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Progressive Taxation, Endogenous Growth, and Macroeconomic (In)stability

Author

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  • Jang-Ting Guo

    (Department of Economics, University of California Riverside)

  • Shu-Hua Chen

    (National Taipei University)

Abstract

In the context of a standard one-sector AK model of endogenous growth, we show that the economy exhibits equilibrium indeterminacy and belief-driven aggregate fluctuations under progressive taxation of income. When the tax schedule is regressive or flat, the economy's balanced growth path displays saddle-path stability and equilibrium uniqueness. These results imply that in sharp contrast to a conventional automatic stabilizer, progressive income taxation may destabilize an endogenously growing macroeconomy by generating cyclical fluctuations driven by agents' self-fulfilling expectations or sunspots.

Suggested Citation

  • Jang-Ting Guo & Shu-Hua Chen, 2015. "Progressive Taxation, Endogenous Growth, and Macroeconomic (In)stability," Working Papers 201509, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:ucr:wpaper:201509
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Romer, Paul M, 1986. "Increasing Returns and Long-run Growth," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 94(5), pages 1002-1037, October.
    2. ShuHua Chen & JangTing Guo, 2013. "On indeterminacy and growth under progressive taxation and productive government spending," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 46(3), pages 865-880, August.
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    8. Barro, Robert J, 1990. "Government Spending in a Simple Model of Endogenous Growth," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 98(5), pages 103-126, October.
    9. Shu-Hua Chen & Jang-Ting Guo, 2019. "Progressive taxation as an automatic destabilizer under endogenous growth," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 127(1), pages 47-71, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Been-Lon Chen & Yunfang Hu & Kazuo Mino, 2018. "Does Nonlinear Taxation Stabilize Small Open Economies?," KIER Working Papers 997, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
    2. Fujisaki, Seiya, 2017. "Equilibrium Determinacy in a Two-Tax System with Utility from Government Expenditure," MPRA Paper 81214, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Been-Lon Chen & Mei Hsu & Yu-Shan Hsu, 2018. "Progressive taxation and macroeconomic stability in two-sector models with social constant returns," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 125(1), pages 51-68, September.
    4. Been-Lon Chen & Yunfang Hu & Kazuo Mino, 2016. "Stabilization Effects of Taxation Rules in Small-Open Economies with Endogenous Growth," KIER Working Papers 946, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
    5. Shu‐Hua Chen & Jang‐Ting Guo, 2018. "On Indeterminacy and Growth under Progressive Taxation and Utility‐Generating Government Spending," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(3), pages 533-543, August.
    6. Chen, Been-Lon & Hu, Yunfang & Mino, Kazuo, 2019. "Stability of a Small Open Economy under Nonlinear Income Taxation," MPRA Paper 98101, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Juin‐Jen Chang & Jang‐Ting Guo & Jhy‐Yuan Shieh & Wei‐Neng Wang, 2019. "Sectoral composition of government spending, distortionary income taxation, and macroeconomic (in)stability," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, vol. 15(1), pages 95-107, March.
    8. Aleksandar Vasilev, 2016. "Progressive taxation and (in)stability in an endogenous growth model with human capital accumulation," Journal of Economics and Econometrics, Economics and Econometrics Society, vol. 59(2), pages 1-15.
    9. Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2016. "Progressive taxation and (in)stability in an endogenous growth model with human capital accumulation: the case of Bulgaria," EconStor Preprints 144212, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    10. Chen, Been-Lon & Hu, Yunfang & Mino, Kazuo, 2020. "Income Taxation Rules and Stability of a Small Open Economy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    11. Chen, Shu-Hua, 2019. "On economic growth and automatic stabilizers under linearly progressive income taxation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 378-395.
    12. Aman A. Bara and Bidisha Chakraborty, 2019. "Is Public-private Partnership an Optimal Mode of Provision of Infrastructure?," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 44(1), pages 97-123, March.
    13. Shu-Hua Chen & Jang-Ting Guo, 2019. "Progressive taxation as an automatic destabilizer under endogenous growth," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 127(1), pages 47-71, June.
    14. Wei-Bin ZHANG, 2018. "Corruption, governments’ debts, trade, and global growth," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(2(615), S), pages 27-50, Summer.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Progressive Income Taxation; Endogenous Growth; Equilibrium (In)determinacy.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy
    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models

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