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Divergence of opinion and long-run performance of private placements: evidence from the auction market

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Abstract

In this paper, we propose and construct a direct measure of investors' divergence of opinion based on auction bids data of the private placements in China. We find that the firms with higher bids dispersion generate lower long-run stock returns after the issuance of private placements. This effect is economically significant and robust when controlling for market discount, earnings management, analysts forecast dispersion, and self-selection bias. Moreover, this negative relation is stronger for stocks with more stringent short-sale constraints. Our findings therefore provide strong evidence in support of the Miller (1977)'s divergence of opinion hypothesis.

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  • Han, Jianlei & Pan, Zheyao & Zhang, Guangli, 2017. "Divergence of opinion and long-run performance of private placements: evidence from the auction market," Working Papers 2017-09, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:tas:wpaper:23637
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Keywords

    private placement; divergence of opinion; long-run stock returns; short-sale constraint; auction;

    JEL classification:

    • D44 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - Auctions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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