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Capital Flows and Moral Hazard

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  • Viktor Tsyrennikov

    (NYU)

Abstract

I solve for the optimal (state-contingent) contract and find that moral hazard friction is sufficient to explain capital outflows in low output states –- a defining feature of the emerging markets business cycles. On the other hand, the model that also includes limited enforcement is inconsistent with this fact. The model with moral hazard also performs well in explaining quantitative properties of Argentina's business cycle.

Suggested Citation

  • Viktor Tsyrennikov, 2007. "Capital Flows and Moral Hazard," 2007 Meeting Papers 455, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  • Handle: RePEc:red:sed007:455
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    File URL: https://economicdynamics.org/meetpapers/2007/paper_455.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Mark Gertler & Simon Gilchrist & Fabio M. Natalucci, 2007. "External Constraints on Monetary Policy and the Financial Accelerator," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 39(2-3), pages 295-330, March.
    2. Narayana R. Kocherlakota & Luigi Pistaferri, 2007. "Household Heterogeneity and Real Exchange Rates," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 117(519), pages 1-25, March.
    3. Jonathan Eaton & Mark Gersovitz, 1981. "Debt with Potential Repudiation: Theoretical and Empirical Analysis," Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 48(2), pages 289-309.
    4. Cristina Arellano, 2005. "Default Risk, the Real Exchange Rate and Income Fluctuations in Emerging Economies," 2005 Meeting Papers 516, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    5. Aguiar, Mark & Gopinath, Gita, 2006. "Defaultable debt, interest rates and the current account," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(1), pages 64-83, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Koralai Kirabaeva & Assaf Razin, 2009. "Composition of International Capital Flows: A Survey," NBER Working Papers 15599, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Koralai Kirabaeva & Assaf Razin, 2010. "Composition of Capital Flows: A Survey," NBER Working Papers 16492, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

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