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Official Foreign Exchange Interventions in the Czech Republic: Did They Matter?

Author

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  • Bal??zs ??gert
  • Lubo?? Kom??rek

Abstract

This paper studies the impact of daily official foreign exchange interventions on the Czech koruna???s exchange rate vis-??-vis the euro (German mark prior to 1999) from 1997 to 2002. Using both the event study methodology and a variety of GARCH models reveal that central bank interventions, especially koruna purchases were fairly ineffective from 1997 to mid-1998 compared to the size of the interventions. However, from mid-1998 to 2002, koruna sales were surprisingly effective in either smoothing the path of the exchange rate or even reversing the appreciating trend up to 60 days. Higher volatility triggered koruna purchases in the period from 1997 to mid-1998, which in turn leads to higher volatility. This suggests that the CNB tried in vain to calm the markets after the currency crisis. Koruna sales simply yield more forex rate volatility, a by-product of the monetary authorities??? efforts to counter excessive appreciation.

Suggested Citation

  • Bal??zs ??gert & Lubo?? Kom??rek, 2000. "Official Foreign Exchange Interventions in the Czech Republic: Did They Matter?," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series wp760, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan.
    • Handle: RePEc:wdi:papers:2005-760
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ilker Domac & Alfonso Mendoza, 2002. "Is there Room for Forex Interventions under Inflation Targeting Framework? Evidence from Mexico and Turkey," Discussion Papers 0206, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    central bank intervention; foreign exchange intervention; transition economies;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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