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Progressive Taxation, Endogenous Growth, And Macroeconomic (In)Stability

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  • Shu-Hua Chen
  • Jang-Ting Guo

Abstract

In the context of a standard one-sector AK model of endogenous growth, we show that the economy exhibits equilibrium indeterminacy and belief-driven aggregate fluctuations under progressive taxation of income. When the tax schedule is regressive or flat, the economy's balanced growth path displays saddle-path stability and equilibrium uniqueness. These results imply that in sharp contrast to a conventional automatic stabilizer, progressive income taxation may destabilize an endogenously growing macroeconomy by generating cyclical fluctuations driven by agents' self-fulfilling expectations or sunspots.
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  • Shu-Hua Chen & Jang-Ting Guo, 2016. "Progressive Taxation, Endogenous Growth, And Macroeconomic (In)Stability," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 68(S1), pages 20-27, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:buecrs:v:68:y:2016:i:s1:p:20-27
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    1. Romer, Paul M, 1986. "Increasing Returns and Long-run Growth," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 94(5), pages 1002-1037, October.
    2. ShuHua Chen & JangTing Guo, 2013. "On indeterminacy and growth under progressive taxation and productive government spending," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 46(3), pages 865-880, August.
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    8. Shu‐Hua Chen & Jang‐Ting Guo, 2013. "On indeterminacy and growth under progressive taxation and productive government spending," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 46(3), pages 865-880, August.
    9. Steven Yamarik, 2001. "Nonlinear Tax Structures and Endogenous Growth," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 69(1), pages 16-30, January.
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    11. Shu-Hua Chen & Jang-Ting Guo, 2019. "Progressive taxation as an automatic destabilizer under endogenous growth," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 127(1), pages 47-71, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Been-Lon Chen & Mei Hsu & Yu-Shan Hsu, 2018. "Progressive taxation and macroeconomic stability in two-sector models with social constant returns," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 125(1), pages 51-68, September.
    2. Chen, Been-Lon & Hu, Yunfang & Mino, Kazuo, 2020. "Income Taxation Rules and Stability of a Small Open Economy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    3. Juin‐Jen Chang & Jang‐Ting Guo & Jhy‐Yuan Shieh & Wei‐Neng Wang, 2019. "Sectoral composition of government spending, distortionary income taxation, and macroeconomic (in)stability," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, vol. 15(1), pages 95-107, March.
    4. Fujisaki, Seiya, 2017. "Equilibrium Determinacy in a Two-Tax System with Utility from Government Expenditure," MPRA Paper 81214, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Chen, Shu-Hua, 2019. "On economic growth and automatic stabilizers under linearly progressive income taxation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 378-395.
    6. Aleksandar Vasilev, 2016. "Progressive taxation and (in)stability in an endogenous growth model with human capital accumulation," Journal of Economics and Econometrics, Economics and Econometrics Society, vol. 59(2), pages 1-15.
    7. Wei-Bin ZHANG, 2018. "Corruption, governments’ debts, trade, and global growth," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(2(615), S), pages 27-50, Summer.
    8. Aman A. Bara and Bidisha Chakraborty, 2019. "Is Public-private Partnership an Optimal Mode of Provision of Infrastructure?," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 44(1), pages 97-123, March.
    9. Been-Lon Chen & Yunfang Hu & Kazuo Mino, 2016. "Stabilization Effects of Taxation Rules in Small-Open Economies with Endogenous Growth," KIER Working Papers 946, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
    10. Been-Lon Chen & Yunfang Hu & Kazuo Mino, 2018. "Does Nonlinear Taxation Stabilize Small Open Economies?," KIER Working Papers 997, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
    11. Shu-Hua Chen & Jang-Ting Guo, 2019. "Progressive taxation as an automatic destabilizer under endogenous growth," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 127(1), pages 47-71, June.
    12. Chen, Been-Lon & Hu, Yunfang & Mino, Kazuo, 2019. "Stability of a Small Open Economy under Nonlinear Income Taxation," MPRA Paper 98101, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Shu‐Hua Chen & Jang‐Ting Guo, 2018. "On Indeterminacy and Growth under Progressive Taxation and Utility‐Generating Government Spending," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(3), pages 533-543, August.
    14. Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2016. "Progressive taxation and (in)stability in an endogenous growth model with human capital accumulation: the case of Bulgaria," EconStor Preprints 144212, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models

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