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Changing Vulnerability in Asia: Contagion and Systemic Risk

Author

Listed:
  • Mardi Dungey

    (University of Tasmania)

  • Moses Kangogo

    (University of Tasmania)

  • Vladimir Volkov

    (University of Tasmania)

Abstract

This paper investigates the changing network of financial markets between Asian markets and those of the rest of the world during January 2003–December 2017 to capture both the direction and strength of the links between them. Because each market chooses whether to connect with emerging markets as a bridge to the wider network, there are advantages to having access to this bridge for protection during periods of financial stress. Both parties gain by overcoming the information asymmetry between emerging and global markets. We analyze networks for four key periods, capturing networks in financial markets before and after the Asian financial crisis and the global financial crisis. Increased connections during crisis periods are evident, as well as a general deepening of the global network. The evidence on Asian market developments suggests caution is needed on regulations proposing methods to create stable networks, because these may result in reduced opportunities for emerging markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Mardi Dungey & Moses Kangogo & Vladimir Volkov, 2019. "Changing Vulnerability in Asia: Contagion and Systemic Risk," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 583, Asian Development Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:adbewp:0583
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Sewraj, Deeya & Gebka, Bartosz & Anderson, Robert D.J., 2018. "Identifying contagion: A unifying approach," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 224-240.
    2. Van Rijckeghem, Caroline & Weder, Beatrice, 2001. "Sources of contagion: is it finance or trade?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(2), pages 293-308, August.
    3. Sander, Harald & Kleimeier, Stefanie, 2003. "Contagion and causality: an empirical investigation of four Asian crisis episodes," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 13(2), pages 171-186, April.
    4. Yilmaz, Kamil, 2010. "Return and volatility spillovers among the East Asian equity markets," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 304-313, June.
    5. Diana Zigraiova & Tomas Havranek, 2016. "Bank Competition And Financial Stability: Much Ado About Nothing?," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(5), pages 944-981, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Kinateder, Harald & Choudhury, Tonmoy & Zaman, Rashid & Scagnelli, Simone D. & Sohel, Nurul, 2021. "Does boardroom gender diversity decrease credit risk in the financial sector? Worldwide evidence," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    2. Ana Kristel Lapid & Rogelio Mercado & Peter Rosenkranz, 2023. "Concentration in Asia's cross‐border banking: Determinants and impacts," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(2), pages 267-292, May.
    3. Moses Kangogo & Mardi Dungey & Vladimir Volkov, 2023. "Changing vulnerability in Asia: contagion and spillovers," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(5), pages 2315-2355, May.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • N25 - Economic History - - Financial Markets and Institutions - - - Asia including Middle East

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