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Exchange Rate Determination In Pakistan: Evidence Based On Purchasing Power Parity Theory

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  • Khan, Muhammad Arshad
  • Qayyum, Abdul

Abstract

This paper presents the empirical evidence on purchasing power parity (PPP) for Pak-rupee vis-à-vis US-dollar exchange rate using Johansen (1988) and Johansen and Juselius (1990) multivariate cointegration and bound testing approach to cointegration (Pesaran et al., 2001) over the period 1982Q2-2005Q4. We find a considerable support for the existence of long-run PPP. Furthermore, the results of error-correction suggest that nominal exchange rate plays an important role in eliminating deviations from long-run PPP. The results further suggest that there is high degree of foreign exchange and goods markets integration. One major policy implication derived from the findings of this study is that the monetary authorities should contain money supply growth in order to stabilize prices and reduce balance of payments deficits.

Suggested Citation

  • Khan, Muhammad Arshad & Qayyum, Abdul, 2007. "Exchange Rate Determination In Pakistan: Evidence Based On Purchasing Power Parity Theory," MPRA Paper 6754, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:6754
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    Cited by:

    1. Dr. Yu Hsing, 2014. "A Simultaneous-Equation Model of Short-Run Determinants of the PKR/USD Exchange Rate," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 4(12), pages 1719-1725, December.
    2. Muhammad Zakaria & Seemab Tanveer & Bashir Ahmad Fida & Muhammad Iftikhar ul Husnain, 2023. "Inflation Differential Pass-Through to Exchange Rate: Some Evidence From Pakistan," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(4), pages 21582440231, December.
    3. Muhammad Awais Bhatti & Noman Arshed & Muhammad Haseeb, 2013. "Performance of CHEERs Based Equilibrium Exchange Rate of Pakistan," Business and Management Horizons, Macrothink Institute, vol. 1(1), pages 17-43, June.
    4. Aviral Tiwari & Muhammad Shahbaz, 2014. "Revisiting Purchasing Power Parity for India using threshold cointegration and nonlinear unit root test," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 47(2), pages 117-133, May.
    5. Syed Kumail Abbas Rizvi & Bushra Naqvi & Nawazish Mirza, 2014. "From Fear of Floating to Benign Neglect: The Exchange Rate Regime Roller Coaster in Pakistan," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 19(Special E), pages 17-34, September.
    6. Aadil Nakhoda, 2014. "The Influence of Industry Financial Composition on the Exports from Pakistan," SBP Research Bulletin, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department, vol. 10, pages 21-49.
    7. Syed Kumail Abbas Rizvi & Bushra Naqvi & Sayyid Salman Rizavi, 2012. "What Does Pakistan Have to Join the Inflation Targeters’ Club—a Royal Flush or a Seven-Deuce Offsuit?," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 17(2), pages 35-62, July-Dec.
    8. Jabbie, Mohamed & Jackson, Emerson Abraham, 2020. "On the Validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP): The Case of Sierra Leone," MPRA Paper 110659, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 05 Jun 2020.
    9. Hajra Ihsan & Abdul Rashid & Anam Naz, 2018. "Exchange Rate Exposure and Firm Value: An Assessment of Domestic Versus Multinational Firms," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 23(1), pages 51-77, Jan-June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange Rate; Purchasing power parity; Cointegration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F00 - International Economics - - General - - - General
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration

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