IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/51224.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

A bootstrapped spectral test for adequacy in weak ARMA models

Author

Listed:
  • Zhu, Ke
  • Li, Wai-Keung

Abstract

This paper proposes a Cramer-von Mises (CM) test statistic to check the adequacy of weak ARMA models. Without posing a martingale difference assumption on the error terms, the asymptotic null distribution of the CM test is obtained by using the Hillbert space approach. Moreover, this CM test is consistent, and has nontrivial power against the local alternative of order $n^{-1/2}$. Due to the unknown dependence of error terms and the estimation effects, a new block-wise random weighting method is constructed to bootstrap the critical values of the test statistic. The new method is easy to implement and its validity is justified. The theory is illustrated by a small simulation study and an application to S\&P 500 stock index.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhu, Ke & Li, Wai-Keung, 2013. "A bootstrapped spectral test for adequacy in weak ARMA models," MPRA Paper 51224, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:51224
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/51224/1/MPRA_paper_51224.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lobato I. N., 2001. "Testing That a Dependent Process Is Uncorrelated," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 96, pages 1066-1076, September.
    2. Ling, Shiqing & McAleer, Michael, 2003. "Asymptotic Theory For A Vector Arma-Garch Model," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(02), pages 280-310, April.
    3. Brüggemann, Ralf & Jentsch, Carsten & Trenkler, Carsten, 2016. "Inference in VARs with conditional heteroskedasticity of unknown form," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 191(1), pages 69-85.
    4. Juan Carlos Escanciano & Ignacio N. Lobato & Lin Zhu, 2013. "Automatic Specification Testing for Vector Autoregressions and Multivariate Nonlinear Time Series Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(4), pages 426-437, October.
    5. Escanciano, J. Carlos & Velasco, Carlos, 2006. "Generalized spectral tests for the martingale difference hypothesis," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 134(1), pages 151-185, September.
    6. Escanciano, J. Carlos & Lobato, Ignacio N., 2009. "An automatic Portmanteau test for serial correlation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 151(2), pages 140-149, August.
    7. Jianqing Fan, 2004. "Generalised likelihood ratio tests for spectral density," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 91(1), pages 195-209, March.
    8. Hong, Yongmiao, 1996. "Consistent Testing for Serial Correlation of Unknown Form," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(4), pages 837-864, July.
    9. Efstathios Paparoditis, 2000. "Spectral Density Based Goodness-of-Fit Tests for Time Series Models," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 27(1), pages 143-176.
    10. Kani Chen & Zhiliang Ying & Hong Zhang & Lincheng Zhao, 2008. "Analysis of least absolute deviation," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 95(1), pages 107-122.
    11. Ling, Shiqing, 2007. "Self-weighted and local quasi-maximum likelihood estimators for ARMA-GARCH/IGARCH models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 140(2), pages 849-873, October.
    12. Delgado, Miguel A. & Velasco, Carlos, 2011. "An Asymptotically Pivotal Transform of the Residuals Sample Autocorrelations With Application to Model Checking," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 106(495), pages 946-958.
    13. Durlauf, Steven N., 1991. "Spectral based testing of the martingale hypothesis," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 355-376, December.
    14. Jentsch, Carsten & Paparoditis, Efstathios & Politis, Dimitris N., 2014. "Block Bootstrap Theory for Multivariate Integrated and Cointegrated Processes," Working Papers 14-18, University of Mannheim, Department of Economics.
    15. Francq, Christian & Roy, Roch & Zakoian, Jean-Michel, 2005. "Diagnostic Checking in ARMA Models With Uncorrelated Errors," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 100, pages 532-544, June.
    16. Deo, Rohit S., 2000. "Spectral tests of the martingale hypothesis under conditional heteroscedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 99(2), pages 291-315, December.
    17. Efstathios Paparoditis & Dimitris N. Politis, 2003. "Residual-Based Block Bootstrap for Unit Root Testing," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(3), pages 813-855, May.
    18. Chen, Kani & Guo, Shaojun & Lin, Yuanyuan & Ying, Zhiliang, 2010. "Least Absolute Relative Error Estimation," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 105(491), pages 1104-1112.
    19. Zhu, Ke & Ling, Shiqing, 2012. "THE GLOBAL WEIGHTED LAD ESTIMATORS FOR FINITE/INFINITE VARIANCE ARMA(p,q) MODELS," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 28(05), pages 1065-1086, October.
    20. Shao, Xiaofeng, 2011. "A bootstrap-assisted spectral test of white noise under unknown dependence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 162(2), pages 213-224, June.
    21. Escanciano, J. Carlos, 2006. "Goodness-of-Fit Tests for Linear and Nonlinear Time Series Models," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 101, pages 531-541, June.
    22. Delgado, Miguel A. & Hidalgo, Javier & Velasco, Carlos, 2005. "Distribution free goodness-of-fit tests for linear processes," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 6840, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    23. Shao, Xiaofeng, 2011. "Testing For White Noise Under Unknown Dependence And Its Applications To Diagnostic Checking For Time Series Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 27(02), pages 312-343, April.
    24. Horowitz, Joel L. & Lobato, I.N. & Nankervis, John C. & Savin, N.E., 2006. "Bootstrapping the Box-Pierce Q test: A robust test of uncorrelatedness," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 133(2), pages 841-862, August.
    25. Carrasco, Marine & Chen, Xiaohong, 2002. "Mixing And Moment Properties Of Various Garch And Stochastic Volatility Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(01), pages 17-39, February.
    26. Parker, Cameron & Paparoditis, Efstathios & Politis, Dimitris N., 2006. "Unit root testing via the stationary bootstrap," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 133(2), pages 601-638, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ke Zhu & Shiqing Ling, 2015. "LADE-Based Inference for ARMA Models With Unspecified and Heavy-Tailed Heteroscedastic Noises," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 110(510), pages 784-794, June.
    2. Zhang, Xianyang, 2016. "White noise testing and model diagnostic checking for functional time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 194(1), pages 76-95.
    3. Ke Zhu, 2018. "Statistical inference for autoregressive models under heteroscedasticity of unknown form," Papers 1804.02348, arXiv.org.
    4. repec:eee:econom:v:202:y:2018:i:1:p:1-17 is not listed on IDEAS

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Block-wise random weighting method; Diagnostic checking; Least squares estimation; Spectral test; Weak ARMA models; Wild bootstrap.;

    JEL classification:

    • C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General
    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:51224. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Joachim Winter). General contact details of provider: http://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.