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Is the Economic Crisis Over (and Out)?

Author

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  • Karim M. Abadir

    (Imperial College London; The Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis (RCEA))

Abstract

This note analyzes the recent global recession: its causes, the predictability of the timing of its start and of its end, and the implications for macro policy. These follow from the general-equilibrium macro model of Abadir and Talmain (2002) and its implications for a new type of macroeconometrics. The note also proposes some banking regulations, and presents prospects for the future.
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Suggested Citation

  • Karim M. Abadir, 2010. "Is the Economic Crisis Over (and Out)?," Professional Reports 02_10, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    • Handle: RePEc:rim:rimpre:02_10
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    File URL: http://www.rcea.org/RePEc/pdf/pr02_10.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Abadir, Karim M. & Caggiano, Giovanni & Talmain, Gabriel, 2013. "Nelson–Plosser revisited: The ACF approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 175(1), pages 22-34.
    2. Snir, Avichai & Levy, Daniel & Chen, Haipeng (Allan), 2017. "End of 9-endings, price recall, and price perceptions," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 157-163.
    3. Karim Abadir & Gabriel Talmain, 2002. "Aggregation, Persistence and Volatility in a Macro Model," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 69(4), pages 749-779.
    4. Livio Di Matteo & Thomas Barbiero, 2018. "Economic Growth and the Public Sector: A Comparison of Canada and Italy, 1870-2013," Review of Economic Analysis, Digital Initiatives at the University of Waterloo Library, vol. 10(3), pages 221-243, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Schleer, Frauke & Semmler, Willi, 2015. "Financial sector and output dynamics in the euro area: Non-linearities reconsidered," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 235-263.
    2. Schleer, Frauke & Semmler, Willi, 2013. "Financial sector-output dynamics in the euro area: Non-linearities reconsidered," ZEW Discussion Papers 13-068, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    3. Karim M. Abadir, 2013. "Lies, Damned Lies, and Statistics? Examples From Finance and Economics," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 5(4), pages 231-248, December.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • C50 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - General

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