IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/
MyIDEAS: Login to save this paper or follow this series

A look at exchange rate and monetary policy in Malawi

  • Kisu Simwaka

    (Reserve bank of Malawi)

Registered author(s):

    A LOOK AT EXCHANGE RATE AND MONETARY POLICY IN MALAWI* Prepared by K Simwaka Research & Statistics Department Reserve Bank of Malawi Abstract The paper assesses whether the exchange rate is affected by monetary policy and whether these effects are permanent or transitory. The paper takes the position that monetary policy is very crucial to exchange rate management. A real effective exchange rate model is estimated to generate real effective exchange rate misalignment. Causality tests are performed between several measures of monetary shocks (consistent with other empirical works) and the real effective exchange rate misalignment. The results show that excess money supply predict real effective exchange rate misalignment with no feedback effects. In the second stage, a model of nominal exchange rate is estimated. Since we find co-integration, the model is estimated with first difference of the non-stationary variables, level variables and the co-integrating vector. Results indicate that nominal exchange rate over the period is determined by real income growth, rate of inflation, money supply growth and real effective exchange rate misalignment. The adjustment speed from the error correction term is consistent with a market-determined exchange rate responding to excess money supply. Keywords: Exchange Rate; Monetary Policy; Integration * The findings, interpretation and conclusions expressed in this paper are entirely those of the author. They don’t necessarily represent the views of the Reserve Bank of Malawi.

    If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.

    File URL: http://econwpa.repec.org/eps/mac/papers/0407/0407017.doc.gz
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: http://econwpa.repec.org/eps/mac/papers/0407/0407017.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: http://econwpa.repec.org/eps/mac/papers/0407/0407017.ps.gz
    Download Restriction: no

    Paper provided by EconWPA in its series Macroeconomics with number 0407017.

    as
    in new window

    Length: 20 pages
    Date of creation: 16 Jul 2004
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpma:0407017
    Note: Type of Document - txt; pages: 20
    Contact details of provider: Web page: http://econwpa.repec.org

    References listed on IDEAS
    Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:

    as in new window
    1. Reinhart, Carmen & Calvo, Guillermo & Vegh, Carlos, 1994. "Targeting the real exchange rate," MPRA Paper 13765, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
    3. De Grauwe, Paul, 1994. "Exchange Rates in Search of Fundamental Variables," CEPR Discussion Papers 1073, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.

    When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpma:0407017. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (EconWPA)

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

    If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    This information is provided to you by IDEAS at the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis using RePEc data.