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The Yen-Dollar Rate: Have Interventions Mattered?

Author

Listed:
  • Mr. Ramana Ramaswamy
  • Hossein Samiei

Abstract

Using daily data for 1995–99, this paper estimates a simple forward looking model of the exchange rate to show that foreign exchange interventions have, on the whole, had small but persistent effects on the yen-dollar rate. Contrary to conventional wisdom, sterilized interventions have mattered. Consistent with conventional wisdom, coordinated interventions have a higher probability of success and move the yen-dollar rate by a larger margin than unilateral interventions. A probit model indicates that both an excessive appreciation and depreciation of the yen provoke interventions, and that interventions occur in clusters—if there is one today, there will likely be another tomorrow.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Ramana Ramaswamy & Hossein Samiei, 2000. "The Yen-Dollar Rate: Have Interventions Mattered?," IMF Working Papers 2000/095, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2000/095
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