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Do national business cycles have an international origin?

Listed author(s):
  • Joffrey Malek Mansour

This paper analyses a set of output data for 113 countries and identifies common sources of fluctuations, to estimate a world business cycle. We also analyze the multiplier effects of worldwide or global shocks and their implications for the persistence and amplitude of cyclical fluctuations. We find that a higher relative importance of global shocks leads to lower persistence and greater volatility. Finally, we compare some regional integration agreements and find that the EC emerges as the most integrated block. The analytical framework used is that of Forni, Hallin, Lippi and Reichlin (1999). Copyright Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2003

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Paper provided by ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles in its series ULB Institutional Repository with number 2013/13490.

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Date of creation: Apr 2003
Publication status: Published in: Empirical Economics (2003)
Handle: RePEc:ulb:ulbeco:2013/13490
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