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A bootstrapped spectral test for adequacy in weak ARMA models

  • Zhu, Ke
  • Li, Wai-Keung
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This paper proposes a Cramer-von Mises (CM) test statistic to check the adequacy of weak ARMA models. Without posing a martingale difference assumption on the error terms, the asymptotic null distribution of the CM test is obtained by using the Hillbert space approach. Moreover, this CM test is consistent, and has nontrivial power against the local alternative of order $n^{-1/2}$. Due to the unknown dependence of error terms and the estimation effects, a new block-wise random weighting method is constructed to bootstrap the critical values of the test statistic. The new method is easy to implement and its validity is justified. The theory is illustrated by a small simulation study and an application to S\&P 500 stock index.

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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 51224.

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Date of creation: 06 Nov 2013
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:51224
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  1. Efstathios Paparoditis & Dimitris N. Politis, 2003. "Residual-Based Block Bootstrap for Unit Root Testing," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(3), pages 813-855, 05.
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  21. repec:cep:stiecm:/2005/482 is not listed on IDEAS
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  25. Zhu, Ke & Ling, Shiqing, 2012. "THE GLOBAL WEIGHTED LAD ESTIMATORS FOR FINITE/INFINITE VARIANCE ARMA(p,q) MODELS," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 28(05), pages 1065-1086, October.
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  27. Juan Carlos Escanciano & Ignacio N. Lobato & Lin Zhu, 2013. "Automatic Specification Testing for Vector Autoregressions and Multivariate Nonlinear Time Series Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(4), pages 426-437, October.
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