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The impact of policy announcements and news on capital markets : crisis management in Argentina during the Tequila Effect

Author

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  • Ganapolsky, Eduardo J. J.
  • Schmukler, Sergio L.

Abstract

Argentina was hit hard by the Mexican crisis of 1994-95. The Argentine peso came under attack and there was a run on bank deposits. Argentina'successfully announced a series of policies to mitigate the spillover effects, without abandoning its currency board. The authors show how capital markets reacted to each policy announcement and piece of breaking news. They find that Argentina's agreement with the International Monetary Fund, the dollarization of reserve deposits in the central bank, and the reduction in reserve requirements, among other things, had a strong positive impact on market returns. The market welcomed announcements that reflected the adoption of credible policies and demonstrated a firm commitment to the currency board. The authors also find that, after a period of higher volatility, the appointment of a new finance minister (after Domingo Cavallo left the finance ministry) calmed down stock and bond markets, significantly decreasing the variance in stock and bond market returns. On the other hand, the interest rate became more volatile after the appointment of the new finance minister and when reserve requirements were lowered.

Suggested Citation

  • Ganapolsky, Eduardo J. J. & Schmukler, Sergio L., 1998. "The impact of policy announcements and news on capital markets : crisis management in Argentina during the Tequila Effect," Policy Research Working Paper Series 1951, The World Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:1951
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Antonio Afonso & Joao Tovar Jalles, 2019. "Sovereign Ratings and Finance Ministers' Characteristics," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 39(4), pages 2999-3010.
    3. Hamza Bennani & Cécile Couharde & Yoan Wallois, 2024. "The effect of IMF communication on government bond markets: insights from sentiment analysis," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 160(2), pages 615-656, May.
    4. Brock, Philip L., 1998. "Financial safety nets and incentive structures in Latin America," Policy Research Working Paper Series 1993, The World Bank.
    5. Mrs. Marie T Dal Corso, 2004. "An Institutional Framework for Comparing Emerging Market Currency Boards," IMF Working Papers 2004/180, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Lagunes, Mario & Watkins, Karen, 2009. "Efectos de las Crisis Anticipadas y No Anticipadas sobre El Contagio Financiero Internacional," Panorama Económico, Escuela Superior de Economía, Instituto Politécnico Nacional, vol. 0(08), pages 101-148, primer se.
    7. Lee J. Alston & Andres Gallo, 2000. "Evolution and Revolution in the Argentine Banking System under Convertibility: The Roles of Crises and Path Dependence," NBER Working Papers 8008, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Andres Gallo & Juan Pablo Stegmann & Jeffrey Steagall, 2006. "The Role of Political Institutions in the Resolution of Economic Crises: The Case of Argentina 2001-05," Oxford Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(2), pages 193-217.
    9. Cécile Couharde & Hamza Bennani & Yoan Wallois, 2021. "Do IMF Reports Affect Market Expectations ? A Sentiment Analysis Approach," Working Papers hal-04159751, HAL.
    10. Terhi Jokipii & Brian Lucey, 2005. "CEE Banking Sector Co-Movement: Contagion or Interdependence?," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series iiisdp077, IIIS.
    11. Marcelo Dabos & Maria Laura Gomez Mera, 1998. "The Tequila Banking Crisis in Argentina," Working Papers 19, Universidad de San Andres, Departamento de Economia, revised Sep 1999.
    12. Taimur Baig & Ilan Goldfajn, 1999. "Financial Market Contagion in the Asian Crisis," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 46(2), pages 1-3.
    13. Mr. Taimur Baig & Mr. Ilan Goldfajn, 2000. "The Russian Default and the Contagion to Brazil," IMF Working Papers 2000/160, International Monetary Fund.

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