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Bond portfolio optimization: A risk-return approach


  • Korn, Olaf
  • Koziol, Christian


In this paper, we apply Markowitz's approach of portfolio selection to government bond portfolios. As a main feature of our analysis, we use term structure models to estimate expected returns, return variances, and covariances of different bonds. Our empirical study for the German market shows that a small number of risky bonds is sufficient to reach very promising predicted risk-return profiles. If the number of risky bonds in the portfolio is not too large and the term structure model does not contain more than two factors, these predictions are confirmed by the realized risk-return profiles.

Suggested Citation

  • Korn, Olaf & Koziol, Christian, 2006. "Bond portfolio optimization: A risk-return approach," CFR Working Papers 06-03, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:cfrwps:0603

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Gourieroux,Christian & Monfort,Alain, 1997. "Time Series and Dynamic Models," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521423083, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Caldeira, João F. & Moura, Guilherme V. & Santos, André A.P., 2016. "Bond portfolio optimization using dynamic factor models," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 128-158.
    2. Keita Nakayama & Akihiko Takahashi, 2007. "A Factor Allocation Approach to Optimal Bond Portfolio," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-494, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
    3. Caldeira, João F. & Moura, Guilherme V. & Santos, André A.P., 2016. "Predicting the yield curve using forecast combinations," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 79-98.
    4. Valentina Galvani & Stuart Landon, 2013. "Riding the yield curve: a spanning analysis," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 40(1), pages 135-154, January.
    5. Yaacov Kopeliovich, 2015. "Optimal Portfolios Of Corporate Bonds And Hold To Maturity Strategies," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 10(02), pages 1-34, December.
    6. Iliya Markov & Rodrigue Oeuvray & Nils Tuchschmid, 2013. "Non-fully invested derivative-free bond index replication," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 27(1), pages 101-124, March.
    7. Keita Nakayama & Akihiko Takahashi, 2007. "A Factor Allocation Approach to Optimal Bond Portfolio," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 14(4), pages 299-324, December.
    8. Keita Nakayama & Akihiko Takahashi, 2008. "A Factor Allocation Approach to Optimal Bond Portfolio," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-547, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.

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