Total factor productivity and signal noise volatility in an incomplete information setting
Imperfection information models where agents solve some kind of signal extraction problem are multiplying and developing fast. They have commonly been used to study the impact of imperfect information on the business cycle and the importance of news versus noise shocks. This paper attempts to apply the framework to a di¤erent, albeit related, question: that of the e¤ect of volatility (both in news and noise) on the economy, from a long and short run perspective. An RBC model where the agent faces imperfect information regarding productivity is developed and calibrated in order to address the question, coming to the conclusion that the long run e¤ect is insigni cant while further development is required to address the short run conclusively.
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- Jean-Paul L'Huillier & Guido Lorenzoni & Olivier Blanchard, 2011.
"News, Noise, and Fluctuations: An Empirical Exploration,"
2011 Meeting Papers
969, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Olivier J. Blanchard & Jean-Paul L'Huillier & Guido Lorenzoni, 2013. "News, Noise, and Fluctuations: An Empirical Exploration," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 103(7), pages 3045-70, December.
- Olivier J. Blanchard & Jean-Paul L’Huillier & Guido Lorenzoni, 2012. "News, Noise, and Fluctuations: An Empirical Exploration," Development Research Working Paper Series 09/2012, Institute for Advanced Development Studies.
- Olivier J. Blanchard & Jean-Paul L'Huillier & Guido Lorenzoni, 2009. "News, Noise, and Fluctuations: An Empirical Exploration," NBER Working Papers 15015, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Jean-Paul L'Huillier & Guido Lorenzoni & Olivier J. Blanchard, 2009. "News, Noise and Fluctuations: An Empirical Exploration," 2009 Meeting Papers 99, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Guido Lorenzoni, 2009.
"A Theory of Demand Shocks,"
American Economic Review,
American Economic Association, vol. 99(5), pages 2050-84, December.
- Collard, Fabrice & Dellas, Harris & Smets, Frank, 2010.
"Imperfect information and the business cycle,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
7643, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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