gains are larger than the losses leading to an overall profit. Using this approach we show, that behavioral finance rules can be quantified and a trading outperformance is possible just using 24h spot rates and 3 day volatilities.

Suggested Citation

  • Heidorn, Thomas & Siragusano, Tindaro, 2004. "Die Anwendbarkeit der Behavioral Finance im Devisenmarkt," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 52, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:fsfmwp:52
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    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/27815/1/390849219.PDF
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Roßbach, Peter, 2001. "Behavioral finance: eine Alternative zur vorherrschenden Kapitalmarkttheorie?," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 31, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.
    2. Dacorogna, Michel M. & Gençay, Ramazan & Müller, Ulrich A. & Pictet, Olivier V., 2001. "Effective return, risk aversion and drawdowns," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 289(1), pages 229-248.
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    Cited by:

    1. Herrmann-Pillath, Carsten, 2010. "Rethinking evolution, entropy and economics: A triadic conceptual framework for the maximum entropy principle as applied to the growth of knowledge," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 146, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.
    2. Scholz, Peter & Walther, Ursula, 2011. "The trend is not your friend! Why empirical timing success is determined by the underlying's price characteristics and market efficiency is irrelevant," CPQF Working Paper Series 29, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management, Centre for Practical Quantitative Finance (CPQF).
    3. Hankir, Yassin & Rauch, Christian & Umber, Marc P., 2009. "It's the market power, stupid! Stock return patterns in international bank M&A," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 129, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.
    4. Herrmann-Pillath, Carsten, 2011. "The evolutionary approach to entropy: Reconciling Georgescu-Roegen's natural philosophy with the maximum entropy framework," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(4), pages 606-616, February.
    5. Heidorn, Thomas & Kahlert, Dennis, 2010. "Implied correlations of iTraxx tranches during the financial crisis," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 145, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.
    6. Polleit, Thorsten & Gerdesmeier, Dieter, 2005. "Measures of excess liquidity," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 65, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.
    7. Kostka, Genia & Hobbs, William, 2010. "Energy efficiency in China: The local bundling of interests and policies," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 151, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.
    8. Heidorn, Thomas & Hoppe, Christian & Kaiser, Dieter G., 2005. "Möglichkeiten der Strukturierung von Hedgefondsportfolios," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 68, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.
    9. Packham, Natalie & Schlögl, Lutz & Schmidt, Wolfgang M., 2009. "Credit dynamics in a first passage time model with jumps," CPQF Working Paper Series 21, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management, Centre for Practical Quantitative Finance (CPQF).
    10. Kostka, Genia & Zhou, Jianghua, 2010. "Chinese firms entering China's low-income market: Gaining competitive advantage by partnering governments," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 147, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.
    11. Kostka, Genia & Hobbs, William, 2010. "Embedded interests and the managerial local state: methanol fuel-switching in China," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 152, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.
    12. Heidorn, Thomas & Winker, Michael & Löw, Christian, 2010. "Funktionsweise und Replikationstil europäischer Exchange Traded Funds auf Aktienindices," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 139, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    behavioral finance; technical trading; foreign exchange market; FX; anchoring; regret avoidance;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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