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Spatial impacts of economic crisis. Scenarios for the Portuguese Regions

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  • Tomaz Dentinho

  • João Borba

Abstract

Unemployment and migration are known effects of financial and economic crisis. This paper tries to understand the spatial patterns of those effects in a city and its surroundings considering the direct and induced impacts, the migration flows between the city, the surroundings and the outside and the multiplier effects that come from the changing rents of the economic landscape. We use a spatial interaction model with rent calibration and the cyclical results of the distribution of rents and unemployment subsidies. We apply the model to Portuguese NUTS 3 regions where the reduction of some basic economic activities is producing direct and induced impacts on unemployment, reduction of active population and migration.

Suggested Citation

  • Tomaz Dentinho & João Borba, 2014. "Spatial impacts of economic crisis. Scenarios for the Portuguese Regions," ERSA conference papers ersa14p144, European Regional Science Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:wiw:wiwrsa:ersa14p144
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    File URL: https://www-sre.wu.ac.at/ersa/ersaconfs/ersa14/e140826aFinal00144.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Allen J. Scott & Michael Storper, 2007. "Regions, Globalization, Development," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(sup1), pages 191-205.
    2. Tomaz Ponce Dentinho, 2011. "Unsustainable cities, a tragedy of urban infrastructure," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 3(3), pages 231-247, August.
    3. Michael Bruno & Jeffrey Sachs, 1982. "Energy and Resource Allocation: A Dynamic Model of the "Dutch Disease"," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 49(5), pages 845-859.
    4. Diego Puga, 2002. "European regional policies in light of recent location theories," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 2(4), pages 373-406, October.
    5. Davis, Graham A., 1995. "Learning to love the Dutch disease: Evidence from the mineral economies," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 23(10), pages 1765-1779, October.
    6. Roberta Capello & Tomaz Ponce Dentinho (ed.), 2012. "Networks, Space and Competitiveness," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 14847, June.
    7. Michael Bruno & Jeffrey Sachs, 1982. "Energy and Resource Allocation: A Dynamic Model of the "Dutch Disease"," NBER Working Papers 0852, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Tomaz Ponce Dentinho, 2012. "New challenges for sustainable growth," Chapters, in: Roberta Capello & Tomaz Ponce Dentinho (ed.), Networks, Space and Competitiveness, chapter 11, pages 276-290, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    9. Roberta Capello & Tomaz Ponce Dentinho (ed.), 2012. "Globalization Trends and Regional Development," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 14815, June.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • R10 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - General

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