IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/wiw/wiwrsa/ersa13p1184.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Structural changes and external vulnerabilities in the Brazilian economy in the period 1995-2009

Author

Listed:
  • Rossana Rodrigues
  • João Carlos Lopes
  • João Dias
  • Antonio Carlos Moretto

Abstract

From the 1990s, the Brazilian development model went from protector of the industrial sector to the trade liberalization process, which brought the need for extensive restructuring of the productive sectors of the economy must, henceforth to confront openly the global competitors within the prevailing international conditions. Thus, during the 90s, the intensification of trade liberalization was combined with the privatization of key sectors of the economy (like the electricity and telecommunications sectors), resulting in structural changes, with the liberalization of capital flows and with a stabilization program (Plano Real), based on an exchange rate anchor, with important effects on the entire economy. Within this context, this article aims is to assess the evolution of external dependence and changes in terms of generating value added sectors of the Brazilian economy in the period 1995-2009, divided into three periods, namely, 1995-2000, 2000 - 2005 and 2005-2009. The database are the input-output Brazil annual matrices for the period 1995-2009, structured into 42 sectors, from which traditional Hirschman-Rasmussen indicators are calculated. The evolution of these indices is, then, combined with the coefficients of value added and imported inputs over time, allowing for a new treatment of intersectoral production multipliers. Preliminary results indicated a very satisfactory behavior of the national economy over time, with a predominance of positive gains in the ability to generate value added and lower imports of intermediate inputs by industries of medium and high technology, and less losses resulting growth the change in value added sector and greater external dependence for the minority of other sectors, particularly in recent years. It is hoped, with the development of the study to evaluate in detail the behavior of the 42 sectors in which Brazil's economy is structured in the study period.

Suggested Citation

  • Rossana Rodrigues & João Carlos Lopes & João Dias & Antonio Carlos Moretto, 2013. "Structural changes and external vulnerabilities in the Brazilian economy in the period 1995-2009," ERSA conference papers ersa13p1184, European Regional Science Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:wiw:wiwrsa:ersa13p1184
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www-sre.wu.ac.at/ersa/ersaconfs/ersa13/ERSA2013_paper_01184.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Cella, Guido, 1984. "The Input-Output Measurement of Interindustry Linkages," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 46(1), pages 73-84, February.
    2. João Ferreira do Amaral & João Carlos Lopes & João Dias, 2011. "External dependency, value added generation and structural change: an inter-industry approach," Notas Económicas, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra, issue 33, pages 06-19, June.
    3. Carlos Henrique L. Corseuil & Miguel N. Foguel, 2011. "Expansão Econômica e Aumento da Formalização das Relações de Trabalho: Uma Abordagem Através das Contratações," Discussion Papers 1571, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.
    4. Clements, Benedict J., 1990. "On the decomposition and normalization of interindustry linkages," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 337-340, August.
    5. Jan Oosterhaven & Dirk Stelder, 2002. "Net Multipliers Avoid Exaggerating Impacts: With A Bi–Regional Illustration for the Dutch Transportation Sector," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(3), pages 533-543, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Rossana Lott Rodrigues & João Carlos Lopes & João Dias & Antonio Carlos Moretto, 2013. "Structural changes and external vulnerabilities in the Brazilian economy: 1995-2009," Working Papers Department of Economics 2013/13, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa.
    2. Giannis Karagiannis & Vangelis Tzouvelekas, 2010. "Sectoral linkages and industrial efficiency: a dilemma or a requisition in identifying development priorities?," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 45(1), pages 207-233, August.
    3. Guilhoto, J. J. M. & Sesso Filho, U. A., 2005. "Estimação da Matriz Insumo-Produto a Partir De Dados Preliminares das Contas Nacionais [Estimation of input-output matrix using preliminary data from national accounts]," MPRA Paper 38212, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Moretto, Antonio Carlos & Rodrigues, Rossana Lott & Sesso Filho, Umberto Antonio & Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins & Maia, Katy, 2012. "Regiões polarizadas no Paraná: relações inter setoriais e inter regionais em 2006," MPRA Paper 46996, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Fernando Salgueiro Perobelli & Eduardo Amaral Haddad & Edson Paulo Domingues, 2009. "Interdependence among the Brazilian States: An Input-Output Approach," Chapters, in: Mahtab A. Farschi & Odile E.M. Janne & Philip McCann (ed.), Technological Change and Mature Industrial Regions, chapter 4, pages 44-63, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    6. Chokri Dridi & Geoffrey Hewings, 2002. "An Investigation of Industry Associations, Association Loops and Economic Complexity: Application to Canada and the United States," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(3), pages 275-296.
    7. Alp, Esra & Kök, Recep & Başkol, Murat Ozan, 2017. "Türkiye Ekonomisinde Sürükleyici Endüstri Analizi:2002-2012 Karşılaştırması [Key Sector Analysis in Turkish Economy: A Compare Between 2002-2012]," MPRA Paper 89952, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Joaquim J. M. Guilhoto & Silvio Massaru Ichihara & Márcio Guerra Amorim, 2010. "Structural Analysis of Employment in the Brazilian Economy: 1996 and 2002 Compared," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Hadi Salehi Esfahani & Giovanni Facchini & Geoffrey J. D. Hewings (ed.), Economic Development in Latin America, chapter 12, pages 179-200, Palgrave Macmillan.
    9. Wang, Yuan & Wang, Wenqin & Mao, Guozhu & Cai, Hua & Zuo, Jian & Wang, Lili & Zhao, Peng, 2013. "Industrial CO2 emissions in China based on the hypothetical extraction method: Linkage analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 1238-1244.
    10. Guilhoto, Joaquim J.M., 1995. "Um modelo computável de equilíbrio geral para planejamento e análise de políticas agrícolas (PAPA) na economia brasileira [A computable general equilibrium model for planning and analysis of agricu," MPRA Paper 42349, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins, 2011. "Análise de Insumo-Produto: Teoria e Fundamentos [Input-Output Analysis: Theory and Foundations]," MPRA Paper 32566, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Yu Song & Chunlu Liu & Craig Langston, 2006. "Linkage measures of the construction sector using the hypothetical extraction method," Construction Management and Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(6), pages 579-589.
    13. Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins & Sonis, Michael & Hewings, Geoffrey J.D. & Martins, Eduardo B., 1994. "Índices de ligações e setores chave na economia brasileira: 1959-1980 [Linkages and key-sectors in the Brazilian economy: 1959-180]," MPRA Paper 54759, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Rodrigues, Rossana Lott & Moretto, Antonio Carlos & Crocomo, Francisco C. & Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins, 2005. "Transações inter-regionais e intersetoriais entre as macro-regiões brasileiras [Inter-regional and inter-sectoral transactions between Brazilian macro regions]," MPRA Paper 54559, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Nelson Marconi & Igor L. Rocha & Guilherme R. Magacho, 2016. "Sectoral capabilities and productive structure: An input-output analysis of the key sectors of the Brazilian economy," Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Center of Political Economy, vol. 36(3), pages 470-492.
    16. Junning Cai & Pingsun Leung, 2004. "Linkage Measures: a Revisit and a Suggested Alternative," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(1), pages 63-83.
    17. Jaime Bonet, 2005. "Regional Structural Changes in Colombia: An Input-Output Approach," Borradores de Economia 341, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    18. Umed Temurshoev, 2010. "Identifying Optimal Sector Groupings With The Hypothetical Extraction Method," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 50(4), pages 872-890, October.
    19. Manuel Alejandro Cardenete & Pierre Boulanger & María del Carmen Delgado & Emanuele Ferrari & Robert M'barek, 2012. "An approach to describe the agri-food and other bio-based sectors in the European Union: Focus on Spain," JRC Research Reports JRC72097, Joint Research Centre.
    20. Crocomo, Francisco C. & Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins, 1998. "Análise das relações inter-regionais e intersetoriais na economia brasileira em 1985: uma aplicação de insumo produto [Analysis of the interregional and inter sectoral relations in Brazilian econom," MPRA Paper 54675, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wiw:wiwrsa:ersa13p1184. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Gunther Maier (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.ersa.org .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.