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Mapping the UK domestic and global value chains from a Brexit perspective


  • Escaith, Hubert


The paper offers background information for a sectoral analysis of the Brexit implications on the UK value chains. It analyses trade data through the specific angle of inter-industrial relation-ships and international supply chains, including employment implications. The paper benchmarks UK against other key G-20 countries for three specific industries that have a particular relevance from an inter-industrial perspective: Transport equipment, Chemicals and Electronics. In the pro-cess, a number of stylised facts are identified and several synthetic indicators are produced. Be-cause a hard Brexit is expected to increase trade costs and affect prices, the paper estimates the impact of additional tariff and non-tariff trade costs on the competitiveness of these three sectors. Hopes that a devaluation of the Pound may compensate for higher trade costs must take into con-sideration that devaluation affects only the domestic share of the value-added, requiring larger exchange rate adjustment. In the case of Transport equipment, the required devaluation is around 30% if all tariff and non-tariff trade costs are passed to the producers.

Suggested Citation

  • Escaith, Hubert, 2018. "Mapping the UK domestic and global value chains from a Brexit perspective," MPRA Paper 87824, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:87824

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Minford, Patrick, 2016. "Understanding UK trade agreements with the EU and other countries," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2016/1, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    2. Koen De Backer & Dorothee Flaig, 2017. "The future of global value chains: Business as usual or “a new normal”?," OECD Science, Technology and Industry Policy Papers 41, OECD Publishing.
    3. Mulabdic,Alen & Osnago,Alberto & Ruta,Michele, 2017. "Deep integration and UK-EU trade relations," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7947, The World Bank.
    4. Baldwin, Richard, 2011. "21st century regionalism: Filling the gap between 21st century trade and 20th century trade rules," WTO Staff Working Papers ERSD-2011-08, World Trade Organization (WTO), Economic Research and Statistics Division.
    5. Connell, William & Simons, Wouter & Vandenbussche, Hylke, 2017. "Global Value Chains, Trade Shocks And Jobs: An Application to Brexit," CEPR Discussion Papers 12303, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    6. Rita Cappariello, 2017. "Brexit: estimating tariff costs for EU countries in a new trade regime with the UK," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 381, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item


    Global Value Chains; BREXIT; input-output analysis; network analysis; trade costs; competitiveness;

    JEL classification:

    • C67 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Input-Output Models
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration

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