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Managing a Century of Debt

Author

Listed:
  • John Fitzgerald

    (Department of Economics, Trinity College Dublin)

  • Se n Kenny

    (University of Lund)

Abstract

This paper provides a consistent series for the Irish national debt since the foundation of the state. It also provides a continuous series for bond yields over the same period. The paper examines the factors behind the fluctuations in the debt burden over almost a century. The management of the debt burden by the Irish authorities has evolved over time, seeking to minimise both the burden on the economy and the risks which the debt represented to the state. The paper also examines how the cost of borrowing for the Irish government compared to that for the UK and, since the break with sterling, for Germany. This cost of borrowing was, in turn affected by developments in the domestic economy.

Suggested Citation

  • John Fitzgerald & Se n Kenny, 2018. "Managing a Century of Debt," Trinity Economics Papers tep0118, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:tcd:tcduee:tep0118
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    File URL: https://www.tcd.ie/Economics/TEP/2018/TEP0118.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Honohan, Patrick & Conroy, Charles, 1994. "Irish Interest Rate Fluctuations in The European Monetary System," Research Series, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number GRS165.
    2. Foley-Fisher, Nathan & McLaughlin, Eoin, 2016. "Sovereign debt guarantees and default: Lessons from the UK and Ireland, 1920–1938," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 272-286.
    3. Neary, J Peter & O'Gráda, Cormac, 1986. "Protection, Economic War and Structural Change: The 1930s in Ireland," CEPR Discussion Papers 117, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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    5. Ellison, Martin & Scott, Andrew, 2017. "Managing the UK National Debt 1694-2017," CEPR Discussion Papers 12304, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    6. O'Rourke, Kevin, 1991. "Burn Everything British but their Coal: the Anglo-Irish Economic War of the 1930s," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 51(2), pages 357-366, June.
    7. Patrick Honohan, 1999. "Fiscal Adjustment and Disinflation in Ireland: Setting the Macro Basis of Economic Recovery and Expansion," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Frank Barry (ed.), Understanding Ireland’s Economic Growth, chapter 4, pages 75-98, Palgrave Macmillan.
    8. Patrick Honohan & Cormac Ó Gráda, 1998. "The Irish macroeconomic crisis of 1955-56 : how much was due to monetary policy," Open Access publications 10197/463, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
    9. Kearney, Ide & McCoy, Daniel & Duffy, David & McMahon, Michael & Smyth, Diarmaid, 2000. "Assessing the Stance of Irish Fiscal Policy," Papers BP2001/1, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
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    11. Mr. Julio Escolano, 2010. "A Practical Guide to Public Debt Dynamics, Fiscal Sustainability, and Cyclical Adjustment of Budgetary Aggregates," IMF Technical Notes and Manuals 2010/002, International Monetary Fund.
    12. Kevin H. O'Rourke & Cormac Ó Gráda, 1995. "Irish economic growth," Open Access publications 10197/419, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
    13. John Fitzgerald & Se n Kenny, 2017. "Till Debt Do Us Part :Financial Implications of the Divorce of the Irish Free State from the UK, 1922-6," Trinity Economics Papers tep2117, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics.
    14. Nicholas Crafts, 2016. "Reducing High Public Debt Ratios: Lessons from UK Experience," Fiscal Studies, Institute for Fiscal Studies, vol. 37, pages 201-223, June.
    15. Foley-Fisher, Nathan & McLaughlin, Eoin, 2016. "Capitalising on the Irish land question: land reform and state banking in Ireland, 1891–1938," Financial History Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(1), pages 71-109, April.
    16. Crafts,Nicholas & Toniolo,Gianni (ed.), 1996. "Economic Growth in Europe since 1945," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521499644, September.
    17. Julio Escolano, 2010. "A Practical Guide to Public Debt Dynamics, Fiscal Sustainability, and Cyclical Adjustment of Budgetary Aggregates," IMF Technical Notes and Manuals 10/02, International Monetary Fund.
    18. FitzGerald, John, 2013. "The Impact of Fiscal Policy on the Economy," Research Notes RN2013/3/1, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    19. S M Ali Abbas & Nazim Belhocine & Asmaa El-Ganainy & Mark Horton, 2011. "Historical Patterns and Dynamics of Public Debt—Evidence From a New Database," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 59(4), pages 717-742, November.
    20. Geary, Patrick T. & McCarthy, Colm, 1976. "Wage and price determination in a labour-exporting economy : The case of Ireland," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 219-233, October.
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    22. Eoin McLaughlin, 2015. "Economic Impact of the Irish revolution," Discussion Papers in Environment and Development Economics 2015-13, University of St. Andrews, School of Geography and Sustainable Development.
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    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    National debt; Ireland; debt burden;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H6 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt
    • N00 - Economic History - - General - - - General
    • N14 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations - - - Europe: 1913-

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